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Publications (10 of 12) Show all publications
Ehrnsten, E., Humborg, C., Gustafsson, E. & Gustafsson, B. (2024). Disaster avoided: current state of the Baltic Sea without human intervention to reduce nutrient loads [Letter to the editor]. Limnology And Oceanography Letters
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Disaster avoided: current state of the Baltic Sea without human intervention to reduce nutrient loads
2024 (English)In: Limnology And Oceanography LettersArticle in journal, Letter (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Excessive nutrient inputs have caused eutrophication of coastal ecosystems worldwide, triggering extensive algal blooms, oxygen-depletion, and collapse of local fisheries. In the Baltic Sea, inputs of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) have been significantly reduced since the 1980s, but the environmental state shows little to no signs of recovery. However, a simulation with continued high loads from the mid-1980s demonstrates that while the state has not improved yet, it would be considerably worse today without the load reductions (e.g., 82% larger oxygen-free bottom areas and 104% and 58% higher wintertime concentrations of inorganic N and P, respectively, in the Baltic Proper). Additional simulations with current nutrient loads continuing into the future indicate that conditions will likely improve in the coming decades. This study underscores the significance of acting on early warning signs of eutrophication, and furthermore how sustained efforts to decrease nutrient loads can mitigate the severity of eutrophication.

National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-238966 (URN)10.1002/lol2.10443 (DOI)001327160800001 ()2-s2.0-85205529037 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-02-04 Created: 2025-02-04 Last updated: 2025-02-04
Ehrnsten, E., Pavlovitch Savchuk, O. & Gustafsson, B. (2022). Modelling the effects of benthic fauna on carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus dynamics in the Baltic Sea. Biogeosciences, 19(13), 3337-3367
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Modelling the effects of benthic fauna on carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus dynamics in the Baltic Sea
2022 (English)In: Biogeosciences, ISSN 1726-4170, E-ISSN 1726-4189, Vol. 19, no 13, p. 3337-3367Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Even though the effects of benthic fauna on aquatic biogeochemistry have been long recognized, few studies have addressed the combined effects of animal bioturbation and metabolism on ecosystem–level carbon and nutrient dynamics. Here we merge a model of benthic fauna (BMM) into a physical–biogeochemical ecosystem model (BALTSEM) to study the long-term and large-scale effects of benthic fauna on nutrient and carbon cycling in the Baltic Sea. We include both the direct effects of faunal growth and metabolism and the indirect effects of its bioturbating activities on biogeochemical fluxes of and transformations between organic and inorganic forms of carbon (C), nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and oxygen (O). Analyses of simulation results from the Baltic Proper and Gulf of Riga indicate that benthic fauna makes up a small portion of seafloor active organic stocks (on average 1 %–4 % in 2000–2020) but contributes considerably to benthic–pelagic fluxes of inorganic C (23 %–31 %), N (42 %–51 %) and P (25 %–34 %) through its metabolism. Results also suggest that the relative contribution of fauna to the mineralization of sediment organic matter increases with increasing nutrient loads. Further, through enhanced sediment oxygenation, bioturbation decreases benthic denitrification and increases P retention, the latter having far-reaching consequences throughout the ecosystem. Reduced benthic–pelagic P fluxes lead to a reduction in N fixation and primary production, lower organic matter sedimentation fluxes, and thereby generally lower benthic stocks and fluxes of C, N and P. This chain of effects through the ecosystem overrides the local effects of faunal respiration, excretion and bioturbation. Due to large uncertainties related to the parameterization of benthic processes, we consider this modelling study a first step towards disentangling the complex ecosystem-scale effects of benthic fauna on biogeochemical cycling.

