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OPTIMISTIC BEHAVIOR WHEN A DECISION BIAS IS COSTLY: AN EXPERIMENTAL TEST
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economics.
2012 (English)In: Economic Inquiry, ISSN 0095-2583, E-ISSN 1465-7295, Vol. 50, no 2, 463-469 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The existence of optimism when biased decisions are costly is investigated experimentally. Subjects make an informed guess about an exogenously determined event: the outside temperature a couple of days later. Payments in the control group depend only on how close the guess was to the realized temperature, while payments in the treatment group also depend positively on realized temperature. The data show the treatment group subjects to guess higher temperatures, that is, higher payments, compared with the control group. Results thus indicate that there is optimism also when a decision bias is costly. (JEL C91, D81, D84)

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2012. Vol. 50, no 2, 463-469 p.
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-76039DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2010.00359.xISI: 000302619100012OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-76039DiVA: diva2:525814
Note
1Available from: 2012-05-09 Created: 2012-05-08 Last updated: 2017-12-07Bibliographically approved

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