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Who was the infector-probabilities in the presence of variability in latent and infectious times.
Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Mathematics.
2013 (English)In: Journal of Mathematical Biology, ISSN 0303-6812, E-ISSN 1432-1416, Vol. 68, no 4, 951-967 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The probability that an observed infection has been transmitted from a particular member of a set of potential infectors is calculated. The calculations only use knowledge of the times of infection. It is shown that the probabilities depend on individual variability in latent and infectious times. The analysis are based on different background information and different assumptions on the progress of infectivity. The results are illustrated by numerical calculations and simulations.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2013. Vol. 68, no 4, 951-967 p.
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Biological Sciences
Research subject
Mathematical Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-97511DOI: 10.1007/s00285-013-0658-6ISI: 000332085300007PubMedID: 23440509OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-97511DiVA: diva2:678581
Note

AuthorCount: 1;

Available from: 2013-12-12 Created: 2013-12-12 Last updated: 2017-12-06Bibliographically approved

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