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  • 1. Canova, Moara Almeida
    et al.
    Lapola, David M.
    Pinho, Patrícia
    Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre.
    Dick, Jan
    Patricio, Gleiciani B.
    Priess, Joerg A.
    Different ecosystem services, same (dis)satisfaction with compensation: A critical comparison between farmers' perception in Scotland and Brazil2019In: Ecosystem Services, ISSN 2212-0416, E-ISSN 2212-0416, Vol. 35, p. 164-172Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Payments for Ecosystem Services (PES) schemes have increasingly expanded to consider ecosystem services (ESS). In Brazil, the Forest Code permits PES but does not specify the scheme operationalization. The way ESS should be quantified and valued has not yet been implemented country-wide, nor has the funding source for PES. Through interviews with farmers in Rio Claro-SP, Brazil, and in Cairngorms National Park in the highlands and lowlands of Scotland, UK, we compared farmers' perspectives concerning ESS and PES, focusing on the PES implementation in sugarcane landscape in Sao Paulo state. While Scottish farmers perceived more cultural services, Brazilian farmers focused on regulating services, which we attribute to socio-political and landscape differences. Despite these differences, farmers in both areas preferred opportunity cost approach for ESS valuation because this method captures efforts to maintain ESS. Thereby, the opportunity cost should be considered for valuation in PES schemes, but conversely, budgetary constraints make it impossible to satisfy farmers with PES in regions of high productivity in the southeast of Brazil. Lessons learned concerning the PES subsidies in Scotland indicates the importance of co-designing schemes with stakeholders, minimizing trade-offs between the environment. Therefore, the participants as ESS providers, beneficiaries and intermediaries in the public policies arena was recognized for co-optimize the trade-offs between costs and effectiveness in PES.

  • 2. Lapola, David M.
    et al.
    Pinho, Patricia
    Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre.
    Quesada, Carlos A.
    Strassburg, Bernardo B. N.
    Rammig, Anja
    Kruijt, Bart
    Brown, Foster
    Ometto, Jean P. H. B.
    Premebida, Adriano
    Marengo, José A.
    Vergara, Walter
    Nobre, Carlos A.
    Limiting the high impacts of Amazon forest dieback with no-regrets science and policy action2018In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ISSN 0027-8424, E-ISSN 1091-6490, Vol. 115, no 46, p. 11671-11679Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Large uncertainties still dominate the hypothesis of an abrupt large-scale shift of the Amazon forest caused by climate change [Amazonian forest dieback (AFD)] even though observational evidence shows the forest and regional climate changing. Here, we assess whether mitigation or adaptation action should be taken now, later, or not at all in light of such uncertainties. No action/later action would result in major social impacts that may influence migration to large Amazonian cities through a causal chain of climate change and forest degradation leading to lower river-water levels that affect transportation, food security, and health. Net-present value socioeconomic damage over a 30-year period after AFD is estimated between US dollar (USD) $957 billion (x10(9)) and $3,589 billion (compared with Gross Brazilian Amazon Product of USD $150 billion per year), arising primarily from changes in the provision of ecosystem services. Costs of acting now would be one to two orders of magnitude lower than economic damages. However, while AFD mitigation alternatives-e.g., curbing deforestation-are attainable (USD $64 billion), their efficacy in achieving a forest resilience that prevents AFD is uncertain. Concurrently, a proposed set of 20 adaptation measures is also attainable (USD $122 billion) and could bring benefits even if AFD never occurs. An interdisciplinary research agenda to fill lingering knowledge gaps and constrain the risk of AFD should focus on developing sound experimental and modeling evidence regarding its likelihood, integrated with socioeconomic assessments to anticipate its impacts and evaluate the feasibility and efficacy of mitigation/adaptation options.

  • 3. Mechler, R.
    et al.
    Singh, C.
    Ebi, K.
    Djalante, R.
    Thomas, A.
    James, R.
    Tschakert, P.
    Wewerinke-Singh, M.
    Schinko, T.
    Ley, D.
    Nalau, J.
    Bouwer, L. M.
    Huggel, C.
    Huq, S.
    Linnerooth-Bayer, J.
    Surminski, S.
    Pinho, Patricia
    Stockholm University, Faculty of Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre.
    Jones, R.
    Boyd, E.
    Revi, A.
    Loss and Damage and limits to adaptation: recent IPCC insights and implications for climate science and policy2020In: Sustainability Science, ISSN 1862-4065, E-ISSN 1862-4057, Vol. 15, no 4, p. 1245-1251Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Recent evidence shows that climate change is leading to irreversible and existential impacts on vulnerable communities and countries across the globe. Among other effects, this has given rise to public debate and engagement around notions of climate crisis and emergency. The Loss and Damage (L&D) policy debate has emphasized these aspects over the last three decades. Yet, despite institutionalization through an article on L&D by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in the Paris Agreement, the debate has remained vague, particularly with reference to its remit and relationship to adaptation policy and practice. Research has recently made important strides forward in terms of developing a science perspective on L&D. This article reviews insights derived from recent publications by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and others, and presents the implications for science and policy. Emerging evidence on hard and soft adaptation limits in certain systems, sectors and regions holds the potential to further build momentum for climate policy to live up to the Paris ambition of stringent emission reductions and to increase efforts to support the most vulnerable. L&D policy may want to consider actions to extend soft adaptation limits and spur transformational, that is, non-standard risk management and adaptation, so that limits are not breached. Financial, technical, and legal support would be appropriate for instances where hard limits are transgressed. Research is well positioned to further develop robust evidence on critical and relevant risks at scale in the most vulnerable countries and communities, as well as options to reduce barriers and limits to adaptation.

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