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A prototype Earth system impact metric that accounts for cross-scale interactions
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre. Australian National University, Australia.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9719-9826
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7335-5679
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre. Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1617-4067
Number of Authors: 42021 (English)In: Environmental Research Letters, E-ISSN 1748-9326, Vol. 16, no 11, article id 115005Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Human activities are disrupting the Earth system's biophysical processes, which underlie human wellbeing. The planetary boundary framework sets 'safe' global limits on these pressures, but a sub-global assessment of these pressures, their interactions and subsequent systemic effects is needed to enable corporate and public entities to assess the systemic environmental impacts of their decisions. Here, we developed a prototype Earth system impact metric that is savvy to Earth system interactions. First, we quantified sub-global interactions between climate change, surface water runoff, and vegetation cover using the global dynamic vegetation model LPJmL (Lund-Potsdam-Jena managed Land). Second, we used a feedback model to study how these interactions amplify environmental impacts. We found, for example, that interactions more than double the Earth system impacts of deforestation in some tropical forests. Finally, we combined these amplification factors with an assessment of the current state of the Earth system to create a prototype Earth system impact metric. We envision that future versions of our prototype metric will allow corporate and public actors to better assess the systemic environmental impacts of their decisions. Our ambition is that these results catalyse further scientific work to extend and improve this metric, as well as action by investors, companies, cities, and governments to deliver sustainable outcomes across the private and public sectors.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. Vol. 16, no 11, article id 115005
Keywords [en]
human pressures, feedbacks, impact metric, Earth system interactions, land cover change
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-198632DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2db1ISI: 000709097600001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-198632DiVA, id: diva2:1611351
Available from: 2021-11-15 Created: 2021-11-15 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved

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Lade, Steven J.Fetzer, IngoCornell, Sarah E.Crona, Beatrice

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