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Publications (10 of 45) Show all publications
Silvestrov, D. (2025). Coupling and Ergodic Theorems for Semi-Markov-Type Processes I: Markov Chains, Renewal, and Regenerative Processes. Cham: Springer
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Coupling and Ergodic Theorems for Semi-Markov-Type Processes I: Markov Chains, Renewal, and Regenerative Processes
2025 (English)Book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Ergodic theorems are a cornerstone of the theory of stochastic processes and their applications.

This volume delves into ergodic theorems with explicit power and exponential upper bounds for convergence rates, focusing on Markov chains, renewal processes, and regenerative processes. The book offers a powerful and constructive probabilistic framework by employing the elegant coupling method in conjunction with test functions. Theoretical findings are illustrated with applications to perturbed stochastic networks, alternating Markov processes, risk processes, quasi-stationary distributions, and the renewal theorem, all of which feature explicit convergence rate bounds. 

Many results presented here are groundbreaking, appearing in publication for the first time. This is the first volume of a two-volume monograph dedicated to ergodic theorems. While this volume centers on Markovian and regenerative models, the second volume extends the scope to semi-Markov processes and multi-alternating regenerative processes with semi-Markov modulation.

Designed with researchers and advanced students in mind, the content is thoughtfully structured by complexity, making it suitable for self-study or as a resource for upper-level coursework. Each chapter is self-contained and complemented by a comprehensive bibliography, ensuring its value as a long-lasting reference. An essential resource for theoretical and applied research, this book significantly contributes to the field of stochastic processes and will remain a key reference for years to come.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham: Springer, 2025. p. xix+611
Keywords
Coupling method, Method of test functions, Ergodic theorem, Variational distance, Renewal process, Regenerative process, Markov chain
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Mathematical Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-250387 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-89311-7 (DOI)2-s2.0-105025623447 (Scopus ID)978-3-031-89310-0 (ISBN)978-3-031-89311-7 (ISBN)
Available from: 2025-12-14 Created: 2025-12-14 Last updated: 2026-01-30Bibliographically approved
Silvestrov, D. (2025). Coupling and Ergodic Theorems for Semi-Markov-Type Processes II: Semi-Markov Processes and Multi-Alternating Regenerative Processes with Semi-Markov Modulation. Cham: Springer
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Coupling and Ergodic Theorems for Semi-Markov-Type Processes II: Semi-Markov Processes and Multi-Alternating Regenerative Processes with Semi-Markov Modulation
2025 (English)Book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Ergodic theorems are a cornerstone of the theory of stochastic processes and their applications. 

This book is the second volume of a two-volume monograph dedicated to ergodic theorems. While the first volume centers on Markovian and regenerative models, the second volume extends the scope to semi-Markov processes and multi-alternating regenerative processes with semi-Markov modulation and delves into ergodic theorems with explicit power and exponential upper bounds for convergence rates for such processes.

The book offers a powerful and constructive probabilistic framework by employing coupling ergodic theorems presented in the first volume in conjunction with the method of artificial regeneration and test functions. Theoretical findings are illustrated with applications to semi-Markov Monte Carlo algorithms and perturbed queuing systems featuring explicit convergence rate bounds. Many results presented in the book are groundbreaking, appearing in publication for the first time.

Designed with researchers and advanced students in mind, the content is thoughtfully structured by complexity, making it suitable for self-study or as a resource for upper-level coursework. Each chapter is self-contained and complemented by a comprehensive bibliography, ensuring its value as a long-lasting reference. An essential resource for theoretical and applied research, this book significantly contributes to the field of stochastic processes and will remain a key reference for years to come. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham: Springer, 2025. p. xix, 560
Keywords
Method of artificial regeneration, Method of test functions, Egodic theorem, Variational distance, Regenerative process, Semi-Markov process, Multi-alternating regenerative process, Semi-Markov modulation
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-250391 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-89315-5 (DOI)2-s2.0-105025620014 (Scopus ID)978-3-031-89314-8 (ISBN)978-3-031-89315-5 (ISBN)
Available from: 2025-12-14 Created: 2025-12-14 Last updated: 2026-01-30Bibliographically approved
Silvestrov, D. (2025). Skorokhod J-convergence for randomly stopped Markov processes. Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics, 113, 185-197
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Skorokhod J-convergence for randomly stopped Markov processes
2025 (English)In: Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics, ISSN 0094-9000, Vol. 113, p. 185-197Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

A survey of functional limit theorems and new limit theorems for randomly stopped processes with independent increments and Markov processes are presented.

