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Publications (10 of 154) Show all publications
Scheffer, M., Adger, W. N., Carpenter, S. R., Folke, C., Lenton, T., Vince, G., . . . Xu, C. (2024). Anticipating the global redistribution of people and property [Letter to the editor]. One Earth, 7(7), 1151-1154
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Anticipating the global redistribution of people and property
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2024 (English)In: One Earth, ISSN 2590-3330, E-ISSN 2590-3322, Vol. 7, no 7, p. 1151-1154Article in journal, Letter (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Climate change will worsen conditions for people in the Global South, while conditions in large parts of the North will improve. Migration seems an effective adaptation strategy. However, making that a win-win for migrants and receiving communities requires revision of the food system, rules for mobility, and strategies for social integration.

National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-238286 (URN)10.1016/j.oneear.2024.06.008 (DOI)2-s2.0-85198337156 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-01-23 Created: 2025-01-23 Last updated: 2025-01-23Bibliographically approved
Anderies, J. M. & Folke, C. (2024). Connecting human behaviour, meaning and nature. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences, 379(1903), Article ID 20220314.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Connecting human behaviour, meaning and nature
2024 (English)In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences, ISSN 0962-8436, E-ISSN 1471-2970, Vol. 379, no 1903, article id 20220314Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Much of the discourse around climate change and the situation of diverse human societies and cultures in the Anthropocene focuses on responding to scientific understanding of the dynamics of the biosphere by adjusting existing institutional and organizational structures. Our emerging scientific understanding of human behaviour and the mechanisms that enable groups to achieve large-scale coordination and cooperation suggests that incrementally adjusting existing institutions and organizations will not be sufficient to confront current global-scale challenges. Specifically, the transaction costs of operating institutions to induce selfish rational actors to consider social welfare in their decision-making are too high. Rather, we highlight the importance of networks of shared stories that become real—imagined orders—that create context, meaning and shared purpose for framing decisions and guiding action. We explore imagined orders that have contributed to bringing global societies to where they are and propose elements of a science-informed imagined order essential to enabling societies to flourish in the Anthropocene biosphere.

Keywords
biosphere, human behaviour, imagined order, revitalize
National Category
Social Sciences Interdisciplinary
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-229071 (URN)10.1098/rstb.2022.0314 (DOI)001206271200003 ()38643792 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85190971927 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-05-07 Created: 2024-05-07 Last updated: 2024-05-07Bibliographically approved
Rockström, J., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Folke, C., Gerten, D., Gordon, L. & Keys, P. W. (2024). Malin Falkenmark: Water pioneer who coined the notion of water crowding and coloured the water cycle. Ambio, 53(5), 657-663
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Malin Falkenmark: Water pioneer who coined the notion of water crowding and coloured the water cycle
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2024 (English)In: Ambio, ISSN 0044-7447, E-ISSN 1654-7209, Vol. 53, no 5, p. 657-663Article in journal, Editorial material (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

"Water is the bloodstream of the biosphere" is a wise insight coined by Professor Malin Falkenmark (Falkenmark and Biswas 1995), a world-leading international hydrologist, who passed away on 3 December 2023, at the age of 98 years (Fig. 1). Falkenmark was a scientific visionary, calling for global water stewardship as a fundamental step towards human development, even before modern thinking on sustainable development was established through the 1987 Brundtland Commission and the 1992 Agenda 21 following the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development in Rio. Her lifelong passion was to eradicate water poverty in the world, and to do this with hydrological evidence and inter-disciplinary collaboration. She co-developed the most prestigious award in water science—the Stockholm Water Prize, and received multiple awards herself, including the prestigious Volvo Environment Prize in 1998 and the Blue Planet Award in 2018.

