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  • 1. Tan, Liangcheng
    et al.
    Shen, Chuan-Chou
    Löwemark, Ludvig
    Chawchai, Sakonvan
    Edwards, R. Lawrence
    Cai, Yanjun
    Breitenbach, Sebastian F. M.
    Cheng, Hai J.
    Chou, Yu-Chen
    Duerrast, Helmut
    Partin, Judson W.
    Cai, Wenju
    Chabangborn, Akkaneewut
    Gao, Yongli
    Kwiecien, Ola
    Wu, Chung-Che
    Shi, Zhengguo
    Hsu, Huang-Hsiung
    Wohlfarth, Barbara
    Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Department of Geological Sciences.
    Rainfall variations in central Indo-Pacific over the past 2,700 y2019In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ISSN 0027-8424, E-ISSN 1091-6490, Vol. 116, no 35, p. 17201-17206Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Tropical rainfall variability is closely linked to meridional shifts of the Intertropical Convergence Zone ( ITCZ) and zonal movements of the Walker circulation. The characteristics and mechanisms of tropical rainfall variations on centennial to decadal scales are, however, still unclear. Here, we reconstruct a replicated stalagmite-based 2,700-y-long, continuous record of rainfall for the deeply convective northern central Indo-Pacific ( NCIP) region. Our record reveals decreasing rainfall in the NCIP over the past 2,700 y, similar to other records from the northern tropics. Notable centennial-to decadal-scale dry climate episodes occurred in both the NCIP and the southern central Indo-Pacific ( SCIP) during the 20th century [ Current Warm Period ( CWP)] and the Medieval Warm Period ( MWP), resembling enhanced El Nino-like conditions. Further, we developed a 2,000-y-long ITCZ shift index record that supports an overall southward ITCZ shift in the central Indo-Pacific and indicates southward mean ITCZ positions during the early MWP and the CWP. As a result, the drying trend since the 20th century in the northern tropics is similar to that observed during the past warm period, suggesting that a possible anthropogenic forcing of rainfall remains indistinguishable from natural variability.

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