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Links between food trade, climate change and food security in developed countries: A case study of Sweden
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6441-0293
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography. Navarino Environmental Observatory, Greece.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3709-4103
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography. KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7978-0040
Number of Authors: 32022 (English)In: Ambio, ISSN 0044-7447, E-ISSN 1654-7209, Vol. 51, no 4, p. 943-954Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Food security is a global concern affecting even highly developed countries. Ongoing globalisation of food systems, characterised by trading interdependencies, means that agricultural production can be disrupted by climate change, affecting food availability. This study investigated Sweden's food security by identifying major food import categories and associated trade partners (using the World Integrated Trade System database) and vulnerability to frictions in trade deriving from climate change. Vulnerability was assessed through three indicators: exposure based on diversity of sources, dominance and direct trade from supplying countries; sensitivity, assessed using the Climate Risk Index, and adaptive capacity, assessed using the Fragile State Index. The results revealed that Sweden's grain imports may be most vulnerable, and animal products least vulnerable, to climate change. Management strategies based on this preliminary assessment can be developed by integrating climate vulnerability deriving from food trading into the 'Gravity' model, to improve prediction of trade flows.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2022. Vol. 51, no 4, p. 943-954
Keywords [en]
Climate vulnerability, Developed countries, Food security, Food trade flows, Sourcing countries
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences Other Social Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-198685DOI: 10.1007/s13280-021-01623-wISI: 000698886700002PubMedID: 34561835OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-198685DiVA, id: diva2:1611529
Available from: 2021-11-15 Created: 2021-11-15 Last updated: 2025-01-31Bibliographically approved

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Horn, BlazeFerreira, CarlaKalantari, Zahra

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