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Publications (10 of 44) Show all publications
Crona, B., Peterson, G., Meacham, M., Parlato, G., Lade, S. J., Rocha, J. & Galaz, V. (2025). A systems approach to sustainable finance: Actors, influence mechanisms, and potentially virtuous cycles of sustainability. iScience (7), Article ID 112785.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A systems approach to sustainable finance: Actors, influence mechanisms, and potentially virtuous cycles of sustainability
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2025 (English)In: iScience, E-ISSN 2589-0042, no 7, article id 112785Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Over the past decade, corporate investors have increasingly recognized that responsible environmental and social practices are essential to long-term financial success. Despite growing interest, corporate practices remain largely unchanged, and planetary trends are deeply concerning. This review applies a systems analysis lens to understand how financial sector structures and actors influence sustainability outcomes, often in counterproductive ways. Key barriers include the lack of science-based metrics, poor integration of environmental risks, and limited capacity to evaluate complex system dynamics. Current financial practices frequently miss or misinterpret systemic sustainability risks. We identify three critical areas where collaboration between sustainability science and finance is urgently needed: (1) translating scientific insights into financial decision contexts, (2) supporting science-based corporate sustainability reporting, and (3) strengthening environmental impact assessment. Systems thinking helps clarify where financial leverage can drive meaningful, cross-scale change—an essential step toward aligning capital flows with long-term ecological resilience and sustainability goals.

Keywords
Business, Economics, Environmental policy
National Category
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-245707 (URN)10.1016/j.isci.2025.112785 (DOI)001543987300007 ()2-s2.0-105009135016 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-08-21 Created: 2025-08-21 Last updated: 2025-08-21Bibliographically approved
Pellowe, K. E., Durfort, A., Burkepile, D. E., Mouillot, D. & Lade, S. J. (2025). Positive feedbacks in coastal reef social-ecological systems can maintain coral dominance. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 82(5), Article ID fsae182.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Positive feedbacks in coastal reef social-ecological systems can maintain coral dominance
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2025 (English)In: ICES Journal of Marine Science, ISSN 1054-3139, E-ISSN 1095-9289, Vol. 82, no 5, article id fsae182Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Understanding the mechanisms underlying nutrient (nitrogen and phosphorus) and carbon cycling in reefs is critical for effective management. Research on reef nutrient and carbon cycling needs to account for (i) the contributions of multiple organisms, (ii) abiotic and biotic drivers, and (iii) a social-ecological perspective. In this paper, we review the mechanisms underlying nutrient and carbon cycling in reef social-ecological systems and analyse them using causal loop analysis. We identify direct and indirect pathways and feedback loops through nutrient and carbon cycles that shape the dominant benthic state of reefs: coral, algal, and sponge-dominated states. We find that two of three anthropogenic impact scenarios (size-selective fishing and land use change) have primarily negative consequences for coral and macroalgae via the nutrient and carbon cycles. A third scenario (runoff) has fewer negative impacts on sponges compared to other benthos. In all scenarios, frequent positive feedback loops (size-selective fishing: 7 of 12 loops; runoff: 6 of 9 loops; land use change: 8 of 11 loops) lead to system destabilization; however, the presence of multiple loops introduces avenues whereby reefs may retain coral dominance despite anthropogenic pressures. Context-specific information on the relative strength of loops will be necessary to predict future reef state.

Keywords
carbon cycling, causal loop analysis, coastal reefs, nutrient cycling, social-ecological systems
National Category
Ecology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-243350 (URN)10.1093/icesjms/fsae182 (DOI)001376325000001 ()2-s2.0-105004193794 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-05-22 Created: 2025-05-22 Last updated: 2025-05-22Bibliographically approved
Gupta, J., Abrams, J. F., Armstrong McKay, D., Bai, X., Ebi, K. L., Fezzigna, P., . . . Zimm, C. (2025). Thresholds of significant harm at global level: The journey of the Earth Commission. Earth System Governance, 25, Article ID 100263.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Thresholds of significant harm at global level: The journey of the Earth Commission
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2025 (English)In: Earth System Governance, E-ISSN 2589-8116, Vol. 25, article id 100263Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The planetary boundary framework proposes ‘safe’ boundaries, but these boundaries are not necessarily ‘just’. Hence, we ask: How has the Earth Commission defined just boundaries building on the concept of minimizing significant harm and how many people are currently exposed to harm above the safe and just threshold? We document the work of the Earth Commission to address these questions using our Earth System Justice framework. We conclude that: (a) from a justice perspective, nine criteria need to be considered when defining just boundaries; (b) the proportions of populations exposed to harm from exceeding safe and just boundaries today range from 14 to 85 % for the five domains studied (climate, biosphere, water, nutrients, aerosols); and (c) argue that the absolute upper limit for significant harm is possibly harm to 1 % of the population, which although not stringent enough to leave no one behind, would require radical transformations, given the populations currently already above the threshold.

