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Windfall gains and stock market participation
Stockholm University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute for International Economic Studies.
2015 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

We estimate the causal effect of wealth on stock market participation using administrative data on Swedish lottery players. A $150,000 windfall gain increases stock ownership probability among pre-lottery non-participants by 12 percentage points, while pre-lottery stock holders are unaffected. The effect is immediate, seemingly permanent and heterogeneous in intuitive ways. Standard lifecycle models predict wealth effects far too large to match our causal estimates under common calibrations. Additional analyses suggest a limited role for explanations such as procrastination or real-estate investment. Overall, results suggest that “nonstandard” beliefs or preferences contribute to the nonparticipation of households across many demographic groups.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge: National bureau of economic research , 2015. , 44 p.
Series
, NBER Working Paper Series, 21673
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-127439OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-127439DiVA: diva2:909183
Available from: 2016-03-04 Created: 2016-03-04 Last updated: 2016-03-14Bibliographically approved

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Östling, Robert
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Institute for International Economic Studies
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