Flood management policy has been the subject of an international joint research
project with the Upper Tisza in Hungary as its pilot study area. Design specications
for a geographically explicit simulation model are presented. Potential flood
management policies, based on surveys and interviews with stakeholders, are presented.
Some experiments on an executable prototype of the simulation model are
also reported on, where the consequences of flood management policies are investigated.
Focus has been on nancial policy measures, mainly insurance. Besides
more traditional evaluation of policy scenarios, the model incorporates adaptive
optimisation functionality. The report incorporates three contributions:
1. the insurance policy issue in Hungary is framed in the broader context of flood
2. the structuring of a flood risk policy model, capable of simulating flood failures
and estimating the economic consequences
3. reports from policy experiments performed on the implemented prototype
flood risk policy model
Laxenburg: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis , 2003. , 39 p.