National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-235927 (URN)10.1007/s13280-024-01989-7 (DOI)001190276600001 ()38521875 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85188457802 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-11-26 Created: 2024-11-26 Last updated: 2024-11-26Bibliographically approved
Jonsson, A., Haider, L. J., Pereira, L., Fremier, A., Folke, C., Tengö, M. & Gordon, L. (2024). Nurturing gastronomic landscapes for biosphere stewardship. Global Food Security, 42, Article ID 100789.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Nurturing gastronomic landscapes for biosphere stewardship
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2024 (English)In: Global Food Security, ISSN 2211-9124, Vol. 42, article id 100789Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

As a result of years of increased rationalization and consolidation of food systems, the knowledge and skills of many actors in food value chains, especially those linked to smaller-scale traditional and artisanal production, processing, and cooking, have rapidly been eroded. Despite the resilience that such knowledge and skills can offer. In this paper, we use the lens of gastronomy to highlight how culinary craftsmanship and innovation hold potential to drive the development of biosphere stewardship that contributes to more biocultural, diverse, and resilient landscapes. We propose the concept of ‘gastronomic landscapes,’ i.e., land/seascapes that are governed, managed, or cared for to contribute specifically to culinary development while having substantive value for landscape resilience and food system sustainability. Through six cases representing different knowledge systems and landscapes across the world, the breadth of gastronomy and how it is linked to landscapes is highlighted. We develop a typology of characteristics that can be used to analyze gastronomic landscapes based on locality, diversity, and quality. In the paper, we conclude that thinking and acting in line with gastronomic landscapes can help build resilience and food sovereignty over time and offers a helpful conceptualization for further studies.

Keywords
Biosphere stewardship, Food sovereignty, Food systems, Gastronomy, Sustainability
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-237864 (URN)10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100789 (DOI)2-s2.0-85202749218 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-01-15 Created: 2025-01-15 Last updated: 2025-01-15Bibliographically approved
Keys, P. W., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Moore, M.-L., Pranindita, A., Stenzel, F., Varis, O., . . . Folke, C. (2024). The dry sky: future scenarios for humanity's modification of the atmospheric water cycle. Global Sustainability, 7, Article ID e11.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The dry sky: future scenarios for humanity's modification of the atmospheric water cycle
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2024 (English)In: Global Sustainability, E-ISSN 2059-4798, Vol. 7, article id e11Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Non-Technical Summary. Human societies are changing where and how water flows through the atmosphere. However, these changes in the atmospheric water cycle are not being managed, nor is there any real sense of where these changes might be headed in the future. Thus, we develop a new economic theory of atmospheric water management, and explore this theory using creative story-based scenarios. These scenarios reveal surprising possibilities for the future of atmospheric water management, ranging from a stock market for transpiration to on-demand weather. We discuss these story-based futures in the context of research and policy priorities in the present day.

Technical Summary. Humanity is modifying the atmospheric water cycle, via land use, climate change, air pollution, and weather modification. Historically, atmospheric water was implicitly considered a ‘public good’ since it was neither actively consumed nor controlled. However, given anthropogenic changes, atmospheric water can become a ‘common-pool’ good (consumable) or a ‘club’ good (controllable). Moreover, advancements in weather modification presage water becoming a ‘private’ good, meaning both consumable and controllable. Given the implications, we designed a theoretical framing of atmospheric water as an economic good and used a combination of methods in order to explore possible future scenarios based on human modifications of the atmospheric water cycle. First, a systematic literature search of scholarly abstracts was used in a computational text analysis. Second, the output of the text analysis was matched to different parts of an existing economic goods framework. Then, a group of global water experts were trained and developed story-based scenarios. The resultant scenarios serve as creative investigations of the future of human modification of the atmospheric water cycle. We discuss how the scenarios can enhance anticipatory capacity in the context of both future research frontiers and potential policy pathways including transboundary governance, finance, and resource management.

Social Media Summary. Story-based scenarios reveal novel future pathways for the management of the atmospheric water cycle.

