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Kreuzer, T., Papapetrou, P. & Zdravkovic, J. (2025). A Meta-model for Integrating Explainable Forecasting with Digital Twins. In: Jānis Grabis; Yves Wautelet (Ed.), Advanced Information Systems Engineering Workshops: CAiSE 2025 Workshops, Vienna, Austria, June 16–20, 2025, Proceedings. Paper presented at 37th International Conference on Advanced Information Systems Engineering (CAiSE 2025), Vienna, Austria, June 16-20, 2025 (pp. 169-180). Cham: Springer Nature
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>A Meta-model for Integrating Explainable Forecasting with Digital Twins
2025 (Engelska)Ingår i: Advanced Information Systems Engineering Workshops: CAiSE 2025 Workshops, Vienna, Austria, June 16–20, 2025, Proceedings / [ed] Jānis Grabis; Yves Wautelet, Cham: Springer Nature, 2025, s. 169-180Konferensbidrag, Publicerat paper (Refereegranskat)
Abstract [en]

Digital twins are virtual replicas of their physical counterparts, providing real-time monitoring and decision-making capabilities. By integrating forecasting-based methods, the potential of digital twins can be augmented significantly, enabling them to execute advanced predictive tasks. However, with digital twins typically involving a human-in-the-loop, the need for explainability becomes crucial for understanding how and why a forecast was made. To effectively integrate explainability methods, forecasting methods, and digital twins, it is essential to define the relations between these components in a structured manner. In this work, we address this issue by providing a meta-model for the integration of explainable forecasting methods with digital twins. We evaluate our meta-model in the context of a smart building digital twin with multiple forecasting and explainability methods. The evaluation demonstrates the inherent trade-off between providing explanations and generating accurate forecasts in this context.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Cham: Springer Nature, 2025
Serie
Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, ISSN 1865-1348, E-ISSN 1865-1356 ; 556
Nyckelord
Digital Twin, Meta-modeling, Explainability, Forecasting
Nationell ämneskategori
Datavetenskap (datalogi)
Forskningsämne
datalogi
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-246112 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-94931-9_14 (DOI)2-s2.0-105009219179 (Scopus ID)978-3-031-94930-2 (ISBN)978-3-031-94931-9 (ISBN)
Konferens
37th International Conference on Advanced Information Systems Engineering (CAiSE 2025), Vienna, Austria, June 16-20, 2025
Tillgänglig från: 2025-08-27 Skapad: 2025-08-27 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-12-28Bibliografiskt granskad
Tsai, C. H., Hellmanzik, B., Zdravkovic, J., Stirna, J. & Sandkuhl, K. (2025). A method for digital business ecosystem design: evaluation of two cases in the maritime dataspaces. Software and Systems Modeling
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>A method for digital business ecosystem design: evaluation of two cases in the maritime dataspaces
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2025 (Engelska)Ingår i: Software and Systems Modeling, ISSN 1619-1366, E-ISSN 1619-1374Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

In contrast to traditional business models, digital business ecosystems (DBEs) have several distinctive features—heterogeneity of involved actors, symbiosis in the exchange of resources, co-evolution of their interactions, and self-organisation. Designing DBEs is a task demanding a well-defined DBE’s scope, roles and responsibilities of the actors, their interactions and dependencies, as well as versatile technologies and data. The study focuses on two DBEs—Marispace-X and Skippo in the maritime domain to capture the tenets of the blue economy with dataspaces. Because the design approaches to DBE are scarce due to the paradigm’s novelty, the study aims to evaluate a model-based design method, DBEmap. The evaluation results concerning practitioners’ perceived usefulness of the DBEmap and its support for integrating DBE-related perspectives and benchmarking DBE resilience are presented. Reflections on the applicability of DBEmap and its implications for organisational support, highlighting the systematic guidance and actionable outcomes observed in the two case workshops, are discussed alongside the study’s limitations and directions for future research.

