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Uncertainty-Accounting Environmental Policy and Management of Water Systems
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology. (Mark- och vattenresurser/Hydrologi)
2007 (English)In: Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 41, no 10, 3653–3659- p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Environmental policies for water quality and ecosystem

management do not commonly require explicit stochastic

accounts of uncertainty and risk associated with the

quantification and prediction of waterborne pollutant loads

and abatement effects. In this study, we formulate and

investigate a possible environmental policy that does require

an explicit stochastic uncertainty account. We compare

both the environmental and economic resource allocation

performance of such an uncertainty-accounting environmental

policy with that of deterministic, risk-prone and riskaverse

environmental policies under a range of different

hypothetical, yet still possible, scenarios. The comparison

indicates that a stochastic uncertainty-accounting

policy may perform better than deterministic policies over

a range of different scenarios. Even in the absence of

reliable site-specific data, reported literature values appear

to be useful for such a stochastic account of uncertainty.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2007. Vol. 41, no 10, 3653–3659- p.
Keyword [en]
Water quality, Pollutant loads, Heavy metals, Stochastic processes, Ecosystem management, Environmental policy, Ecological economics
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology, Water Resources Geochemistry Physical Geography Oceanography, Hydrology, Water Resources Environmental Sciences Probability Theory and Statistics Economics and Business
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-22071DOI: doi:10.1021/es061515eISI: 000246371800046OAI: diva2:188598
Synopsis: We investigate environmental policy for water quality and ecosystem management that explicitly accounts for uncertainty associated with variability and randomness of pollutant loads and effects.Available from: 2007-05-15 Created: 2007-05-15 Last updated: 2011-01-11Bibliographically approved

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Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology
Oceanography, Hydrology, Water ResourcesGeochemistryPhysical GeographyOceanography, Hydrology, Water ResourcesEnvironmental SciencesProbability Theory and StatisticsEconomics and Business

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ReferencesLink to record
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