The influence of assumptions on generation time distributions in epidemic models
2015 (English)In: Mathematical Biosciences, ISSN 0025-5564, E-ISSN 1879-3134, Vol. 270, no Part A, 81-89 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
A simple class of stochastic models for epidemic spread in finite, but large, populations is studied. The purpose is to investigate how assumptions about the times between primary and secondary infections influences the outcome of the epidemic. Of particular interest is how assumptions of individual variability in infectiousness relates to variability of the epidemic curve. The main concern is the final size of the epidemic and the time scale at which it evolves. The theoretical results are illustrated by simulations.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2015. Vol. 270, no Part A, 81-89 p.
Epidemic models, Kermack-McKendrick models, generation time
Probability Theory and Statistics
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-126524DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2015.10.006ISI: 000367771000007PubMedID: 26477379OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-126524DiVA: diva2:900837