Nyckelord
Dataspace, Digital business ecosystem, Enterprise modelling, Method evaluation, verksamhetsmodellering
Nationell ämneskategori
Systemvetenskap, informationssystem och informatik med samhällsvetenskaplig inriktning
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-250428 (URN)10.1007/s10270-025-01335-9 (DOI)001614708100001 ()2-s2.0-105021820737 (Scopus ID)
Tillgänglig från: 2025-12-16 Skapad: 2025-12-16 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-12-19
Kreuzer, T., Papapetrou, P. & Zdravkovic, J. (2025). AI Explainability Methods in Digital Twins: A Model and a Use Case. In: José Borbinha, Tiago Prince Sales, Miguel Mira Da Silva, Henderik A. Proper, Marianne Schnellmann (Ed.), Enterprise Design, Operations, and Computing: 28th International Conference, EDOC 2024, Vienna, Austria, September 10–13, 2024, Revised Selected Papers. Paper presented at 28th International Conference on Enterprise Design, Operations, and Computing (EDOC 2024), Vienna, Austria, September 10-13, 2024 (pp. 3-20). Cham: Springer
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>AI Explainability Methods in Digital Twins: A Model and a Use Case
2025 (Engelska)Ingår i: Enterprise Design, Operations, and Computing: 28th International Conference, EDOC 2024, Vienna, Austria, September 10–13, 2024, Revised Selected Papers / [ed] José Borbinha, Tiago Prince Sales, Miguel Mira Da Silva, Henderik A. Proper, Marianne Schnellmann, Cham: Springer, 2025, s. 3-20Konferensbidrag, Publicerat paper (Refereegranskat)
Abstract [en]

Digital twin systems can benefit from the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms for providing for example some predictive capabilities or supporting internal decision-making. As AI algorithms are often opaque, it becomes necessary to explain their decisions to a human operator working with the digital twin. In this study, we investigate the integration of explainable AI techniques with digital twins, which we termed XAI-DT system. We define the concept of XAI-DT system and provide a use case in smart buildings, where explainable AI is used to forecast CO2 concentration. Further, we present a core architectural model for our digital twin, outlining its interaction with the smart building and its internal processing. We evaluate five AI algorithms and compare their explainability for the operator and the entire digital twin model based on standard explainability properties from the literature.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Cham: Springer, 2025
Serie
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics), ISSN 0302-9743, E-ISSN 1611-3349 ; 15409
Nationell ämneskategori
Artificiell intelligens
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-242280 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-78338-8_1 (DOI)2-s2.0-85219189278 (Scopus ID)978-3-031-78337-1 (ISBN)978-3-031-78338-8 (ISBN)
Konferens
28th International Conference on Enterprise Design, Operations, and Computing (EDOC 2024), Vienna, Austria, September 10-13, 2024
Tillgänglig från: 2025-04-22 Skapad: 2025-04-22 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-04-22Bibliografiskt granskad
Almeida, J. P., Borbinha, J., Guizzardi, G., Link, S. & Zdravkovic, J. (2025). Editorial introduction for special issue on research challenges and practices in conceptual modeling – ER 2023. Paper presented at 42nd International Conference on Conceptual Modeling (ER 2023), Lisbon, Portugal, 6-9 November, 2023. Data & Knowledge Engineering, 160, Article ID 102487.
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Editorial introduction for special issue on research challenges and practices in conceptual modeling – ER 2023
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2025 (Engelska)Ingår i: Data & Knowledge Engineering, ISSN 0169-023X, E-ISSN 1872-6933, Vol. 160, artikel-id 102487Artikel i tidskrift, Editorial material (Övrigt vetenskapligt) Published
Abstract [en]

This special issue brings together the best papers from the ER 2023 conference, held in November 2023 in Lisbon, Portugal. Widely recognized as ER, the conference is the world’s leading forum for exploring the state of the art, emerging trends, and future challenges in conceptual modeling. The inaugural ER conference took place in 1979 in Los Angeles. Initially a biennial event, it became an annual conference in 1985 and has since been hosted in 20 countries across five continents. Over the decades, ER has fostered a globally connected, scientifically rigorous community of academics and practitioners committed to advancing the field.The Data & Knowledge Engineering (DKE) journal, dedicated to the intersection of data and knowledge engineering, is a natural venue for this special issue. Conceptual modeling—ER’s core focus—lies at the heart of knowledge engineering, relying on data as a foundational concept for representing and managing knowledge through information systems. The ER conference has a long history of fruitful collaboration with the DKE journal, which motivated us, the ER 2023 Conference Chairs, to continue the tradition of organizing a post-conference special issue.