National Category
Biological Sciences Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-207914 (URN)10.5194/bg-19-3337-2022 (DOI)000825472600001 ()2-s2.0-85134424750 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2022-08-22 Created: 2022-08-22 Last updated: 2025-01-31Bibliographically approved
Tomczak, M. T., Müller-Karulis, B., Blenckner, T., Ehrnstén, E., Eero, M., Gustafsson, B., . . . Humborg, C. (2022). Reference state, structure, regime shifts, and regulatory drivers in a coastal sea over the last century: The Central Baltic Sea case. Limnology and Oceanography, 67(S1), S266-S284
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Reference state, structure, regime shifts, and regulatory drivers in a coastal sea over the last century: The Central Baltic Sea case
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2022 (English)In: Limnology and Oceanography, ISSN 0024-3590, E-ISSN 1939-5590, Vol. 67, no S1, p. S266-S284Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The occurrence of regime shifts in marine ecosystems has important implications for environmental legislation that requires setting reference levels and targets of quantitative restoration outcomes. The Baltic Sea ecosystem has undergone large changes in the 20(th) century related to anthropogenic pressures and climate variability, which have caused ecosystem reorganization. Here, we compiled historical information and identified relationships in our dataset using multivariate statistics and modeling across 31 biotic and abiotic variables from 1925 to 2005 in the Central Baltic Sea. We identified a series of ecosystem regime shifts in the 1930s, 1970s, and at the end of the 1980s/beginning of the 1990s. In the long term, the Central Baltic Sea showed a regime shift from a benthic to pelagic-dominated state. Historically, benthic components played a significant role in trophic transfer, while in the more recent productive system pelagic-benthic coupling was weak and pelagic components dominated. Our analysis shows that for the entire time period, productivity, climate, and hydrography mainly affected the functioning of the food web, whereas fishing became important more recently. Eutrophication had far-reaching direct and indirect impacts from a long-term perspective and changed not only the trophic state of the system but also affected higher trophic levels. Our study also suggests a switch in regulatory drivers from salinity to oxygen. The reference ecosystem identified in our analysis may guide the establishment of an ecosystem state baseline and threshold values for ecosystem state indicators of the Central Baltic Sea.

National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-199999 (URN)10.1002/lno.11975 (DOI)000720319000001 ()2-s2.0-85119335563 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2021-12-27 Created: 2021-12-27 Last updated: 2022-06-03Bibliographically approved
Jaitly, R., Ehrnsten, E., Hedlund, J., Cant, M., Lehmann, P. & Hayward, A. (2022). The evolution of predator avoidance in cephalopods: A case of brain over brawn?. Frontiers in Marine Science, 9, Article ID 909192.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The evolution of predator avoidance in cephalopods: A case of brain over brawn?
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2022 (English)In: Frontiers in Marine Science, E-ISSN 2296-7745, Vol. 9, article id 909192Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Predation is a major evolutionary driver of animal adaptation. However, understanding of anti-predator evolution is biased toward vertebrate taxa. Cephalopoda, a class in the invertebrate phylum Mollusca, are known for their diverse anti-predator strategies, characterised by their behavioural flexibility. While ancestral cephalopods were protected by a hard outer shell, extant cephalopods have greatly reduced their reliance on physical defences. Instead, cephalopods have evolved highly developed senses to identify potential threats, cryptic skin patterns to avoid detection, startle responses to deter attack, and elaborate means of escape. While cephalopod anti-predator repertoires are relatively well described, their evolution, and the selective pressures that shaped them, have received much less attention. This is despite their potential relevance, in turn, to elucidate evolution of the remarkable cognitive abilities of cephalopods. Here, we review cephalopod anti-predator evolution, considering four key aspects: (i) shell reduction and loss; (ii) the skin patterning system; (iii) the ecological context accompanying the evolution of advanced cognit.ive abilities; (iv) why the evolutionary trajectory taken by cephalopods is so unique among invertebrates. In doing so, we consider the unique physiology of cephalopods and discuss how this may have constrained or aided the development of their anti-predator repertoire. In particular, cephalopods are poorly equipped to defend themselves physically and escape predation by fish, due to a lack of comparable weaponry or musculature. We argue that this may have selected for alternative forms of defence, driving an evolutionary trajectory favouring crypsis and complex behaviours, and the promotion of sensory and cognitive adaptations. Unravelling the complexities of cephalopod anti-predator evolution remains challenging. However, recent technological developments available for cephalopod field and laboratory studies, coupled with new genomic data and analysis approaches, offer great scope to generate novel insights.

