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A Multi-Criteria Framework for Pandemic Response Measures
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Computer and Systems Sciences. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, IIASA, Austria; Innovating Governance, Austria.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Computer and Systems Sciences. Public Health Agency of Sweden, Sweden.
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Number of Authors: 52021 (English)In: Frontiers in Public Health, E-ISSN 2296-2565, Vol. 9, article id 583706Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In managing the COVID-19 pandemic, several compelling narratives seem to have played a significant role in the decision-making processes regarding which risk mitigation and management measures to implement. Many countries were to a large extent unprepared for such a situation, even though predictions about a significant probability for a pandemic to occur existed, and national governments of several countries often acted in an uncoordinated manner, which resulted in many inconsistencies in the disaster risk reduction processes. Limited evidence has also made room for strategic narratives meant to persuade the public of the chosen set of actions, even though the degree of uncertainty regarding the outcomes of these was high, further complicating the situation. In this article, we assume a normative standpoint regarding rhapsodic decision making and suggest an integrated framework for a more elaborated decision analysis under the ambiguity of how to contain the virus spread from a policy point of view, while considering epidemiologic estimations and socioeconomic factors in a multi-stakeholder-multi-criteria context based on a co-creative work process for eliciting attitudes, perceptions, as well as preferences amongst relevant stakeholder groups. The framework, applied in our paper on Romania for demonstrative purposes, is used for evaluating mitigation measures for catastrophic events such as the COVID-19 situation, to mobilize better response strategies for future scenarios related to pandemics and other hazardous events, as well as to structure the production and analysis of narratives on the current pandemic effects.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. Vol. 9, article id 583706
Keywords [en]
multi-criteria decision analysis, managing and mitigating the risk of COVID 19 pandemic, risk governance, SEIR models, participation and inclusion
National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine Other Social Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-195319DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.583706ISI: 000646769600001PubMedID: 33968871OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-195319DiVA, id: diva2:1584549
Available from: 2021-08-12 Created: 2021-08-12 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved

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Ekenberg, LoveFasth, TobiasDanielson, Mats

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