Modeling Social-Ecological Scenarios in Marine Systems
2013 (English)In: BioScience, ISSN 0006-3568, E-ISSN 1525-3244, Vol. 63, no 9, 735-744 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Human activities have substantial impacts on marine ecosystems, including rapid regime shifts with large consequences for human well-being. We highlight the use of model-based scenarios as a scientific tool for adaptive stewardship in the face of such consequences. The natural sciences have a long history of developing scenarios but rarely with an in-depth understanding of factors influencing human actions. Social scientists have traditionally investigated human behavior, but scholars often argue that behavior is too complex to be repre-ented by broad generalizations useful for models and scenarios. We address this scientific divide with a framework for integrated marine social ecological scenarios, combining quantitative process-based models from the biogeochemical and ecological disciplines with qualitative studies on governance and social change. The aim is to develop policy-relevant scenarios based on an in-depth empirical understanding from both the natural and the social sciences, thereby contributing to adaptive stewardship of marine social-ecological systems.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2013. Vol. 63, no 9, 735-744 p.
Baltic Sea, ecosystem approach, governance, human dimension, Nereus
Research subject Sustainability Science
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-95434DOI: 10.1525/bio.2013.63.9.9ISI: 000324785300009OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-95434DiVA: diva2:660829
FunderMistra - The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental ResearchSwedish Research Council Formas