Keywords
squid, octopus, cuttlefish, prey, anti-predator, evolution, Cephalopoda
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-211515 (URN)10.3389/fmars.2022.909192 (DOI)000874010900001 ()2-s2.0-85140070047 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2022-11-24 Created: 2022-11-24 Last updated: 2022-11-29Bibliographically approved
Hyytiäinen, K., Bauer, B., Bly Joyce, K., Ehrnsten, E., Gustafsson, B. G., Norkko, A., . . . Zandersen, M. (2021). Provision of aquatic ecosystem services as a consequence of societal changes: The case of the Baltic Sea. Population Ecology, 63(1), 61-74
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Provision of aquatic ecosystem services as a consequence of societal changes: The case of the Baltic Sea
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2021 (English)In: Population Ecology, ISSN 1438-3896, E-ISSN 1438-390X, Vol. 63, no 1, p. 61-74Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Aquatic ecosystem services are important for human wellbeing, but they are much less studied than terrestrial ecosystem services. The objectives of this study are to broaden, itemize and exemplify the human‐nature interactions in modeling the future provision of aquatic ecosystem services. We include shared socioeconomic and representative concentration pathways, used extensively in climate research, as drivers of change for the future development of the Baltic Sea. Then we use biogeochemical and ecosystem models to demonstrate the future development of exemplary supporting, provisioning and cultural ecosystem services for two distinct combinations of regionally downscaled global climate and socioeconomic futures. According to the model simulations, the two global futures (“Sustainable well‐being” vs. “Fossil‐fuelled development”) studied lead to clearly deviating trajectories in the provision of marine ecosystem services. Under the “Sustainable well‐being”‐scenario primary production decreases by 20%, catches of demersal fish increases and the recreation opportunities increase significantly by the end of the ongoing century. Under the “fossil‐fuelled development”‐scenario primary production doubles, fisheries focus on less valued pelagic fish and the recreation possibilities will decrease. Long‐term projections of aquatic ecosystem services prepared for alternative global socioeconomic futures can be used by policy makers and managers to adaptively and iteratively adjust mitigation and adaptation effort with plausible future changes in the drivers of water pollution.

Keywords
Climate change, Cyanobacteria bloom, Ecosystem Services, Integrated models, Primary production, Klimatförändring, Algblomning, Ekosystemtjänster, Integrerade modeller, Primärproduktion
National Category
Ecology Climate Science
Research subject
Systems Ecology; Biogeochemistry; Marine Biology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-187472 (URN)10.1002/1438-390X.12033 (DOI)000614125700007 ()2-s2.0-85077095243 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 1:11BONUS - Science for a better future of the Baltic Sea region, Art 185
Available from: 2020-12-10 Created: 2020-12-10 Last updated: 2025-02-01Bibliographically approved
Wikström, S. A., Hedberg, N., Kautsky, N., Kumblad, L., Ehrnsten, E., Gustafsson, B., . . . Stadmark, J. (2020). Letter to editor regarding Kotta et al. 2020: Cleaning up seas using blue growth initiatives: Mussel farming for eutrophication control in the Baltic Sea [Letter to the editor]. Science of the Total Environment, 727, Article ID 138665.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Letter to editor regarding Kotta et al. 2020: Cleaning up seas using blue growth initiatives: Mussel farming for eutrophication control in the Baltic Sea
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2020 (English)In: Science of the Total Environment, ISSN 0048-9697, E-ISSN 1879-1026, Vol. 727, article id 138665Article in journal, Letter (Other academic) Published
Keywords
Mussel farming, eutrophication, Baltic Sea, Musselodling, Övergödning, Östersjön
National Category
Biological Sciences Biochemistry Molecular Biology Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Marine Ecology; Biogeochemistry
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-187471 (URN)10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138665 (DOI)
Available from: 2020-12-10 Created: 2020-12-10 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved
Hedlund, J., Ehrnsten, E., Hayward, C., Lehmann, P. & Hayward, A. (2020). New records of the Paleotropical migrant Hemianax ephippiger in the Caribbean and a review of its status in the Neotropics. International journal of odonatology, 23(4), 315-325
Open this publication in new window or tab >>New records of the Paleotropical migrant Hemianax ephippiger in the Caribbean and a review of its status in the Neotropics
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2020 (English)In: International journal of odonatology, ISSN 1388-7890, Vol. 23, no 4, p. 315-325Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Tropical America is currently experiencing the establishment of a new apex insect predator, the Paleotropical dragonfly Hemianax ephippiger (Odonata: Aeshnidae). H. ephippiger is migratory and is suggested to have colonised the eastern Neotropics by chance Trans-Atlantic displacement. We report the discovery of H. ephippiger at three new locations in the Caribbean, the islands of Bonaire, Isla de Coche (Venezuela), and Martinique, and we review its reported distribution across the Neotropics. We discuss the establishment of H. ephippiger as a new apex insect predator in the Americas, both in terms of ecological implications and the possible provision of ecosystem services. We also provide an additional new species record for Bonaire, Pantala hymenaea (Odonata: Libellulidae).

