Change search
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century
Show others and affiliations
2010 (English)In: Science, ISSN 0036-8075, Vol. 330, no 6010, 1496-1501 p.Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Quantitative scenarios are coming of age as a tool for evaluating the impact of future socioeconomic development pathways on biodiversity and ecosystem services. We analyze global terrestrial, freshwater, and marine biodiversity scenarios using a range of measures including extinctions, changes in species abundance, habitat loss, and distribution shifts, as well as comparing model projections to observations. Scenarios consistently indicate that biodiversity will continue to decline over the 21st century. However, the range of projected changes is much broader than most studies suggest, partly because there are major opportunities to intervene through better policies, but also because of large uncertainties in projections.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2010. Vol. 330, no 6010, 1496-1501 p.
National Category
Natural Sciences
Research subject
Natural Resources Management
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-51264DOI: 10.1126/science.1196624ISI: 000285153500053OAI: diva2:384974
authorCount :23Available from: 2011-01-10 Created: 2011-01-10 Last updated: 2011-01-10Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text

Other links

Publisher's full text

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Biggs, Reinette
By organisation
Stockholm Resilience Centre
In the same journal
Natural Sciences

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

Altmetric score

Total: 32 hits
ReferencesLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link