Nationell ämneskategori
Data- och informationsvetenskap
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-246279 (URN)10.1016/j.datak.2025.102487 (DOI)001584563200004 ()2-s2.0-105009985294 (Scopus ID)
Konferens
42nd International Conference on Conceptual Modeling (ER 2023), Lisbon, Portugal, 6-9 November, 2023
Tillgänglig från: 2025-09-02 Skapad: 2025-09-02 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-11-19Bibliografiskt granskad
Reinhartz-Berger, I., Solomon, A., Zdravkovic, J., Krogstie, J. & Proper, H. A. (2025). Exploring modeling methods for information systems analysis and design: a data-driven retrospective. Software and Systems Modeling
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Exploring modeling methods for information systems analysis and design: a data-driven retrospective
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2025 (Engelska)Ingår i: Software and Systems Modeling, ISSN 1619-1366, E-ISSN 1619-1374Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Modeling for information systems (IS) analysis and design offers broad insights into the advances and challenges of enterprise, business process, software, and conceptual modeling. In celebration of its 30th edition, this paper presents a data-driven retrospective analysis of studies published at the Exploring Modeling Methods for Systems Analysis and Development (EMMSAD) working conference from 2005 to 2024. EMMSAD has long been a key venue for research on Information Systems (IS) Modeling, covering areas such as conceptual modeling, enterprise modeling, and model-driven engineering, as well as the evaluation of modeling techniques and tools. Using machine learning, specifically Dynamic Topic Modeling (DTM) with BERTopic, this study identifies recurring topics, emerging trends, and shifts in research focus within the IS modeling community. The findings highlight key areas of alignment between IS modeling and the broader modeling landscape, providing insights into the field’s evolution and future research opportunities.

Nyckelord
BERTopic, Data-driven approach, Dynamic Topic Modeling, EMMSAD, IS analysis and design
Nationell ämneskategori
Data- och informationsvetenskap
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-246270 (URN)10.1007/s10270-025-01302-4 (DOI)001518322600001 ()2-s2.0-105009326275 (Scopus ID)
Tillgänglig från: 2025-09-02 Skapad: 2025-09-02 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-09-02
Miri, N., Khayatbashi, S., Zdravkovic, J. & Jalali, A. (2025). OCPM2: Extending the Process Mining Methodology for Object-Centric Event Data Extraction. In: Renata Guizzardi, Luise Pufahl, Arnon Sturm, Han van der Aa (Ed.), Enterprise, Business-Process and Information Systems Modeling: 26th International Conference, BPMDS 2025, and 30th International Conference, EMMSAD 2025, Vienna, Austria, June 16–17, 2025, Proceedings. Paper presented at 26th International Conference, BPMDS 2025, and 30th International Conference, EMMSAD 2025, Vienna, Austria, June 16–17, 2025 (pp. 123-140). Springer
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>OCPM2: Extending the Process Mining Methodology for Object-Centric Event Data Extraction
2025 (Engelska)Ingår i: Enterprise, Business-Process and Information Systems Modeling: 26th International Conference, BPMDS 2025, and 30th International Conference, EMMSAD 2025, Vienna, Austria, June 16–17, 2025, Proceedings / [ed] Renata Guizzardi, Luise Pufahl, Arnon Sturm, Han van der Aa, Springer, 2025, s. 123-140Konferensbidrag, Publicerat paper (Refereegranskat)
Abstract [en]