Keywords
Earth systems (land, water and atmospheric), economics, ecosystem services, policies, politics and governance, water security
National Category
Environmental Sciences Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources Social Sciences Interdisciplinary
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-228691 (URN)10.1017/sus.2024.9 (DOI)001193226900001 ()2-s2.0-85188470753 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-05-02 Created: 2024-05-02 Last updated: 2025-02-01Bibliographically approved
Rockström, J., Kotzé, L., Milutinović, S., Biermann, F., Brovkin, V., Donges, J., . . . Steffen, W. (2024). The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth-regulating systems in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121(5), Article ID e2301531121.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth-regulating systems in the Anthropocene
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2024 (English)In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ISSN 0027-8424, E-ISSN 1091-6490, Vol. 121, no 5, article id e2301531121Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The Anthropocene signifies the start of a no-analogue trajectory of the Earth system that is fundamentally different from the Holocene. This new trajectory is characterized by rising risks of triggering irreversible and unmanageable shifts in Earth system functioning. We urgently need a new global approach to safeguard critical Earth system regulating functions more effectively and comprehensively. The global commons framework is the closest example of an existing approach with the aim of governing biophysical systems on Earth upon which the world collectively depends. Derived during stable Holocene conditions, the global commons framework must now evolve in the light of new Anthropocene dynamics. This requires a fundamental shift from a focus only on governing shared resources beyond national jurisdiction, to one that secures critical functions of the Earth system irrespective of national boundaries. We propose a new framework—the planetary commons—which differs from the global commons framework by including not only globally shared geographic regions but also critical biophysical systems that regulate the resilience and state, and therefore livability, on Earth. The new planetary commons should articulate and create comprehensive stewardship obligations through Earth system governance aimed at restoring and strengthening planetary resilience and justice. 

Keywords
Anthropocene, Earth system governance, global commons, international law, planetary boundaries
National Category
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary Social Sciences Interdisciplinary
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-227258 (URN)10.1073/pnas.2301531121 (DOI)001167415600003 ()38252839 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85183233349 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-03-08 Created: 2024-03-08 Last updated: 2024-05-08Bibliographically approved
Wu, T., Rocha, J., Berry, K., Chaigneau, T., Hamann, M., Lindkvist, E., . . . Folke, C. (2024). Triple Bottom Line or Trilemma? Global Tradeoffs Between Prosperity, Inequality, and the Environment. World Development, 178, Article ID 106595.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Triple Bottom Line or Trilemma? Global Tradeoffs Between Prosperity, Inequality, and the Environment
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2024 (English)In: World Development, ISSN 0305-750X, E-ISSN 1873-5991, Vol. 178, article id 106595Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

A key aim of sustainable development is the joint achievement of prosperity, equality, and environmental integrity: in other words, material living standards that are high, broadly -distributed, and low -impact. This has often been called the triple bottom line. But instead, what if there is a trilemmathat inhibits the simultaneous achievement of these three goals? We analysed international patterns and trends in the relationships between per -capita gross national income, the Gini coefficient for income distribution, and per -capita ecological footprint from 1995 to 2017, benchmarking them against thresholds from the existing literature. A dynamicanalysis of the trajectories of 59 countries and a staticanalysis of a larger sample of 140 countries found that none met the triple bottom line, and that instead there were widespread tradeoffs among the three indicators. These tradeoffs, leading to divergent national trajectories and country clusters, show that common pair -wise explanations such as Kuznets Curves do not adequately capture important development dynamics. In particular, while only a few countries simultaneously met the thresholds for prosperity and equality on the one hand and equality and environment on the other, none did for prosperity and environment. Moreover, inequality likely makes resolving this critical tradeoff more difficult. Our findings suggest that mitigating the sustainability trilemma may require countries - especially those that are already prosperous - to prioritize economic redistribution and environmental stewardship over further growth.

Keywords
Inequality, Environment, Sustainability, Development Studies
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-228991 (URN)10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106595 (DOI)001204375300001 ()2-s2.0-85186684617 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-05-08 Created: 2024-05-08 Last updated: 2024-05-08Bibliographically approved
Sumaila, U. R., Wabnitz, C. C. C., Teh, L. S. L., Teh, L. C. L., Lam, V. W. Y., Sumaila, H., . . . Polasky, S. (2024). Utilizing basic income to create a sustainable, poverty-free tomorrow. Cell Reports Sustainability, 1(6), Article ID 100104.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Utilizing basic income to create a sustainable, poverty-free tomorrow
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2024 (English)In: Cell Reports Sustainability, E-ISSN 2949-7906, Vol. 1, no 6, article id 100104Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic of 2020 was a reminder of society’s vulnerability in the face of natural upheavals, leading to widespread unemployment and increased poverty. Simultaneously, human activities have precipitated large-scale environmental degradation and catastrophic climate change. Here, we conduct a global-scale, 186-country analysis examining the potential impact of basic income (BI) as a two-pronged solution to both sustainability and social resilience. We reveal BI’s potential to bolster economies, particularly in times of crisis. To lower the huge barrier imposed by implementation costs, we suggest a diverse array of strategies aimed at financing BI, strategically designed to concurrently alleviate economic insecurity while fostering nature conservation. We suggest that BI implementation is feasible and could be a potent tool in addressing the twin challenges of decreasing worldwide poverty while reducing environmental degradation—a nexus that arguably constitutes the paramount global challenge of our times.

