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The domino effect: A network analysis of regime shifts drivers and causal pathways
Stockholm University, Stockholm Resilience Centre.
2010 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 40 credits / 60 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

The purpose of this paper is to perform an exploratory analysis of the causalinteractions among global change drivers of regime shifts. Causal loops diagrams were usedto collect a set of feedback mechanisms underlying abrupt change dynamics in 11 regimeshifts. In order to prioritize drivers and to map out possible causal pathways we used networkanalysis. Agricultural processes, global warming, biodiversity loss, demographic andeconomic drivers are the main causes of regime shifts. Based on the analysis of 400pathways, we intuitively suggest five types of cascading effects between regime shifts.Regime shifts dramatically affect the provision of ecosystem services and might underminethe achievement of the first Millennium Development Goal: reduction of hunger and poverty.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2010. , 119 p.
Keyword [en]
regime shift, drivers, network analysis, causal pathways
National Category
Social Sciences Interdisciplinary
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-45802OAI: diva2:369772
Life Earth Science
Available from: 2010-11-11 Created: 2010-11-11 Last updated: 2011-01-04Bibliographically approved

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