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Transmission Capacity between Norway and Germany - a Real Options Analysis
Department of Statistical Science, University College London, Gower Street, London.
2011 (English)In: Journal of Energy Markets, ISSN 1756-3615, Vol. 4, no 1, 121-147 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Interconnection of two electricity markets provides revenues to the owner of the line. In this paper we study the alternatives open to an investor holding a unique right to construct transmission capacity between Norway and Germany. The alternatives are either constructing a 700 MW cable with a subsequent expansion option, or to construct a 1400 MW cable. We use a real options valuation (ROV) framework to decide which capacity should be chosen, and when the investment should be carried through. Our scientific contribution is to apply the ROV framework where sequential investment is allowed on transmission capacity investment. Further, we combine information from a bottom-up model, which estimates the reduction in average price differences due to the investment itself, and a top-down model for finding the values and optimal decisions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Incisive Media , 2011. Vol. 4, no 1, 121-147 p.
Keyword [en]
Real options, transmission capacity, electricity markets, expansion option
National Category
Information Systems
Research subject
Computer and Systems Sciences
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-67526OAI: diva2:470341
Available from: 2011-12-28 Created: 2011-12-28 Last updated: 2015-08-24Bibliographically approved

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Siddiqui, Afzal
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