Keywords
basic income, climate change impacts, economic impact, economic inequality, environmental and economic shocks, environmental degradation, global, poverty alleviation, societal vulnerabilities, sustainable development
National Category
Economics Environmental Studies in Social Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-238603 (URN)10.1016/j.crsus.2024.100104 (DOI)2-s2.0-85204466131 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-01-31 Created: 2025-01-31 Last updated: 2025-01-31Bibliographically approved
Troell, M., Kautsky, N., Beveridge, M., Henriksson, P., Primavera, J., Rönnbäck, P. & Folke, C. (2023). Aquaculture (Thirded.). In: Samuel M. Scheiner (Ed.), Encyclopedia of Biodiversity: Volume 4: Humans & Conservation (pp. 294-306). Amsterdam: Elsevier
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Aquaculture
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2023 (English)In: Encyclopedia of Biodiversity: Volume 4: Humans & Conservation / [ed] Samuel M. Scheiner, Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2023, Third, p. 294-306Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Biophysical impacts of aquaculture, with consequences for biodiversity, vary with species and culture systems and include issues such as: nutrient enrichment/removal, chemicals, land use, species introductions, genetic flow to wild populations, disturbance of balance or introduction of pathogen/parasites, consumption of capture fishery resources, energy, and greenhouse gas emissions. Guiding principles, labeling schemes and various tools are needed to analyze performance and conformance. Ecological footprints and life-cycle analysis aim to capture biophysical performance, including up- and downstream effects of policy decisions. Aquaculture provides a range of services but also makes demands and impacts on ecosystem functions, services, and thus biodiversity.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2023 Edition: Third
Keywords
Aquaculture feed, Ecological footprint, Ecosystem services, Environmental impact, Fish resources, Fishmeal, Integrated aquaculture, Life-cycle analysis, Mangrove, Shrimp and Wastes
National Category
Fish and Aquacultural Science Ecology Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-236563 (URN)10.1016/B978-0-12-822562-2.00403-5 (DOI)2-s2.0-85189406637 (Scopus ID)978-0-12-822562-2 (ISBN)
Available from: 2024-12-05 Created: 2024-12-05 Last updated: 2024-12-05Bibliographically approved
Søgaard Jørgensen, P., Jansen, R. E. V., Avila Ortega, D. I., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Donges, J., Österblom, H., . . . Crépin, A.-S. (2023). Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences, 379(1893), Article ID 20220261.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability
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2023 (English)In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences, ISSN 0962-8436, E-ISSN 1471-2970, Vol. 379, no 1893, article id 20220261Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The Anthropocene is characterized by accelerating change and global challenges of increasing complexity. Inspired by what some have called a polycrisis, we explore whether the human trajectory of increasing complexity and influence on the Earth system could become a form of trap for humanity. Based on an adaptation of the evolutionary traps concept to a global human context, we present results from a participatory mapping. We identify 14 traps and categorize them as either global, technology or structural traps. An assessment reveals that 12 traps (86%) could be in an advanced phase of trapping with high risk of hard-to-reverse lock-ins and growing risks of negative impacts on human well-being. Ten traps (71%) currently see growing trends in their indicators. Revealing the systemic nature of the polycrisis, we assess that Anthropocene traps often interact reinforcingly (45% of pairwise interactions), and rarely in a dampening fashion (3%). We end by discussing capacities that will be important for navigating these systemic challenges in pursuit of global sustainability. Doing so, we introduce evolvability as a unifying concept for such research between the sustainability and evolutionary sciences.

Keywords
cultural evolution, social–ecological systems, participatory mapping, complex adaptive systems, evolutionary traps
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-225226 (URN)10.1098/rstb.2022.0261 (DOI)37952617 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85176728902 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council
Available from: 2024-01-11 Created: 2024-01-11 Last updated: 2024-01-12Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-4050-3281

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