Object-Centric Process Mining (OCPM) enables business process analysis from multiple perspectives. For example, an educational path can be examined from the viewpoints of students, teachers, and groups. This analysis depends on Object-Centric Event Data (OCED), which captures relationships between events and object types, representing different perspectives. Unlike traditional process mining techniques, extracting OCED minimizes the need for repeated log extractions when shifting the analytical focus. However, recording these complex relationships increases the complexity of the log extraction process. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a methodology for extracting OCED based on PM2, a well-established process mining framework. Our approach introduces a structured framework that guides data analysts and engineers in extracting OCED for process analysis. We validate this framework by applying it in a real-world educational setting, demonstrating its effectiveness in extracting an Object-Centric Event Log (OCEL), which serves as the standard format for recording OCED, from a learning management system and an administrative grading system.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Springer, 2025
Serie
Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, ISSN 1865-1348, E-ISSN 1865-1356 ; 558
Nyckelord
Object-Centric Process Mining, Methodology, Log Extraction
Nationell ämneskategori
Systemvetenskap, informationssystem och informatik
Forskningsämne
data- och systemvetenskap
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-244416 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-95397-2_8 (DOI)2-s2.0-105009215436 (Scopus ID)978-3-031-95396-5 (ISBN)
Konferens
26th International Conference, BPMDS 2025, and 30th International Conference, EMMSAD 2025, Vienna, Austria, June 16–17, 2025
Tillgänglig från: 2025-06-17 Skapad: 2025-06-17 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-08-11Bibliografiskt granskad
Zdravkovic, J., Stirna, J. & Tsai, C. H. (2025). Pondering on Capability Brokering with LLM. In: Luise Pufahl; Kristina Rosenthal; Sergio España; Selmin Nurcan (Ed.), Intelligent Information Systems: CAiSE 2025 Forum and Doctoral Consortium, Vienna, Austria, June 16-20, 2025, Proceedings. Paper presented at 37th International Conference on Advanced Information Systems Engineering (CAiSE 2025), Vienna, Austria, June 16-17, 2025 (pp. 161-169). Cham: Springer
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Pondering on Capability Brokering with LLM
2025 (Engelska)Ingår i: Intelligent Information Systems: CAiSE 2025 Forum and Doctoral Consortium, Vienna, Austria, June 16-20, 2025, Proceedings / [ed] Luise Pufahl; Kristina Rosenthal; Sergio España; Selmin Nurcan, Cham: Springer, 2025, s. 161-169Konferensbidrag, Publicerat paper (Refereegranskat)
Abstract [en]

Capabilities provide a structured and stable business-centric view of what an organization does. By enabling the organization’s architecture of what it is able to do, as modular functional building blocks, capability has become a standard design element of enterprise architecture frameworks such as TOGAF, Archimate, OMG Business Architecture, and many others. Despite clear modularity and purpose of the capability notion, for many companies becoming capability-aware and being able to continuously and efficiently manage a large portfolio of capabilities is a very tedious task. To address this challenge, this study sets a foundation to leverage capability management by the means of a capability middleware broker and LLM support. The envisioned theoretical solution is exemplified by a real business case from the HE domain.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Cham: Springer, 2025
Serie
Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, ISSN 1865-1348, E-ISSN 1865-1356 ; 557
Nyckelord
Capability Map, Capability-driven design, Enterprise Modeling, LLM
Nationell ämneskategori
Artificiell intelligens
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-246085 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-94590-8_20 (DOI)2-s2.0-105008674653 (Scopus ID)978-3-031-94589-2 (ISBN)978-3-031-94590-8 (ISBN)
Konferens
37th International Conference on Advanced Information Systems Engineering (CAiSE 2025), Vienna, Austria, June 16-17, 2025
Tillgänglig från: 2025-08-28 Skapad: 2025-08-28 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-08-28Bibliografiskt granskad
Paja, E., Zdravkovic, J., Kavakli, E. & Stirna, J. (2025). Preface. Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, 538 LNBIP, v-vi
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Preface
2025 (Engelska)Ingår i: Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, ISSN 1865-1348, E-ISSN 1865-1356, Vol. 538 LNBIP, s. v-viArtikel i tidskrift, Editorial material (Refereegranskat) Published
Nationell ämneskategori
Annan data- och informationsvetenskap
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-240499 (URN)2-s2.0-85211342802 (Scopus ID)
Tillgänglig från: 2025-03-12 Skapad: 2025-03-12 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-03-12Bibliografiskt granskad
Paja, E., Zdravkovic, J., Kavakli, E. & Stirna, J. (Eds.). (2025). The Practice of Enterprise Modeling: 17th IFIP Working Conference, PoEM 2024, Stockholm, Sweden, December 3–5, 2024, Proceedings. Springer
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>The Practice of Enterprise Modeling: 17th IFIP Working Conference, PoEM 2024, Stockholm, Sweden, December 3–5, 2024, Proceedings
2025 (Engelska)Proceedings (redaktörskap) (Övrigt vetenskapligt)
Abstract [en]