Keywords
Access and allocation, Earth system boundaries, Earth system justice, Just boundaries, No significant harm, Planetary boundaries
National Category
Environmental Studies in Social Sciences Political Science (Excluding Peace and Conflict Studies)
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-245683 (URN)10.1016/j.esg.2025.100263 (DOI)001508466800001 ()2-s2.0-105007878845 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-08-20 Created: 2025-08-20 Last updated: 2025-08-20Bibliographically approved
Gupta, J., Rocha, J., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Crona, B., Lade, S. J., Pereira, L. & Gentile, G. (2024). A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations. The Lancet Planetary Health (10), e813-e873
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations
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2024 (English)In: The Lancet Planetary Health, E-ISSN 2542-5196, no 10, p. e813-e873Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
National Category
Environmental Sciences Climate Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-237651 (URN)10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00042-1 (DOI)001338296200001 ()39276783 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85204781295 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-01-10 Created: 2025-01-10 Last updated: 2025-02-01Bibliographically approved
Gupta, J., Chen, Y., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Fezzigna, P., Gentile, G., Karg, A., . . . Jacobson, L. (2024). Applying earth system justice to phase out fossil fuels: learning from the injustice of adopting 1.5 °C over 1 °C. International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, 233-255
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Applying earth system justice to phase out fossil fuels: learning from the injustice of adopting 1.5 °C over 1 °C
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2024 (English)In: International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, ISSN 1567-9764, E-ISSN 1573-1553, p. 233-255Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The Paris Agreement has seen the adoption of a 1.5° to 2 °C climate target, based on the belief that climate change becomes ‘dangerous’ above this level. Since then, the scientific community and the countries most affected by global warming have reiterated that the maximum limit to be reached should be 1.5 °C. This paper goes one step further by questioning the reasoning behind the adoption of these targets, arguing that the fossil fuel-dependent political context in which they were adopted has undermined justice concerns. We highlight the political influence of the fossil fuels industry within target-setting negotiations, analyzing the evolution of climate targets and fossil fuel lobbying. We then harness published scientific evidence and the Earth System Justice framework to analyze the impacts of the 1.5 °C target, and the injustices that have so far been implicitly deemed acceptable. We argue that 1 °C would have been a far more just target and was undermined by vested interests and status quo maintenance. Finally, we propose just supply-side policies to ensure an adequate placement of responsibility on the fossil fuel industry. This way we (a) identify political influences and scientific blind spots that have and could continue to hinder climate action, (b) reveal how these influences delayed more ambitious climate objectives, contributing to the adoption of an unjust climate target, and (c) promote a focus on supply-side measures and polluting industries in order to break free from the impasse in the energy transition and foster more just outcomes.

Keywords
Dangerous climate change, 1.5 celcius, Justice, Fossil fuel, Climate targets
National Category
Economic Geography Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies)
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-227802 (URN)10.1007/s10784-024-09628-y (DOI)001169436800001 ()2-s2.0-85185968410 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-04-08 Created: 2024-04-08 Last updated: 2024-04-29Bibliographically approved
Stewart-Koster, B., Bunn, S. E., Green, P., Ndehedehe, C., Andersen, L. S., Armstrong McKay, D. I., . . . Zimm, C. (2024). Living within the safe and just Earth system boundaries for blue water. Nature Sustainability, 7(1), 53-63
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Living within the safe and just Earth system boundaries for blue water
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2024 (English)In: Nature Sustainability, E-ISSN 2398-9629, Vol. 7, no 1, p. 53-63Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for surface water and groundwater (blue water) have been defined for sustainable water management in the Anthropocene. Here we assessed whether minimum human needs could be met with surface water from within individual river basins alone and, where this is not possible, quantified how much groundwater would be required. Approximately 2.6 billion people live in river basins where groundwater is needed because they are already outside the surface water ESB or have insufficient surface water to meet human needs and the ESB. Approximately 1.4 billion people live in river basins where demand-side transformations would be required as they either exceed the surface water ESB or face a decline in groundwater recharge and cannot meet minimum needs within the ESB. A further 1.5 billion people live in river basins outside the ESB, with insufficient surface water to meet minimum needs, requiring both supply- and demand-side transformations. These results highlight the challenges and opportunities of meeting even basic human access needs to water and protecting aquatic ecosystems.

