Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Bayesian Change-point Modelling of the Effects of 3-points-for-a-win Rule in Football
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Statistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2910-8432
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Statistics.
2018 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

We examine the e⁄ects of the 3-point-for-a-win (3pfaw) rule in the football (soccer) world. Data on mean goals and proportions of decided matches from seven leagues around the world form the basis of our analyses. Bayesian change-point analysis shows that the rule had no e⁄ects on the mean goals in any of the leagues but, indeed, had increasing e⁄ects on the proportions of decided matches in most of the leagues studied. This, in turn, implies that while the rule has given teams the incentive to aim at winning matches, such aim was achieved not by scoring excess goals. Instead, it was achieved by scoring enough goals in order to win and, at the same, defending enough in order not to lose.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Stockholm University, 2018. , p. 25
Series
Research Report / Department of Statistics, Stockholm University, ISSN 0280-7564 ; 2018:3
Keywords [en]
Bayesianinference, Change-pointmodels, Football/Soccer, Three-points-for-a-winrule, Albania, Brazil, England, Germany, Poland, Romania, Scotland
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-151385OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-151385DiVA, id: diva2:1210356
Available from: 2018-05-28 Created: 2018-05-28 Last updated: 2024-08-29Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Authority records

Ghilagaber, GebrenegusMunezero, Parfait

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Ghilagaber, GebrenegusMunezero, Parfait
By organisation
Department of Statistics
Probability Theory and Statistics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 581 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf