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Macroeconomic risk and higher-moment risk premia
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Stockholm Business School, Finance.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2268-7996
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

In this paper I investigate the relation between macroeconomic risk and higher-moment risk premia. I use existing methodology on higher-moment swaps and estimate the excess returns for variance and skewness swaps. I also introduce new methodology for kurtosis swaps. The expected excess returns on such swaps are interpreted as higher-moment risk premia. I find evidence supporting an increase in tail risk when variance is low and expectations about economic growth are positive. In such periods higher-moment swaps act as a hedge against elevated tail risk, and buyers of such swaps accept lower returns, while sellers of the swaps collect higher-moment risk premia. I find evidence supporting a common source for higher-moment risk premia and that macroeconomic risk could propagate through this source. Finally, I present evidence that higher-moment swaps are good candidates for hedging macroeconomic risk due to higher payoffs when expectations about growth are negative.

Keywords [en]
higher-moment risk premia, macroeconomic nowcasting, derivatives, hedging
National Category
Business Administration
Research subject
Business Administration
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-183409OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-183409DiVA, id: diva2:1452772
Available from: 2020-07-07 Created: 2020-07-07 Last updated: 2022-02-26Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Essays on Risks in Investment Strategies
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Essays on Risks in Investment Strategies
2020 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This dissertation contains three articles, which investigate different types of risks investors encounter during the investment process.

Article I investigates the relation between macroeconomic risk and higher-moment moment risk premia. This article uses the existing methodology on higher-moment swaps to estimate variance and skewness swaps and develops new methodology for kurtosis swaps. The expected excess returns on such swaps are interpreted as higher-moment risk premia. The findings suggest that macroeconomic risk is relevant for higher-moment risk premia and that higher-moment swaps are good candidates for hedging macroeconomic risk.

Article II investigates the hedging and safe haven properties of gold and US Treasury bonds for different investment styles. The results show that hedging and safe haven properties depend on investment styles and change over time. US Treasury bonds exhibit more stable hedge properties than gold over time and should therefore be preferred by investors who hold market portfolios. The main lesson of the article is that investment style should be taken into consideration while formulating appropriate risk management and diversification strategies.

Article III investigates how attention to different types of information are related to retail investors' portfolio performance. The findings suggest that paying attention has a differential impact on performance depending on the type of information. Portfolio monitoring and attention to financial education are positively related to performance, while attention to analytical information is detrimental to performance. The attention to technical analysis is negatively related to performance of actively trading investors, but improves the performance of less frequent traders.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Stockholm Business School, Stockholm University, 2020. p. 11
Keywords
investment strategies, risk, hedging, diversification, derivatives, safe haven, investor behavior, financial education
National Category
Business Administration
Research subject
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-183412 (URN)978-91-7911-228-8 (ISBN)978-91-7911-229-5 (ISBN)
Public defence
2020-09-16, digitally via conference (Zoom), public link at Stockholm Business School, Stockholm, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Note

At the time of the doctoral defense, the following papers were unpublished and had a status as follows: Paper 1: Manuscript. Paper 3: Manuscript.

Available from: 2020-08-24 Created: 2020-07-08 Last updated: 2022-02-26Bibliographically approved

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Khrashchevskyi, Ian

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Citation style
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Output format
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