Keywords
Odonata, dragonfly, Bonaire, migration, colonisation, ecosystem services
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-184386 (URN)10.1080/13887890.2020.1787237 (DOI)000552538200001 ()
Available from: 2020-10-01 Created: 2020-10-01 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved
Ehrnsten, E., Norkko, A., Müller‐Karulis, B., Gustafsson, E. & Gustafsson, B. G. (2020). The meagre future of benthic fauna in a coastal sea-Benthic responses to recovery from eutrophication in a changing climate. Global Change Biology, 26(4), 2235-2250
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The meagre future of benthic fauna in a coastal sea-Benthic responses to recovery from eutrophication in a changing climate
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2020 (English)In: Global Change Biology, ISSN 1354-1013, E-ISSN 1365-2486, Vol. 26, no 4, p. 2235-2250Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Nutrient loading and climate change affect coastal ecosystems worldwide. Unravelling the combined effects of these pressures on benthic macrofauna is essential for understanding the future functioning of coastal ecosystems, as it is an important component linking the benthic and pelagic realms. In this study, we extended an existing model of benthic macrofauna coupled with a physical-biogeochemical model of the Baltic Sea to study the combined effects of changing nutrient loads and climate on biomass and metabolism of benthic macrofauna historically and in scenarios for the future. Based on a statistical comparison with a large validation dataset of measured biomasses, the model showed good or reasonable performance across the different basins and depth strata in the model area. In scenarios with decreasing nutrient loads according to the Baltic Sea Action Plan but also with continued recent loads (mean loads 2012-2014), overall macrofaunal biomass and carbon processing were projected to decrease significantly by the end of the century despite improved oxygen conditions at the seafloor. Climate change led to intensified pelagic recycling of primary production and reduced export of particulate organic carbon to the seafloor with negative effects on macrofaunal biomass. In the high nutrient load scenario, representing the highest recorded historical loads, climate change counteracted the effects of increased productivity leading to a hyperbolic response: biomass and carbon processing increased up to mid-21st century but then decreased, giving almost no net change by the end of the 21st century compared to present. The study shows that benthic responses to environmental change are nonlinear and partly decoupled from pelagic responses and indicates that benthic-pelagic coupling might be weaker in a warmer and less eutrophic sea.

Keywords
Baltic Sea, benthic macrofauna, carbon cycle, climate change, eutrophication, numerical model, oligotrophication
National Category
Biological Sciences Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-180412 (URN)10.1111/gcb.15014 (DOI)000513939900001 ()31986234 (PubMedID)
Available from: 2020-03-30 Created: 2020-03-30 Last updated: 2025-01-31Bibliographically approved
Kotilainen, A., Ehrnsten, E. & Vahteri, P. (2020). Threatened habitat types in Finland 2018: the Baltic Sea. Red List of habitats. Part 2:: Descriptions of habitat types. Helsinki: Finnish Environment Institute and Ministry of the Environment
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Threatened habitat types in Finland 2018: the Baltic Sea. Red List of habitats. Part 2:: Descriptions of habitat types
2020 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This report is a partial translation of the final report in Finnish on threatened habitat types (Threatened habitat types in Finland 2018, Part II: Descriptions of habitat types, The Finnish Environment 5/2018) that presents a total of 420 habitat types. This report includes all the evaluated habitat types of the Baltic Sea, as well as six new marine habitat types, which were described but not yet evaluated (NE). Also included are habitat types regarded as of least concern (LC) and those with deficient data (DD).

