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Another Look at the Relationship between Cohabitation and Marriage: The Use of Crude and Net Probabilities
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Stress Research Institute.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Statistics.
2017 (English)In: Bulletin of Sociological Methodology, ISSN 0759-1063, E-ISSN 2070-2779, Vol. 136, 66-73 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [fr]

Un nouveau regard sur la relation entre la cohabitation et le mariage - L’utilisation desprobabilite ́s brutes et nettes - La cohabitation informelle est-elle un pre ́lude au mariage ouun remplacement permanent? Dans cet article, nous proposons une approche base ́esurlarelation the ́orique entre les probabilite ́s brutes et nettes de mariage dans un cadre derisque concurrentiel. Les analyses base ́es sur la dynamique familiale chez les hommessue ́dois ne ́s en 1936-1964 montrent que les probabilite ́s du mariage augmentent si lacohabitation a e ́te ́e ́limine ́e (et que les probabilite ́s de cohabitation augmentent si lemariage a e ́te ́e ́limine ́). En outre, les gains dans les probabilite ́s nets augmentent aux aˆgesprincipaux de la formation des familles (20-28) mais sont moins significatifs a`d’autres aˆges.Ces re ́sultats appuient (au moins pour les donne ́es disponibles) l’argument selon lequel lacohabitation informelle sert de pre ́lude au mariage plutoˆt qu’un remplacement permanent.

Abstract [en]

In this paper we propose an approach based on the theoretical relationship betweencrude and net probabilities of marriage in a competing-risk framework. Analyses basedon family dynamics among Swedish men born 1936-1964 show that the probabilities ofmarriage increase if cohabitation was eliminated (and that probabilities of cohabitationincrease if marriage was eliminated). Further, the gains in net probabilities increase at the prime ages of family formation (20-28) but are less significant at other ages. Such resultssupport (at least for the data at hand) the argument that informal cohabitation serves as aprelude to marriage rather than a permanent replacement to it.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2017. Vol. 136, 66-73 p.
Keyword [en]
Cohabitation, Marriage, Crude and Net Probabilities, Competing risks, Sweden
Keyword [fr]
Cohabitation, Mariage, Probabilite's brutes et nettes, Les risques concurrentiels, Suède
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Demography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-143814DOI: 10.1177/0759106317725634OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-143814DiVA: diva2:1104513
Available from: 2017-06-01 Created: 2017-06-01 Last updated: 2017-11-01Bibliographically approved

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