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HOUSEHOLD DEBT AND MONETARY POLICY: REVEALING THE CASH-FLOW CHANNEL
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economics. CEPR, UK.
Number of Authors: 42021 (English)In: Economic Journal, ISSN 0013-0133, E-ISSN 1468-0297, Vol. 131, no 636, p. 1742-1771Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We examine the effect of monetary policy on household spending when households are indebted and interest rates on outstanding loans are linked to short-term interest rates. Using administrative data on balance sheets and consumption expenditure of Swedish households, we reveal the cash-flow transmission channel of monetary policy. On average, indebted households reduce consumption spending by an additional 0.23-0.55 percentage points in response to a one-percentage-point increase in the policy rate, relative to a household with no debt. We show that these responses are driven by households that have some or a large share of their debt in contracts where interest rates vary with short-term interest rates, such as adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), which implies that monetary policy shocks are quickly passed through to interest expenses.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. Vol. 131, no 636, p. 1742-1771
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-195247DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueaa135ISI: 000654680600010OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-195247DiVA, id: diva2:1584313
Available from: 2021-08-11 Created: 2021-08-11 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved

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Vestman, Roine

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