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Extensive loss of past permafrost carbon but a net accumulation into present-day soils
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography.
Number of Authors: 32018 (English)In: Nature, ISSN 0028-0836, E-ISSN 1476-4687, Vol. 560, no 7717, p. 219-222Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide increased between the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, around 21,000 years ago) and the preindustrial era(1). It is thought that the evolution of this atmospheric carbon dioxide (and that of atmospheric methane) during the glacial-to-interglacial transition was influenced by organic carbon that was stored in permafrost during the LGM and then underwent decomposition and release following thaw(2,3). It has also been suggested that the rather erratic atmospheric delta C-13 and Delta C-14 signals seen during deglaciation(1.4) could partly be explained by the presence of a large terrestrial inert LGM carbon stock, despite the biosphere being less productive (and therefore storing less carbon)(5,6). Here we present an empirically derived estimate of the carbon stored in permafrost during the LGM by reconstructing the extent and carbon content of LGM biomes, peatland regions and deep sedimentary deposits. We find that the total estimated soil carbon stock for the LGM northern permafrost region is smaller than the estimated present-day storage (in both permafrost and non-permafrost soils) for the same region. A substantial decrease in the permafrost area from the LGM to the present day has been accompanied by a roughly 400-petagram increase in the total soil carbon stock. This increase in soil carbon suggests that permafrost carbon has made no net contribution to the atmospheric carbon pool since the LGM. However, our results also indicate potential postglacial reductions in the portion of the carbon stock that is trapped in permafrost, of around 1,000 petagrams, supporting earlier studies(7). We further find that carbon has shifted from being primarily stored in permafrost mineral soils and loess deposits during the LGM, to being roughly equally divided between peatlands, mineral soils and permafrost loess deposits today.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2018. Vol. 560, no 7717, p. 219-222
National Category
Physical Geography
Research subject
Physical Geography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-160126DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0371-0ISI: 000441115200045PubMedID: 30069043OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-160126DiVA, id: diva2:1249549
Available from: 2018-09-19 Created: 2018-09-19 Last updated: 2022-02-26Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Northern Permafrost Region Soil Carbon Dynamics since the Last Glacial Maximum: a terrestrial component in the glacial to interglacial carbon cycle
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Northern Permafrost Region Soil Carbon Dynamics since the Last Glacial Maximum: a terrestrial component in the glacial to interglacial carbon cycle
2020 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

At the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), after ~100,000 years of relatively cold temperatures and progressively lower atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, CO2 levels reached ~180 ppm, which is less than half of what we see today in a much warmer world (~400 ppm). Although much of this increase since the LGM is due to human-induced emissions, about 100 ppm of this increase can be attributed to natural variations seen over glacial to interglacial cycles. The sources for this natural CO2 rise remain unclear despite considerable efforts to constrain its origin. This thesis attempts to describe and quantify the role of soil carbon in this context, with emphasis on the permafrost hypothesis, which states that a shift from glacial to interglacial conditions released permafrost soil carbon to the atmosphere during the deglaciation. We present empirical estimates of the change in the Northern permafrost area between the LGM and present, and the associated soil carbon stock changes. We also partition these soil carbon stock changes at millennial intervals to capture not only the size but the timing of change. We find that the soil carbon stocks north of the Tropics decreased after the LGM to reach a minimum around 10,000 years ago, after which stocks increased to more than compensate for past losses. This may present part of a solution to untangle the marine and atmospheric 13C record, where the marine records suggest that the terrestrial carbon stock has grown since the LGM, while the atmospheric record also indicates terrestrial losses. To estimate the mineral soil carbon stocks, we have relied on vegetation reconstructions. Some of these reconstructions were created with a novel data-driven machine learning approach. This method may facilitate robust vegetation reconstruction when evidence of past conditions is readily available. Results in this thesis highlight the importance of permafrost, loess deposits and peatlands when considering the soil carbon cycle over long time scales.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, 2020. p. 50
Series
Dissertations in Physical Geography, ISSN 2003-2358 ; 6
Keywords
Soil organic carbon, Permafrost, Peat, Loess, Vegetation, Biome reconstruction, Last Glacial Maximum, Deglaciation, Glacial-interglacial cycle, Carbon cycle
National Category
Physical Geography
Research subject
Physical Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-183520 (URN)978-91-7911-234-9 (ISBN)978-91-7911-235-6 (ISBN)
Public defence
2020-09-18, De Geersalen, Geovetenskapens hus, Svante Arrhenius väg 14, digitally via conference (Zoom), public link https://stockholmuniversity.zoom.us/j/62786621027, Stockholm, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 1359211
Note

At the time of the doctoral defense, the following papers were unpublished and had a status as follows: Paper 3: Manuscript. Paper 4: Manuscript.

Available from: 2020-08-26 Created: 2020-07-20 Last updated: 2022-02-26Bibliographically approved

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Lindgren, AmelieHugelius, GustafKuhry, Peter

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