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Trend correlations for coastal eutrophication and its main local and whole-sea drivers - Application to the Baltic Sea
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9174-0765
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Number of Authors: 62021 (English)In: Science of the Total Environment, ISSN 0048-9697, E-ISSN 1879-1026, Vol. 779, article id 146367Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Coastal eutrophication is a major environmental issue worldwide. In the Baltic Sea, eutrophication affects both the coastal waters and the open sea. Various policy frameworks aim to hinder its progress but eutrophication-relevant water quality variables, such as chlorophyll-a concentrations, still exhibit opposite temporal trends in various Baltic Sea marine and coastal waters. In this study, we investigate the temporal-trend linkages of measured water quality variables and their various anthropogenic, climatic and hydrospheric drivers over the period 1990–2020 with focus on the Swedish coastal waters and related marine basins in the Baltic Sea.

We find that it is necessary to distinguish more and less isolated coastal waters, based on their water exchanges with the open sea, to capture different coastal eutrophication dynamics. In less isolated coastal waters, eutrophication is primarily related to nitrogen concentrations, while it is more related to phosphorus concentrations in more isolated coastal waters. In the open sea, trends in eutrophication conditions correlate best with trends in climatic and hydrospheric drivers, like wind speed and water salinity, respectively. In the coastal waters, driver signals are more mixed, with considerable influences from anthropogenic land-based nutrient loads and sea-ice cover duration. Summer chlorophyll-a concentration in the open sea stands out as a main change driver of summer chlorophyll-a concentration in less isolated coastal waters. Overall, coastal waters are a melting pot of driver influences over various scales, from local land-based drivers to large-scale total catchment and open sea conditions. The latter in turn depend on long-term integration of pathway-dependent influences from the various coastal parts of the Baltic Sea and their land-based nutrient load drivers, combined with overarching climate conditions and internal feedback loops. As such, our results challenge any unidirectional local source-to-sea paradigm and emphasize a need for concerted local land-catchment and whole-sea measures for robust coastal eutrophication management.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. Vol. 779, article id 146367
Keywords [en]
Coastal eutrophication, Hydroclimatic change, Eutrophication management, Temporal trends, Baltic Sea
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-195708DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146367ISI: 000655683800009PubMedID: 34030242OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-195708DiVA, id: diva2:1587689
Available from: 2021-08-25 Created: 2021-08-25 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Managing coastal eutrophication: Land-sea and hydroclimatic linkages with focus on the Baltic coastal system
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Managing coastal eutrophication: Land-sea and hydroclimatic linkages with focus on the Baltic coastal system
2021 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Eutrophication endangers coastal ecosystems all over the world and is most often associated with an increase in anthropogenic nutrient loads to coastal waters, which fuel the growth of algae and create a variety of environmental problems. This is also the case for the Baltic Sea where coastal waters may be affected by various land, coast-sea, and hydroclimatic drivers and feedbacks, over different scales, including the eutrophic open sea. This thesis aims at improving our understanding of how these drivers affect coastal eutrophication and its management opportunities across the various coupled scales of the Baltic land-coast-sea system. To achieve this aim, the interactions between land-catchment, coastal, and open sea processes, and their influences on coastal eutrophication have been investigated through water quality modelling with applications to specific Baltic coastal waters. Hydroclimatic influences on the propagation of change-impacts through the land-coast-sea continuum to coastal eutrophication have also been investigated via the water quality modelling and additional analysis of actual water quality trends over the last 30 years along the Swedish coast. Moreover, coastal eutrophication research on the Baltic Sea system has been investigated through scientific literature analysis with focus on how the reported research has accounted for and linked components in the land-coast-sea system, and the aim to identify possible research gaps.

Results show that impacts of water quality improvements in the open sea propagate to a large share of the coastal waters, especially for phosphorus and phytoplankton, while impacts of reducing nutrient loads from land are more localised and more pronounced for nitrogen than for phosphorus. Therefore, reducing coastal nitrogen, phosphorus and phytoplankton concentrations requires both regional measures for open sea improvements and local land-catchment measures for reduction of nutrient loads to the specific coast. Moreover, data analysis shows that trends in coastal Summer chlorophyll a (Chl-a) are well correlated with those in open sea Summer Chl-a and in riverine nitrogen loads. Regarding hydroclimatic drivers, warmer and wetter conditions are found to complicate remediation of coastal eutrophication in comparison to drier and colder conditions. In addition, trends in coastal Summer Chl-a are well correlated with those in sea-ice conditions. These results highlight the various land-based, coastal, open sea, and hydroclimatic drivers and conditions that mix, interact in and influence the coastal waters. The various driver, management, and ecosystem components involved are overall included in Baltic coastal eutrophication research. However, specific coastal management measures, and feedbacks between drivers and impacts of coastal eutrophication are under-investigated, and the social and ecological components of the whole land-coast-sea system are not well-connected in the research.

Furthermore, long-lived legacy sources on land, as well as at sea, have not been much accounted for in coastal eutrophication research so far. This calls for further research on recovery time scales and specific remediation measures that can be effective against such sources, like mussel farming and wetlands. Finally, coastal eutrophication management needs to account for the influences on local coastal conditions from a melting pot of multi-scale drivers and biogeochemical as well as ecological impacts and feedbacks.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, 2021. p. 55
Series
Dissertations in Physical Geography, ISSN 2003-2358 ; 17
Keywords
coastal eutrophication, land-coast-sea continuum, management, hydroclimatic change, research gaps, eutrophication modelling, temoporal trends, scoping review, Baltic Sea
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Physical Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-197824 (URN)978-91-7911-650-7 (ISBN)978-91-7911-651-4 (ISBN)
Public defence
2021-12-03, Högbomsalen, Geovetenskapens hus, Svante Arrhenius väg 12 and online via Zoom, public link: https://stockholmuniversity.zoom.us/j/69359380835, Stockholm, 13:00 (English)
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Available from: 2021-11-10 Created: 2021-10-18 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

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Vigouroux, GuillaumeKari, ElinaUotila, PetteriDestouni, Georgia

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