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Episodes of liberalization in autocracies: a new approach to quantitatively studying democratization
Stockholm University, Faculty of Humanities, Department of Archaeology and Classical Studies, Centre for Cultural Evolution. Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Zoology. Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3245-0850
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Number of Authors: 72023 (English)In: Political Science Research and Methods, ISSN 2049-8470, E-ISSN 2049-8489, Vol. 11, no 3, p. 501-520Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper introduces a new approach to the quantitative study of democratization. Building on the comparative case-study and large-N literature, it outlines an episode approach that identifies the discrete beginning of a period of political liberalization, traces its progression, and classifies episodes as successful versus different types of failing outcomes, thus avoiding potentially fallacious assumptions of unit homogeneity. We provide a description and analysis of all 383 liberalization episodes from 1900 to 2019, offering new insights on democratic “waves”. We also demonstrate the value of this approach by showing that while several established covariates are valuable for predicting the ultimate outcomes, none explain the onset of a period of liberalization.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2023. Vol. 11, no 3, p. 501-520
Keywords [en]
Comparative politics, political institutions
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies)
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-206891DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.11ISI: 000811455600001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-206891DiVA, id: diva2:1678570
Available from: 2022-06-29 Created: 2022-06-29 Last updated: 2024-03-26Bibliographically approved

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Lindenfors, Patrik

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