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Identifying past social-ecological thresholds to understand long-term temporal dynamics in Spain
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre.
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Number of Authors: 112019 (English)In: Ecology and Society, E-ISSN 1708-3087, Vol. 24, no 2, article id 10Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

A thorough understanding of long-term temporal social-ecological dynamics at the national scale helps to explain the current condition of a country's ecosystems and to support environmental policies to tackle future sustainability challenges. We aimed to develop a methodological approach to understand past long-term (1960-2010) social-ecological dynamics in Spain. First, we developed a methodical framework that allowed us to explore complex social-ecological dynamics among biodiversity, ecosystem services, human well-being, drivers of change, and institutional responses. Second, we compiled 21 long-term, national-scale indicators and analyzed their temporal relationships through a redundancy analysis. Third, we used a Bayesian change point analysis to detect evidence of past social-ecological thresholds and historical time periods. Our results revealed that Spain has passed through four social-ecological thresholds that define five different time periods of nature and society relationships. Finally, we discussed how the proposed methodological approach helps to reinterpret national-level ecosystem indicators through a new conceptual lens to develop a more systems-based way of understanding long-term social-ecological patterns and dynamics.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019. Vol. 24, no 2, article id 10
Keywords [en]
ecosystem service, long-term analysis, social-ecological thresholds, Spain, temporal dynamics
National Category
Biological Sciences Social and Economic Geography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-173037DOI: 10.5751/ES-10734-240210ISI: 000482712400006OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-173037DiVA, id: diva2:1356317
Available from: 2019-10-01 Created: 2019-10-01 Last updated: 2024-07-04Bibliographically approved

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