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Incumbency effects in government and opposition: Evidence from Germany
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economics.
2014 (English)In: European Journal of Political Economy, ISSN 0176-2680, E-ISSN 1873-5703, Vol. 36, 117-134 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Do district incumbents in an election have an advantage, and if so, do these advantages depend on which party is in government? We estimate the incumbency effect for the direct district candidates in German federal and state elections using a regression discontinuity design (RDD). When studying the heterogeneity in these effects, we find that incumbents from both large parties, the center-right CDU and the center-left SPD, have an advantage only if the SPD is in government. This effect is robust and shows even in state elections that are unrelated to federal elections.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2014. Vol. 36, 117-134 p.
Keyword [en]
Incumbency advantage, Regression discontinuity design, Federal elections, State elections
National Category
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-111422DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2014.07.008ISI: 000345492800008OAI: diva2:775739


Available from: 2015-01-05 Created: 2015-01-02 Last updated: 2015-01-05Bibliographically approved

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