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Development of novel hybridized models for urban flood susceptibility mapping
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography.
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Number of Authors: 122020 (English)In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 10, no 1, article id 12937Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Floods in urban environments often result in loss of life and destruction of property, with many negative socio-economic effects. However, the application of most flood prediction models still remains challenging due to data scarcity. This creates a need to develop novel hybridized models based on historical urban flood events, using, e.g., metaheuristic optimization algorithms and wavelet analysis. The hybridized models examined in this study (Wavelet-SVR-Bat and Wavelet-SVR-GWO), designed as intelligent systems, consist of a support vector regression (SVR), integrated with a combination of wavelet transform and metaheuristic optimization algorithms, including the grey wolf optimizer (GWO), and the bat optimizer (Bat). The efficiency of the novel hybridized and standalone SVR models for spatial modeling of urban flood inundation was evaluated using different cutoff-dependent and cutoff-independent evaluation criteria, including area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Accuracy (A), Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC), Misclassification Rate (MR), and F-score. The results demonstrated that both hybridized models had very high performance (Wavelet-SVR-GWO: AUC=0.981, A=0.92, MCC=0.86, MR=0.07; Wavelet-SVR-Bat: AUC=0.972, A=0.88, MCC=0.76, MR=0.11) compared with the standalone SVR (AUC=0.917, A=0.85, MCC=0.7, MR=0.15). Therefore, these hybridized models are a promising, cost-effective method for spatial modeling of urban flood susceptibility and for providing in-depth insights to guide flood preparedness and emergency response services.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2020. Vol. 10, no 1, article id 12937
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Civil Engineering
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URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-185448DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-69703-7ISI: 000556412200011PubMedID: 32737384OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-185448DiVA, id: diva2:1475073
Available from: 2020-10-12 Created: 2020-10-12 Last updated: 2022-09-15Bibliographically approved

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Kalantari, ZahraKarimidastenaei, Zahra

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