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Fingerprint of climate change in precipitation aggressiveness across the central Mediterranean (Italian) area
Stockholm University, Faculty of Humanities, Department of History. Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0220-3947
Number of Authors: 32020 (English)In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 10, no 1, article id 22062Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Rainfall erosivity and its derivative, erosivity density (ED, i.e., the erosivity per unit of rain), is a main driver of considerable environmental damages and economic losses worldwide. This study is the first to investigate the interannual variability, and return periods, of both rainfall erosivity and ED over the Mediterranean for the period 1680-2019. By capturing the relationship between seasonal rainfall, its variability, and recorded hydrological extremes in documentary data consistent with a sample (1981-2015) of detailed Revised Universal Soil Loss Erosion-based data, we show a noticeable decreasing trend of rainfall erosivity since about 1838. However, the 30-year return period of ED values indicates a positive long-term trend, in tandem with the resurgence of very wet days (>95th percentile) and the erosive activity of rains during the past two decades. A possible fingerprint of recent warming is the occurrence of prolonged wet spells in apparently more erratic and unexpected ways.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2020. Vol. 10, no 1, article id 22062
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Civil Engineering Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
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URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-190653DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-78857-3ISI: 000603657800028PubMedID: 33328541OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-190653DiVA, id: diva2:1533110
Available from: 2021-03-03 Created: 2021-03-03 Last updated: 2025-01-31Bibliographically approved

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Charpentier Ljungqvist, Fredrik

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