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Observation-constrained atmospheric lifetime and emission fluxes of black carbon aerosols over South Asia
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Environmental Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7222-7982
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Environmental Science.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Environmental Science.
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(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Black carbon (BC) aerosols cause climate perturbation and affect air quality/human health. In densely populated South Asia—where the warming effect of BC is estimated to be ~ orders of magnitude higher than the global average—model simulations underestimate the wintertime atmospheric abundance of BC relative to surface observations. Two possible explanations for this model-observation offset are ill-constrained regional emission fluxes and atmospheric BC lifetime  (τBC). Here, we combine hourly-resolved BC and carbon monoxide (CO) measurements for three successive winters from a South Asian receptor site—the Maldives Climate Observatory at Hanimaadhoo (MCOH)—in inverse frameworks, to assess the impact of emissions fluxes and lifetimes on ambient BC concentrations. The average ΔBC/ΔCO ratio (background corrected) at MCOH of 14±5 ng m-3 ppb-1 is found to be 2-3 times higher than in the East Asian outflow (range: 2 to 8 ng m-3 ppb-1). A BC transport efficiency of ~86% suggests low influence of wet scavenging processes during the dry South Asian winter period. Using statistical time series analysis, the τBC for dry wintertime South Asia is estimated to be 8±0.5 days, which is higher than commonly used in models. By coupling air mass back trajectories, lifetimes, and the ΔBC/ΔCO time-series data within an inverse modelling framework, we provide an observation-based “top-down” BC emission flux for South Asia estimated to be ~2.4±1 Tg/year. This is significantly higher than estimates from current “bottom-up” emission inventories (EIs). Taken together, this study suggests  that to reconcile long-standing BC model-observation offsets in South Asia, existing emission estimates may need to be more than doubled in magnitude.

National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Atmospheric Sciences and Oceanography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-190257OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-190257DiVA, id: diva2:1527763
Available from: 2021-02-11 Created: 2021-02-11 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Isotope-based constraints on sources and processing of black carbon, carbon monoxide, and brown carbon in South Asia
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Isotope-based constraints on sources and processing of black carbon, carbon monoxide, and brown carbon in South Asia
2021 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The highly populated South Asian region is facing rapid economic growth and urbanization. Here, both climate- and health-affecting atmospheric agents such as light-absorbing aerosols black carbon (BC) and brown carbon (BrC), trace gas carbon monoxide (CO), are often found in relatively high levels compared to in other regions. However, atmospheric chemistry-transport/climate models are unable to fully capture the extent of the abundance of BC, CO, and BrC in the regional atmosphere during winter. The Thesis aims to address potentially important uncertainties that may be contributing to the model-observation offset — uncertainties in the ambient optical properties of BrC, uncertainties in the relative source contributions of BC (biomass burning vs. fossil fuel combustion) and CO (direct emission-derived vs. atmospheric chemical oxidation-derived), uncertainties in the regional lifetime and absolute emission fluxes of BC. For the Thesis work, field sampling was conducted at three sites, megacity Delhi (key source region), the Bangladesh Climate Observatory–Bhola Island (BCOB; receptor site for the highly-polluted Indo-Gangetic Plain) and the Maldives Climate Observatory–Hanimaadhoo Island (MCOH; receptor site for wider South Asia).

The light-absorptivity of water-soluble BrC is found to decrease by ~84% during transport of haze from source-to-receptor regions i.e., Delhi-to-BCOB-to-MCOH — much greater than estimated in chamber studies and accounted in models. Atmospheric photochemical oxidation is found to be a likely driver for the loss of water-soluble BrC light-absorption in the S Asian outflow (with an estimated bleaching rate of 0.20±0.05 day−1) (Paper I). Radiocarbon (Δ14C)-based source apportionment of BC aerosols shows a stark similarity in the relative contributions of fossil (~50%) and biomass sources (~50%) at BCOB as well as at MCOH, suggesting a regional homogeneity in BC source contributions. However, a distinct stable isotopic fingerprint (δ13C) of BC in the N Indian Ocean is found to be arising from a small yet significant contribution (upto 10%) from C4-biomass burning in peninsular India (region south of 23.4°N) (Paper II). Comparison of source-segregated observed and emission inventory-driven modeled BC concentrations indicates regional offsets in the anthropogenic emission fluxes of BC in emission inventories—overestimated fossil-BC in the Indo-Gangetic Plain and underestimated biomass-BC in peninsular India (Paper II). Dual-isotope (δ13C, δ18O)-based source apportionment of CO shows a significantly large contribution (~80%) from direct emissions of primary sources (biomass burning and fossil fuel combustion) in South Asia, in contrast to modeled CO budget (Paper III). The BC-to-CO ratio in South Asia is found to be higher, by a factor of 2-3, than in other polluted regions such as in East Asia during winter. The regional lifetime and emission flux of BC are estimated to be 8±0.5 days (higher than values used in models) and ~2.4±1 Tg/yr (significantly higher than estimated in current emission inventories), respectively (Paper IV).

Taken together, for convergence between models and observations in wintertime South Asia, i) the ‘dynamic’ nature of BrC light-absorption should be considered in models, ii) improvements in emission information of BC and CO are needed for better-simulating concentrations. Controls on activities such as open burning (such as agricultural crop residue burning, domestic burning of wood and dung as fuel) in South Asia could enable a reduction in BC, CO, and BrC, thereby leading to improved air quality and paving the way for achieving some of the key sustainable development goals outlined by the United Nations.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Environmental Science, Stockholm University, 2021. p. 63
Keywords
South Asia, Air Pollution, Short-Lived Pollutants, Atmospheric Abundance, Model-Observation Mismatch, Radiocarbon, Stable Isotopes
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Applied Environmental Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-190259 (URN)978-91-7911-442-8 (ISBN)978-91-7911-443-5 (ISBN)
Public defence
2021-03-31, De Geersalen, Geovetenskapens hus, Svante Arrhenius väg 14, Stockholm, 10:00 (English)
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Supervisors
Available from: 2021-03-08 Created: 2021-02-11 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

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Dasari, SanjeevAndersson, AugustHolmstrand, HenryGustafsson, Örjan

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