Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Demographics and Future Needs for Public Long Term Care and Services among the Elderly in Sweden: The Need for Planning
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Social Work.
2007 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Long term care and social services (LTCaS) for older people are an important part of the Scandinavian welfare state. The fast growing number of elderly people in Sweden has caused many concerns about increases in future needs (and particularly costs) of age-related social programs such as LTCaS. The general aim of this dissertation is to examine how projected demographic changes may affect future needs for long-term care and services in Sweden assuming different trends in morbidity and mortality. The following data sources are used: national population registers, register data on inpatient/outpatient health care from region Skåne, the Swedish National Survey on Living Conditions (SNSLC) for the period 1975-1999. Three alternative methods to inform simple demographic extrapolations of needs for health and social care for the elderly are presented. Furthermore, a new method for demographic projections has been developed. According to our studies, the health of older people (measured as the prevalence of severe ill-health) has improved during the study period. Taking into account health status, when projecting future needs for LTCaS, will result in a fairly substantial reduction of the rate of the demographically influenced increase in projected LTCaS needs. The changes in population composition regarding education and mortality differentials per educational level may have a significant impact on the number of the elderly in the future. On the other hand, the projected increase in the number of older people suffering from severe ill-health, as a consequence of population ageing, may be counterbalanced to a large extent by changes in the educational composition towards a higher proportion of the population having a high educational level and lower prevalence of severe ill-health. We need to improve our planning tools in order to support policy-makers to plan for uncertainty concerning future needs and demand for LTCaS.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Institutionen för socialt arbete - Socialhögskolan , 2007. , 118 p.
Series
Stockholm studies in social work, ISSN 0281-2851 ; 24
Keyword [en]
ageing, planning, demographic projections, health status, mortality, educational composition, last years of life
National Category
Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified
Research subject
Social Work
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-6787ISBN: 978-91-7155-428-4 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-6787DiVA: diva2:197046
Public defence
2007-05-11, Aula Svea, Socialhögskolan, Sveaplan, Stockholm, 10:00
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2007-04-19 Created: 2007-04-19Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(567 kB)3826 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 567 kBChecksum SHA-1
28765a6d796356296c66504866ad62f3a3d363543aef567fee9acb037de531e27d0c4de0
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf
cover(1144 kB)37 downloads
File information
File name COVER01.pdfFile size 1144 kBChecksum SHA-1
ab29d011ba78ea67cc201d06c03a9f7b1bd363b26764f7c8e7ff61bb101f996b8349baed
Type coverMimetype application/pdf

By organisation
Department of Social Work
Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 3826 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

isbn
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

isbn
urn-nbn
Total: 2862 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf