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Persistent anomalies of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation as an initiator of El Nino/Southern Oscillation events
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Meteorology .ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5507-9209
Number of Authors: 32017 (English)In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 7, article id 10145Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Climates across both hemispheres are strongly influenced by tropical Pacific variability associated with the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Conversely, extratropical variability also can affect the tropics. In particular, seasonal-mean alterations of near-surface winds associated with the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) serve as a significant extratropical forcing agent of ENSO. However, it is still unclear what dynamical processes give rise to year-to-year shifts in these long-lived NPO anomalies. Here we show that intraseasonal variability in boreal winter pressure patterns over the Central North Pacific (CNP) imparts a significant signature upon the seasonal-mean circulations characteristic of the NPO. Further we show that the seasonal-mean signature results in part from year-to-year variations in persistent, quasi-stationary low-pressure intrusions into the subtropics of the CNP, accompanied by the establishment of persistent, quasi-stationary high-pressure anomalies over high latitudes of the CNP. Overall, we find that the frequency of these persistent extratropical anomalies (PEAs) during a given winter serves as a key modulator of intraseasonal variability in extratropical North Pacific circulations and, through their influence on the seasonal-mean circulations in and around the southern lobe of the NPO, the state of the equatorial Pacific 9-12 months later.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2017. Vol. 7, article id 10145
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Other Natural Sciences Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
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URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-147046DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-09580-9ISI: 000408781200004OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-147046DiVA, id: diva2:1143063
Available from: 2017-09-20 Created: 2017-09-20 Last updated: 2025-01-31Bibliographically approved

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Caballero, Rodrigo

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