Keywords
convergence in distribution, convergence in J topology, Markov process, process with independent increments, random stopping, Skorokhod J topology
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-251783 (URN)10.1090/tpms/1249 (DOI)2-s2.0-105024774808 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2026-01-27 Created: 2026-01-27 Last updated: 2026-01-27Bibliographically approved
Silvestrov, D. (2022). Flows of Rare Events for Regularly Perturbed Semi-Markov Processes. In: Anatoliy Malyarenko; Ying Ni; Milica Rančić; Sergei Silvestrov (Ed.), Stochastic Processes, Statistical Methods, and Engineering Mathematics: SPAS 2019, Västerås, Sweden, September 30–October 2. Paper presented at Stochastic Processes and Algebraic Structures—From Theory Towards Applications (SPAS2019), Västerås, Sweden, September 30-October 2, 2019 (pp. 447-485). Cham: Springer
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Flows of Rare Events for Regularly Perturbed Semi-Markov Processes
2022 (English)In: Stochastic Processes, Statistical Methods, and Engineering Mathematics: SPAS 2019, Västerås, Sweden, September 30–October 2 / [ed] Anatoliy Malyarenko; Ying Ni; Milica Rančić; Sergei Silvestrov, Cham: Springer, 2022, p. 447-485Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Necessary and sufficient conditions for convergence in distribution and in Skorokhod J-topology for counting processes generated by flows of rare events for perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase space are obtained.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham: Springer, 2022
Series
Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, ISSN 2194-1009, E-ISSN 2194-1017 ; 408
Keywords
Semi-Markov process, Rare event, Counting process, Limit theorem
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Mathematical Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-214394 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-17820-7 (DOI)978-3-031-17819-1 (ISBN)
Conference
Stochastic Processes and Algebraic Structures—From Theory Towards Applications (SPAS2019), Västerås, Sweden, September 30-October 2, 2019
Available from: 2023-02-01 Created: 2023-02-01 Last updated: 2023-05-08Bibliographically approved
Silvestrov, D. (2022). Perturbed Semi-Markov Type Processes I: Limit Theorems for Rare-Event Times and Processes. Cham: Springer
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Perturbed Semi-Markov Type Processes I: Limit Theorems for Rare-Event Times and Processes
2022 (English)Book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This book is the first volume of a two-volume monograph devoted to the study of limit and ergodic theorems for regularly and singularly perturbed Markov chains, semi-Markov processes, and alternating regenerative processes with semi-Markov modulation. The first volume presents necessary and sufficient conditions for weak convergence for first-rare-event times and convergence in the topology J for first-rare-event processes defined on regularly perturbed finite Markov chains and semi-Markov processes; new asymptotic recurrent algorithms of phase space reduction  and effective conditions of weak convergence for distributions of hitting times and convergence of expectations of hitting times for regularly and singularly perturbed finite Markov chains and semi-Markov processes.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham: Springer, 2022. p. XVII, 401
Keywords
Semi-Markov type process, Rare event, Hitting time, Limit theorem
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Mathematical Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-210135 (URN)10.1007/978-3-030-92403-4 (DOI)2-s2.0-85152326433 (Scopus ID)978-3-030-92402-7 (ISBN)978-3-030-92403-4 (ISBN)
Available from: 2022-10-07 Created: 2022-10-07 Last updated: 2023-05-08Bibliographically approved
Silvestrov, D. (2022). Perturbed Semi-Markov Type Processes II: Ergodic Theorems for Multi-Alternating Regenerative Processes. Cham: Springer
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Perturbed Semi-Markov Type Processes II: Ergodic Theorems for Multi-Alternating Regenerative Processes
2022 (English)Book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This book is the second volume of two volumes monograph devoted to the study of limit and ergodic theorems for regularly and singularly perturbed Markov chains, semi-Markov processes,  and alternating regenerative processes with semi-Markov modulation. The second volume presents new super-long, long and short time ergodic theorems for perturbed alternating regenerative processes and multi-alternating regenerative processes modulating by regularly and singularly perturbed finite semi-Markov processes. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham: Springer, 2022. p. XVII, 413
Keywords
Semi-Markov type process, Ergodic theorem
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Mathematical Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-210144 (URN)10.1007/978-3-030-92399-0 (DOI)978-3-030-92398-3 (ISBN)978-3-030-92399-0 (ISBN)
Available from: 2022-10-07 Created: 2022-10-07 Last updated: 2023-05-08Bibliographically approved
Silvestrov, D. (2021). Convergence in distribution for randomly stopped random fields. Theory of probability and mathematical statistics, 105, 137-149
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Convergence in distribution for randomly stopped random fields
2021 (English)In: Theory of probability and mathematical statistics, ISSN 0094-9000, Vol. 105, p. 137-149Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Let X and Y be two complete, separable, metric spaces, ξε⁡(x),x∈X and νε be, for every ε∈[0,1], respectively, a random field taking values in space Y and a random variable taking values in space X. We present general conditions for convergence in distribution for random variables ξε⁡(νε) that is the conditions insuring holding of relation, ξε⁡(νε)⟶dξ0⁡(ν0) as ε→0.

