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Alberta wildfire 2016: Apt contribution from anomalous planetary wave dynamics
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Number of Authors: 62018 (English)In: Scientific Reports, ISSN 2045-2322, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 8, article id 12375Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In May-June 2016 the Canadian Province of Alberta suffered one of the most devastating wildfires in its history. Here we show that in mid-April to early May 2016 the large-scale circulation in the mid-and high troposphere of the middle and sub-polar latitudes of the northern hemisphere featured a persistent high-amplitude planetary wave structure dominated by the non-dimensional zonal wave number 4. The strongest anticyclonic wing of this structure was located over western Canada. In combination with a very strong El Nino event in winter 2015/2016 this favored highly anomalous, tinder-dry and high-temperature conditions at the surface in that area, entailing an increased fire hazard there. This critically contributed to the ignition of the Alberta Wildfire in May 2016, appearing to be the costliest disaster in Canadian history thus far.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2018. Vol. 8, article id 12375
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Other Natural Sciences
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URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-161141DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-30812-zISI: 000441876700078PubMedID: 30120398OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-161141DiVA, id: diva2:1256925
Available from: 2018-10-18 Created: 2018-10-18 Last updated: 2018-10-18Bibliographically approved

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Petri, StefanCoumou, DimSchellnhuber, Hans Joachim
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Stockholm Resilience Centre
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