This book constitutes the proceedings of the 17th IFIP Working Conference on the Practice of Enterprise Modeling, PoEM 2024, which took place in Stockholm, Sweden, during December 3-5, 2024.

PoEM offers a forum for sharing experiences and knowledge between the academic community and practitioners from industry and the public sector. This year the theme of the conference is Industry 5.0 and Society 5.0.

The 17 full papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from a total of 48 submissions. They were organized in topical sections named as follows: Enterprise modeling for digital transformation and industry applications; advances in enterprise modelling techniques; process mining and business process analysis; security, compliance, and configuration in enterprise modeling.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Springer, 2025. s. 295
Serie
Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, ISSN 1865-1348, E-ISSN 1865-1356 ; 538
Nationell ämneskategori
Datavetenskap (datalogi)
Forskningsämne
data- och systemvetenskap
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-237483 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-77908-4 (DOI)978-3-031-77908-4 (ISBN)
Tillgänglig från: 2025-01-02 Skapad: 2025-01-02 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-01-07Bibliografiskt granskad
Kreuzer, T., Zdravkovic, J. & Papapetrou, P. (2025). Unpacking the trend: decomposition as a catalyst to enhance time series forecasting models. Data mining and knowledge discovery, 39(5), Article ID 54.
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Unpacking the trend: decomposition as a catalyst to enhance time series forecasting models
2025 (Engelska)Ingår i: Data mining and knowledge discovery, ISSN 1384-5810, E-ISSN 1573-756X, Vol. 39, nr 5, artikel-id 54Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

For the time series forecasting task, several state-of-the-art algorithms employ moving-average decomposition for improved accuracy. However, the potential of decomposition techniques to enhance time series forecasting methods has not been explored in detail. In this work, we comprehensively investigate the use of decomposition methods for the forecasting task, comparing different decomposition techniques and their effect on forecasting accuracy, as well as the possibility of providing model-agnostic interpretability. We rework recent forecasting models to be compatible with any decomposition technique and experimentally evaluate their effectiveness in different forecasting setups. We further propose and assess a model-agnostic framework using decomposition for interpretability. Our results show that decomposition can improve forecasting accuracy, especially for the proposed decomposition-adapted models. Additionally, we demonstrate that the architectural choices of existing forecasting models can be improved by using different decomposition blocks internally. We found that decomposition techniques must be configured with a low number of components to provide model-agnostic interpretability. Our work concludes that decomposition can enhance time series forecasting algorithms, improving both their performance and interpretability.

Nyckelord
Decomposition, Explainable AI, Machine learning, Time series forecasting
Nationell ämneskategori
Artificiell intelligens
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-245557 (URN)10.1007/s10618-025-01120-8 (DOI)001531984900002 ()2-s2.0-105011168645 (Scopus ID)
Tillgänglig från: 2025-08-14 Skapad: 2025-08-14 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-08-14Bibliografiskt granskad
Organisationer
Identifikatorer
ORCID-id: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-0870-0330

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