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Recent European drought extremes beyond Common Era background variability
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography. University of Cambridge, UK.
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Number of Authors: 172021 (English)In: Nature Geoscience, ISSN 1752-0894, E-ISSN 1752-0908, Vol. 14, no 4, p. 190-196Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Europe's recent summer droughts have had devastating ecological and economic consequences, but the severity and cause of these extremes remain unclear. Here we present 27,080 annually resolved and absolutely dated measurements of tree-ring stable carbon and oxygen (delta C-13 and delta O-18) isotopes from 21 living and 126 relict oaks (Quercus spp.) used to reconstruct central European summer hydroclimate from 75 bce to 2018 ce. We find that the combined inverse delta C-13 and delta O-18 values correlate with the June-August Palmer Drought Severity Index from 1901-2018 at 0.73 (P < 0.001). Pluvials around 200, 720 and 1100 ce, and droughts around 40, 590, 950 and 1510 ce and in the twenty-first century, are superimposed on a multi-millennial drying trend. Our reconstruction demonstrates that the sequence of recent European summer droughts since 2015 ce is unprecedented in the past 2,110 years. This hydroclimatic anomaly is probably caused by anthropogenic warming and associated changes in the position of the summer jet stream. European summer droughts in recent years are anomalously severe compared with those of the previous 2,000 years, according to a synthesis of annually resolved tree-ring carbon and oxygen isotope records.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. Vol. 14, no 4, p. 190-196
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Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
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URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-193207DOI: 10.1038/s41561-021-00698-0ISI: 000629110500001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-193207DiVA, id: diva2:1555455
Available from: 2021-05-18 Created: 2021-05-18 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

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Urban, OtmarKrusic, Paul J.Rybníček, MichalCherubini, PaoloTrnka, Miroslav

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