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Predator transitory spillover induces trophic cascades in ecological sinks
Stockholm University, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Baltic Nest Institute.
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2012 (English)In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ISSN 0027-8424, E-ISSN 1091-6490, Vol. 109, no 21, 8185-8189 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Understanding the effects of cross-system fluxes is fundamental in ecosystem ecology and biological conservation. Source-sink dynamics and spillover processes may link adjacent ecosystems by movement of organisms across system boundaries. However, effects of temporal variability in these cross-system fluxes on a whole marine ecosystem structure have not yet been presented. Here we show, using 35 y of multitrophic data series from the Baltic Sea, that transitory spillover of the top-predator cod from its main distribution area produces cascading effects in the whole food web of an adjacent and semi-isolated ecosystem. At varying population size, cod expand/contract their distribution range and invade/retreat from the neighboring Gulf of Riga, thereby affecting the local prey population of herring and, indirectly, zooplankton and phytoplankton via top-down control. The Gulf of Riga can be considered for cod a true sink habitat, where in the absence of immigration from the source areas of the central Baltic Sea the cod population goes extinct due to the absence of suitable spawning grounds. Our results add a metaecosystem perspective to the ongoing intense scientific debate on the key role of top predators in structuring natural systems. The integration of regional and local processes is central to predict species and ecosystem responses to future climate changes and ongoing anthropogenic disturbances.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2012. Vol. 109, no 21, 8185-8189 p.
Keyword [en]
ecosystem regulation, predator distribution, landscape ecology, exploited resources, cross-system management
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-79758DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1113286109ISI: 000304445800056OAI: diva2:551990


Available from: 2012-09-12 Created: 2012-09-11 Last updated: 2012-09-12Bibliographically approved

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Blenckner, Thorsten
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Baltic Nest Institute
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