Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Identifying asymptomatic spreaders of antimicrobial-resistant pathogens in hospital settings
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Sociology. Karolinska Institutet, Sweden.
Number of Authors: 32021 (English)In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ISSN 0027-8424, E-ISSN 1091-6490, Vol. 118, no 37, article id e2111190118Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Antimicrobial-resistant organisms (AMROs) can colonize people without symptoms for long periods of time, during which these agents can spread unnoticed to other patients in healthcare systems. The accurate identification of asymptomatic spreaders of AMRO in hospital settings is essential for supporting the design of interventions against healthcare-associated infections (HAIs). However, this task remains challenging because of limited observations of colonization and the complicated transmission dynamics occurring within hospitals and the broader community. Here, we study the transmission of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), a prevalent AMRO, in 66 Swedish hospitals and healthcare facilities with inpatients using a data-driven, agent-based model informed by deidentified real-world hospitalization records. Combining the transmission model, patient-to-patient contact networks, and sparse observations of colonization, we develop and validate an individual-level inference approach that estimates the colonization probability of individual hospitalized patients. For both model-simulated and historical outbreaks, the proposed method supports the more accurate identification of asymptomatic MRSA carriers than other traditional approaches. In addition, in silica control experiments indicate that interventions targeted to inpatients with a high-colonization probability outperform heuristic strategies informed by hospitalization history and contact tracing.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. Vol. 118, no 37, article id e2111190118
Keywords [en]
asymptomatic colonization, infection control, antimicrobial resistance, mathematical model, healthcare associated infections
National Category
Infectious Medicine
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-198865DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2111190118ISI: 000705221100005PubMedID: 34493678OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-198865DiVA, id: diva2:1612197
Available from: 2021-11-17 Created: 2021-11-17 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textPubMed

Authority records

Pei, SenLiljeros, Fredrik

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Pei, SenLiljeros, Fredrik
By organisation
Department of Sociology
In the same journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Infectious Medicine

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
pubmed
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
pubmed
urn-nbn
Total: 91 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf