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A method to find an efficient and robust sampling strategy under model uncertainty
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Statistics.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Statistics.
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

We consider the problem of deciding on sampling strategy, in particular sampling design. We propose a risk measure, whose minimizing value guides the choice. The method makes use of a superpopulation model and takes into account uncertainty about its parameters through a prior distribution. The method is illustrated with a real dataset, yielding satisfactory results. As a baseline, we use the strategy that couples probability proportional-to-size sampling with the difference estimator, as it is known to be optimal when the superpopulation model is fully known. We show that, even under moderate misspecifications of the model, this strategy is not robust and can be outperformed by some alternatives.

Keywords [en]
Sampling design, GREG estimator, Risk Measure
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-185927OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-185927DiVA, id: diva2:1477253
Available from: 2020-10-17 Created: 2020-10-17 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Essays on Sample Surveys: Design and Estimation
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Essays on Sample Surveys: Design and Estimation
2020 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Sampling is a core stage in every survey. A sampling design carefully elaborated may imply not only a more accurate estimation of the parameters of interest, but also a reduction in the required sample size in a study. In this thesis we consider two particular but connected subjects. On the one hand, the selection of samples with probabilities proportional to some prescribed values. The first two papers are devoted to this topic. On the other hand, the choice of sampling design to implement in a given survey, which is a topic to which the last two papers are devoted.

Probability proportional to size sampling designs, often referred to as πps designs, are of practical interest due to their potential efficiency. In the literature we can find many of these designs, all having different characteristics. In the first paper we describe and compare ten πps designs with respect to several desired properties. The results suggest that the so called order sampling methods, as well as those proposed by Sunter and Chromy may be considered as good options from a practitioner's point of view.

In the second paper we introduce an algorithm for approximating a target distribution by a mixture distribution. Being a mixture, most of its properties are easy to calculate. We illustrate the use of the algorithm with several examples, both univariate and multivariate. The results indicate that the algorithm succeeds in approximating the target distribution.

The strategy that couples πps designs with the generalized regression estimator is optimal under a given superpopulation model. However, this optimality assumes that the model is correct and some of its parameters are known, which are assumptions that are hardly satisfied in practice. In the third paper we introduce a method that allows for incorporating uncertainty about the model parameters into the choice of the sampling design and then quantifying this uncertainty with a risk measure. The method is illustrated with a real dataset. The results show that the method allowed us to correctly choose the sampling design. The risk measure -as well as other functions that are useful at the planning stage of a survey- is implemented in the package optimStrat developed for R. The fourth paper in this thesis describes the functions in this package.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Statistics, Stockholm University, 2020. p. 40
Keywords
GREG estimator, mixture distribution, probability proportional to size sampling, sampling algorithms, sampling design, sampling strategy, survey sampling, stratified sampling
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-185930 (URN)978-91-7911-268-4 (ISBN)978-91-7911-269-1 (ISBN)
Public defence
2020-12-04, Nordenskiöldsalen, Geovetenskapens hus, Svante Arrhenius väg 12, Stockholm, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2020-11-11 Created: 2020-10-17 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved

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Bueno, EdgarHedlin, Dan

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
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