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Impacts on air pollution and health by changing commuting from car to bicycle
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Environmental Science and Analytical Chemistry. Environment and Health Administration, SLB, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8459-9852
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Number of Authors: 92017 (English)In: Science of the Total Environment, ISSN 0048-9697, E-ISSN 1879-1026, Vol. 584, p. 55-63Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Our study is based on individual data on people's home and work addresses, as well as their age, sex and physical capacity, in order to establish realistic bicycle-travel distances. A transport model is used to single out data on commuting preferences in the County Stockholm. Our analysis shows there is a very large potential for reducing emissions and exposure if all car drivers living within a distance corresponding to a maximum of a 30 min bicycle ride to work would change to commuting by bicycle. It would result in >111,000 new cyclists, corresponding to an increase of 209% compared to the current situation. Mean population exposure would be reduced by about 7% for both NOx and black carbon (BC) in the most densely populated area of the inner city of Stockholm. Applying a relative risk for NOx of 8% decrease in all-cause mortality associated with a 10 mu g m(-3) decrease in NOx, this corresponds to >449 (95% CI: 340-558) years of life saved annually for the Stockholm county area with 2.1 million inhabitants. This is more than double the effect of the reduced mortality estimated for the introduction of congestion charge in Stockholm in 2006. Using NO2 or BC as indicator of health impacts, we obtain 395 (95% CI: 172-617) and 185 (95% CI: 158-209) years of life saved for the population, respectively. The calculated exposure of BC and its corresponding impacts on mortality are likely underestimated. With this in mind the estimates using NOx, NO2 and BC show quite similar health impacts considering the 95% confidence intervals.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2017. Vol. 584, p. 55-63
Keywords [en]
Air pollution, Vehicle emissions, Road traffic, Human health, Population exposure
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
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URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-143585DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.01.145ISI: 000399358500007PubMedID: 28135613Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85010735696OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-143585DiVA, id: diva2:1104112
Available from: 2017-05-31 Created: 2017-05-31 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

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Johansson, Christer

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