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Publications (4 of 4) Show all publications
Chafik, L., Eisbrenner, E. & Döös, K. (2025). Lagrangian View of Atlantic Water Pathways toward the North Sea. Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography, 77(1), 151-159
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Lagrangian View of Atlantic Water Pathways toward the North Sea
2025 (English)In: Tellus. Series A, Dynamic meteorology and oceanography, ISSN 0280-6495, E-ISSN 1600-0870, Vol. 77, no 1, p. 151-159Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The influence of subpolar North Atlantic hydrographic conditions on the North Sea is well recognized, yet the precise pathways taken by Atlantic Water to reach its gateway remain uncertain. Using satellite-derived velocity fields, we map the open-ocean routes leading to the North Sea. Our Lagrangian analysis shows that the Rockall Trough serves as the primary route in a time-mean sense, with its dominance becoming particularly evident under anomalously cold subpolar conditions. During anomalously warm periods, however, Atlantic Water is preferentially routed through the Iceland Basin. Empirical orthogonal function analysis of the Lagrangian trajectories reveals a dipole mode of variability between the Rockall Trough and the Iceland Basin, with its first principal component explaining 74% (R = 0.86) of the variance in multi-year ocean heat content variability. These trajectories further demonstrate that this variability is closely linked to the north-south shifts of the North Atlantic Current. Such spatial shifts are likely driven by variations in northward ocean heat transport at the intergyre boundary, with the strength of the subpolar overturning circulation in preceding years potentially playing a critical role. This connection suggests that the conditions in the North Sea as well as the pathways Atlantic Water is advected along to reach it could be predictable several years in advance.

Keywords
AMOC, Lagrangian modeling, North Atlantic Current, North Sea, Satellite altimetry
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-244024 (URN)10.16993/tellusa.4104 (DOI)001488682500002 ()2-s2.0-105005586867 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-06-11 Created: 2025-06-11 Last updated: 2025-06-11Bibliographically approved
Eisbrenner, E. (2025). Marine Heatwaves: Drivers and Impacts. (Doctoral dissertation). Stockholm: Department of Meterology, Stockholm University
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Marine Heatwaves: Drivers and Impacts
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Marine heatwaves are autocorrelation events exceeding a given  threshold for a given minimum duration. Marine heatwaves are driven locally by heat fluxes through the surface of a given volume, for example incoming solar radiation at the ocean surface, and horizontal advection of warm water within. Local drivers are, however, the consequence of weather systems and super-regional phenomena like teleconnections. Marine heatwaves can further be closely tied to extreme temperatures, with far-reaching consequences for ecosystems as for example coral reefs. This thesis is concerned with drivers of marine heatwaves, from local to super-regional, and furthermore with the attribution of extreme temperatures as cause for the decline of specific ecosystems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Meterology, Stockholm University, 2025
Keywords
Marine Heatwaves, Drivers, Impacts, Lagrangian Marine Heatwaves
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources Climate Science Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Atmospheric Sciences and Oceanography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-240880 (URN)978-91-8107-160-3 (ISBN)978-91-8107-161-0 (ISBN)
Public defence
2025-05-05, Vivi Täckholmsalen (Q-salen), NPQ-huset, Svante Arrhenius väg 20, Stockholm, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-04-10 Created: 2025-03-14 Last updated: 2025-03-28Bibliographically approved
Eisbrenner, E., Chafik, L., Åslund, O., Döös, K. & Muchowski, J. C. (2024). Interplay of atmosphere and ocean amplifies summer marine extremes in the Barents Sea at different timescales. Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1), Article ID 444.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Interplay of atmosphere and ocean amplifies summer marine extremes in the Barents Sea at different timescales
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2024 (English)In: Communications Earth & Environment, E-ISSN 2662-4435, Vol. 5, no 1, article id 444Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Marine extremes are recognized to cause severe ecosystem and socioeconomic impacts. However, in polar regions, such as the Barents Sea, the driving mechanisms of these extremes remain poorly understood and require careful consideration of the observed long-term ocean warming. Here we show that on short time scales of a few days, marine heatwaves and marine cold spells are dynamically driven by a dipole atmospheric circulation pattern between the Nordic Seas and the Barents Sea. Importantly, the dipole’s eastern component determines anomalies in shortwave radiation and latent heat fluxes. On interannual time scales, both changes in ocean heat supply and persistent atmospheric patterns can support severe marine extremes. We apply conventional marine heatwave detection methodology to OISSTv2 data, for the period of 1982–2021, and combine the analysis with ERA5 data to identify drivers. The ocean-atmosphere interplay across scales provides valuable information that can be integrated into fisheries and ecosystem management frameworks.

National Category
Climate Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-236984 (URN)10.1038/s43247-024-01610-5 (DOI)001295052900004 ()2-s2.0-85201552022 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-12-10 Created: 2024-12-10 Last updated: 2025-03-14Bibliographically approved
Muchowski, J., Arneborg, L., Umlauf, L., Holtermann, P., Eisbrenner, E., Humborg, C., . . . Stranne, C. (2023). Diapycnal Mixing Induced by Rough Small-Scale Bathymetry. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(13), Article ID e2023GL103514.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Diapycnal Mixing Induced by Rough Small-Scale Bathymetry
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2023 (English)In: Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN 0094-8276, E-ISSN 1944-8007, Vol. 50, no 13, article id e2023GL103514Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Diapycnal mixing impacts vertical transport rates of salt, heat, and other dissolved substances, essential for the overturning circulation and ecosystem functioning in marine systems. While most studies have focused on mixing induced by individual obstacles in tidal flows, we investigate the net effect of non-tidal flow over multiple small-scale (<1 km) bathymetric features penetrating a strongly-stratified density interface in a coastal region. We combine high-resolution broadband acoustic observations of turbulence microstructure with traditional shear microstructure profiling, to resolve the variability and intermittency of stratified turbulence related to the rough bathymetry. Scale analysis and acoustic imaging suggest that underlying mixing mechanisms are related to topographic wake eddies and breaking internal waves. Depth averaged dissipation rates (1.1 × 10−7 Wkg−1) and turbulent vertical diffusivities (7 × 10−4 m2s−1) in the halocline exceed reference values by two orders of magnitude. Our study emphasizes the importance of rough small-scale bathymetric features for the vertical transport of salt in coastal areas.

Keywords
diapycnal mixing, rough small-scale bathymetry, stratified flow over obstacles, broadband acoustic observations of turbulent mixing, microstructure profiler turbulence measurements, mixing across halocline
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-220982 (URN)10.1029/2023GL103514 (DOI)001022454400001 ()2-s2.0-85165469615 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2023-09-13 Created: 2023-09-13 Last updated: 2023-09-13Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-4042-6087

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