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Persistent anomalies of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation as an initiator of El Nino/Southern Oscillation events
Stockholms universitet, Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten, Meteorologiska institutionen (MISU).
Antal upphovsmän: 32017 (Engelska)Ingår i: Scientific Reports, ISSN 2045-2322, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 7, artikel-id 10145Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Climates across both hemispheres are strongly influenced by tropical Pacific variability associated with the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Conversely, extratropical variability also can affect the tropics. In particular, seasonal-mean alterations of near-surface winds associated with the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) serve as a significant extratropical forcing agent of ENSO. However, it is still unclear what dynamical processes give rise to year-to-year shifts in these long-lived NPO anomalies. Here we show that intraseasonal variability in boreal winter pressure patterns over the Central North Pacific (CNP) imparts a significant signature upon the seasonal-mean circulations characteristic of the NPO. Further we show that the seasonal-mean signature results in part from year-to-year variations in persistent, quasi-stationary low-pressure intrusions into the subtropics of the CNP, accompanied by the establishment of persistent, quasi-stationary high-pressure anomalies over high latitudes of the CNP. Overall, we find that the frequency of these persistent extratropical anomalies (PEAs) during a given winter serves as a key modulator of intraseasonal variability in extratropical North Pacific circulations and, through their influence on the seasonal-mean circulations in and around the southern lobe of the NPO, the state of the equatorial Pacific 9-12 months later.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
2017. Vol. 7, artikel-id 10145
Nationell ämneskategori
Annan naturvetenskap Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-147046DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-09580-9ISI: 000408781200004OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-147046DiVA, id: diva2:1143063
Tillgänglig från: 2017-09-20 Skapad: 2017-09-20 Senast uppdaterad: 2017-09-20Bibliografiskt granskad

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Caballero, Rodrigo
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Meteorologiska institutionen (MISU)
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