For each habitat type a description, distribution map, photo, and the reasoning behind the assessment result are presented. The descriptions of the habitat types include their characteristics, geographical variation, connectivity to other habitat types, occurrence in Finland, reasons for being threatened and future threats, trend in the state of the habitat type, correspondence of the habitats type with habitat types covered by statutory protection, and whether the habitat type is one for which Finland has an international responsibility.

Part I of the final report (in Finnish Suomen luontotyyppien uhanalaisuus 2018, SY 5/2018 and in English Threatened Habitat Types in Finland 2018, FE 2/2019) presents the assessment method for threatened habitat types, results and reasoning of the assessment, and proposals for measures prepared by the experts groups. In the whole country 186 habitats types were assessed as threatened (48% of the number of habitats types). The share of threatened habitat types is much larger in southern Finland (59%) than in northern Finland (32%). The assessment was conducted by broadly-based expert groups in 2016–2018.

This was the second assessment of threatened habitat types in Finland. This assessment was conducted using the international IUCN Red List of Ecosystems method. Because of the new assessment method, the results of the first and second assessment of threatened habitat types are not directly comparable with each other. The conclusion that can be made, however, is that the decline and degradation of habitats has not diminished.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Helsinki: Finnish Environment Institute and Ministry of the Environment, 2020. p. 115
Series
The Finnish Environment, ISSN 2490-1024 ; 23/2020
Keywords
Red list, Habitats, Baltic Sea
National Category
Ecology
Research subject
Ecology and Evolution
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-187474 (URN)978-952-361-256-3 (ISBN)
Available from: 2020-12-11 Created: 2020-12-11 Last updated: 2022-06-02Bibliographically approved
Ehrnsten, E., Sun, X., Humborg, C., Norkko, A., Savchuk, O. P., Slomp, C. P., . . . Gustafsson, B. G. (2020). Understanding Environmental Changes in Temperate Coastal Seas: Linking Models of Benthic Fauna to Carbon and Nutrient Fluxes. Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, Article ID 450.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Understanding Environmental Changes in Temperate Coastal Seas: Linking Models of Benthic Fauna to Carbon and Nutrient Fluxes
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2020 (English)In: Frontiers in Marine Science, E-ISSN 2296-7745, Vol. 7, article id 450Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Coastal seas are highly productive systems, providing an array of ecosystem services to humankind, such as processing of nutrient effluents from land and climate regulation. However, coastal ecosystems are threatened by human-induced pressures such as climate change and eutrophication. In the coastal zone, the fluxes and transformations of nutrients and carbon sustaining coastal ecosystem functions and services are strongly regulated by benthic biological and chemical processes. Thus, to understand and quantify how coastal ecosystems respond to environmental change, mechanistic modeling of benthic biogeochemical processes is required. Here, we discuss the present model capabilities to quantitatively describe how benthic fauna drives nutrient and carbon processing in the coastal zone. There are a multitude of modeling approaches of different complexity, but a thorough mechanistic description of benthic-pelagic processes is still hampered by a fundamental lack of scientific understanding of the diverse interactions between the physical, chemical and biological processes that drive biogeochemical fluxes in the coastal zone. Especially shallow systems with long water residence times are sensitive to the activities of benthic organisms. Hence, including and improving the description of benthic biomass and metabolism in sediment diagenetic as well as ecosystem models for such systems is essential to increase our understanding of their response to environmental changes and the role of coastal sediments in nutrient and carbon cycling. Major challenges and research priorities are (1) to couple the dynamics of zoobenthic biomass and metabolism to sediment reactive-transport in models, (2) to test and validate model formulations against real-world data to better incorporate the context-dependency of processes in heterogeneous coastal areas in models and (3) to capture the role of stochastic events.

Keywords
nitrogen cycle, phosphorus cycle, carbon cycle, benthic fauna, numerical modeling, coastal ecosystems, eutrophication, climate change
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-183627 (URN)10.3389/fmars.2020.00450 (DOI)000540424000001 ()
Available from: 2020-07-31 Created: 2020-07-31 Last updated: 2025-01-31Bibliographically approved
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ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-8960-8252

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