Keywords
Random field, random stopping, convergence in distribution
National Category
Mathematics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-200756 (URN)10.1090/tpms/1160 (DOI)000729866100009 ()
Available from: 2022-01-13 Created: 2022-01-13 Last updated: 2022-02-24Bibliographically approved
Silvestrov, D., Silvestrov, S., Abola, B., Seleka Biganda, P., Engström, C., Magero Mango, J. & Kakuba, G. (2021). Perturbed Markov Chains with Damping Component. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 23(1), 369-397
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Perturbed Markov Chains with Damping Component
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2021 (English)In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, ISSN 1387-5841, E-ISSN 1573-7713, Vol. 23, no 1, p. 369-397Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The paper is devoted to studies of regularly and singularly perturbed Markov chains with damping component. In such models, a matrix of transition probabilities is regularised by adding a special damping matrix multiplied by a small damping (perturbation) parameter epsilon. We perform a detailed perturbation analysis for such Markov chains, particularly, give effective upper bounds for the rate of approximation for stationary distributions of unperturbed Markov chains by stationary distributions of perturbed Markov chains with regularised matrices of transition probabilities, asymptotic expansions for approximating stationary distributions with respect to damping parameter, explicit coupling type upper bounds for the rate of convergence in ergodic theorems for n-step transition probabilities, as well as ergodic theorems in triangular array mode.

Keywords
Markov chain, Damping component, Information network, Regular perturbation, Singular perturbation, Stationary distribution, Asymptotic expansion, Rate of convergence, Coupling, Ergodic theorem, Triangular array mode
National Category
Mathematics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-185364 (URN)10.1007/s11009-020-09815-9 (DOI)000559416000001 ()
Available from: 2020-10-16 Created: 2020-10-16 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved
Silvestrov, D. (2019). Algorithms of Phase Space Reduction and Asymptotics of Hitting Times for Perturbed Semi-Markov Processes. Stockholm: Department of Mathematics, Stockholm University
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Algorithms of Phase Space Reduction and Asymptotics of Hitting Times for Perturbed Semi-Markov Processes
2019 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The report presents new asymptotic recurrent algorithms of phase space reduction for singularly perturbed semi-Markov processes. These algorithms give effective conditions of weak convergence for distributions and convergence of expectations for hitting times as well as recurrent formulas for computing the corresponding normalisation functions, Laplace transforms for limiting distributions and limits for expectations.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Department of Mathematics, Stockholm University, 2019. p. 153
Series
Research Reports in Mathematics, ISSN 1401-5617 ; 12
Keywords
Semi-Markov process, Singular perturbation, Hitting time, Limit theorem, Phase space reduction, Recurrent algorithm
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Mathematical Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-178760 (URN)
Available from: 2020-02-04 Created: 2020-02-04 Last updated: 2022-02-26Bibliographically approved
Silvestrov, D. & Silvestrov, S. (2019). Asymptotic Expansions for Stationary Distributions of Nonlinearly Perturbed Semi-Markov Processes. 1. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 21(3), 945-964
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Asymptotic Expansions for Stationary Distributions of Nonlinearly Perturbed Semi-Markov Processes. 1
2019 (English)In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, ISSN 1387-5841, E-ISSN 1573-7713, Vol. 21, no 3, p. 945-964Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

New algorithms for construction of asymptotic expansions for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase spaces are presented. These algorithms are based on a special technique of sequential phase space reduction, which can be applied to processes with an arbitrary asymptotic communicative structure of phase spaces. Asymptotic expansions are given in two forms, without and with explicit upper bounds for remainders.

Keywords
Markov chain, Semi-Markov process, Nonlinear perturbation, Stationary distribution, Expected hitting time, Laurent asymptotic expansion
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Mathematical Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-149228 (URN)10.1007/s11009-017-9605-0 (DOI)000484932800019 ()
Available from: 2017-11-21 Created: 2017-11-21 Last updated: 2022-02-28Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-2626-5598

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