National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-224251 (URN)10.1038/s41893-023-01247-w (DOI)001102932700002 ()2-s2.0-85176927320 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2023-12-06 Created: 2023-12-06 Last updated: 2024-03-08Bibliographically approved
Sellberg, M. M., Lade, S. J., Kuiper, J. J., Malmborg, K., Plieninger, T. & Andersson, E. (2024). Operationalizing pathway diversity in a mosaic landscape. Ecology and Society, 29(3), Article ID 26.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Operationalizing pathway diversity in a mosaic landscape
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2024 (English)In: Ecology and Society, E-ISSN 1708-3087, Vol. 29, no 3, article id 26Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Understanding and building resilience is critical to responding to the deepening polycrisis. Pathway diversity is a promising approach to resilience that combines individual and systems perspectives, but so far has only been applied to idealized cases. Here, we use a rich case study from the mosaic landscape of Västra Harg, Sweden, to test and advance pathway diversity. Mosaic landscapes can simultaneously produce food, support biodiversity, and provide space for recreation, but these benefits require multiple actors to collectively and individually respond to changing circumstances. Our results indicate that, although the mosaic landscape provides many options for actors, forestry strategies are generally more resilient than agricultural strategies due to higher risks of abandonment in agriculture. We also found that supporting a specific strategy may create lock-in and undermine livelihood resilience overall. The study contributes toward developing a practical method for assessing resilience that can inform governance of complex social-ecological systems.

Keywords
cultural landscape, environmental governance, resilience assessment, social-ecological resilience
National Category
Social and Economic Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-237792 (URN)10.5751/ES-15255-290326 (DOI)001318750800004 ()2-s2.0-85207820229 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-01-14 Created: 2025-01-14 Last updated: 2025-10-03Bibliographically approved
Mallinger, K., Raubitzek, S., Neubauer, T. & Lade, S. J. (2024). Potentials and limitations of complexity research for environmental sciences and modern farming applications. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 67, Article ID 101429.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Potentials and limitations of complexity research for environmental sciences and modern farming applications
2024 (English)In: Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, ISSN 1877-3435, E-ISSN 1877-3443, Vol. 67, article id 101429Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Open system analysis is prone to the oversimplification of dynamics due to tightly coupled variables and their nonlinear, complex, and often unpredictable behavior. By assessing the combination of different ecosystem variables (structural, chemical, and biological) and their dynamic states in time and space, individual complexity measurements can capture phase changes of ecosystem stability and enhance efficiency, disease detection, and ecosystem understanding. This article summarizes the latest developments in complexity research and investigates the potential of metrics to assess and predict the sustainability and resilience of ecosystems, with a particular focus on farming systems. It provides an outlook on improving machine learning approaches by considering the system’s complexity and the necessary data requirements. A GitHub repository [1] is presented that enables practitioners to use complexity applications (e.g. entropy metrics and reconstructed phase spaces). This research provides a deeper understanding of the connections between data complexity, machine learning algorithms, and environmental modeling.

National Category
Information Systems, Social aspects Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-228879 (URN)10.1016/j.cosust.2024.101429 (DOI)001202290500001 ()2-s2.0-85187374170 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-05-06 Created: 2024-05-06 Last updated: 2024-05-06Bibliographically approved
Bunn, S. E., Stewart-Koster, B., Ndehedehe, C., Gordon, C., Rockström, J., Gupta, J., . . . Lade, S. J. (2024). Reply to: Concerns regarding proposed groundwater Earth system boundary [Letter to the editor]. Nature, 635(8039), E6-E8
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Reply to: Concerns regarding proposed groundwater Earth system boundary
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2024 (English)In: Nature, ISSN 0028-0836, E-ISSN 1476-4687, Vol. 635, no 8039, p. E6-E8Article in journal, Letter (Other academic) Published
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-240831 (URN)10.1038/s41586-024-08083-8 (DOI)001361300200011 ()39567786 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85209708727 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-03-18 Created: 2025-03-18 Last updated: 2025-03-18Bibliographically approved
Bai, X., Hasan, S., Andersen, L. S., Bjørn, A., Kilkiş, Ş., Ospina, D., . . . Zimm, C. (2024). Translating Earth system boundaries for cities and businesses. Nature Sustainability, 7, 108-119
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Translating Earth system boundaries for cities and businesses
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2024 (English)In: Nature Sustainability, E-ISSN 2398-9629, Vol. 7, p. 108-119Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Operating within safe and just Earth system boundaries requires mobilizing key actors across scale to set targets and take actions accordingly. Robust, transparent and fair cross-scale translation methods are essential to help navigate through the multiple steps of scientific and normative judgements in translation, with clear awareness of associated assumptions, bias and uncertainties. Here, through literature review and expert elicitation, we identify commonly used sharing approaches, illustrate ten principles of translation and present a protocol involving key building blocks and control steps in translation. We pay particular attention to businesses and cities, two understudied but critical actors to bring on board.

National Category
Peace and Conflict Studies Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-226131 (URN)10.1038/s41893-023-01255-w (DOI)001136644200002 ()2-s2.0-85181440211 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-02-05 Created: 2024-02-05 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0001-9719-9826

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