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Publications (10 of 60) Show all publications
Andreassen, L. M., Hagen, J. O., Kirchner, N., Moholdt, G. & Schuler, T. V. (2026). Glaciers in Scandinavia, Svalbard and Jan Mayen. In: Scott A. Elias; Richard Kelly (Ed.), Comprehensive Cryospheric Science and Environmental Change: (pp. 433-461). Elsevier
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Glaciers in Scandinavia, Svalbard and Jan Mayen
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2026 (English)In: Comprehensive Cryospheric Science and Environmental Change / [ed] Scott A. Elias; Richard Kelly, Elsevier, 2026, p. 433-461Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Glaciers in Scandinavia, Svalbard and Jan Mayen cover about 35,000km3. Glaciers in Svalbard are located at low elevations and many of them are marine terminating. Many glaciers in Svalbard are of surge-type. Coastal mainland Norway glaciers have a larger mass balance turnover compared to the colder and drier conditions at Svalbard glaciers. Glaciers in mainland Norway and Sweden advanced in the 1990s but since 2000 glaciers have been in a state of retreat. In this chapter we describe the most important processes of the glaciers in the region, give key glacier characteristics, as well as examples of ongoing changes.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2026
Keywords
Glacier, Glacier front variation, Glacier mass balance, Glacier surges, Ice caps
National Category
Physical Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-256467 (URN)10.1016/B978-0-323-85242-5.00046-4 (DOI)2-s2.0-105038530259 (Scopus ID)978-0-323-85893-9 (ISBN)
Available from: 2026-06-10 Created: 2026-06-10 Last updated: 2026-06-10Bibliographically approved
Zagel, B., Kirchner, N., Dahlkvist, J., Barnett, J. & Zemp, M. (2026). Global glacier mass change in 2025. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 7(4), 213-215
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Global glacier mass change in 2025
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2026 (English)In: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, E-ISSN 2662-138X, Vol. 7, no 4, p. 213-215Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Glaciers lost 408 ± 132 Gt of mass during the hydrological year 2025, equivalent to 1.1 ± 0.4 mm sea-level rise. Since 1975, glacier mass loss has totalled 9,583 ± 1,211 Gt, equivalent to 26.4 ± 3.3 mm of sea-level rise, with six of the highest mass-loss years on record occurring in the past seven years.

National Category
Multidisciplinary Geosciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-256324 (URN)10.1038/s43017-026-00777-z (DOI)001734726000001 ()2-s2.0-105035898477 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2026-06-17 Created: 2026-06-17 Last updated: 2026-06-17Bibliographically approved
Prakash, A., Zhou, Q., Hattermann, T. & Kirchner, N. (2025). Enhanced subglacial discharge amplifies Petermann Ice Shelf melting when ocean thermal forcing saturates. Nature Communications, 16, Article ID 4213.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Enhanced subglacial discharge amplifies Petermann Ice Shelf melting when ocean thermal forcing saturates
2025 (English)In: Nature Communications, E-ISSN 2041-1723, Vol. 16, article id 4213Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Increased basal melting of the Petermann Ice Shelf is typically attributed to rising ocean temperatures. While subglacial discharge is known to intensify basal melt, the underlying mechanisms and their evolution in a warming climate remain unresolved. Using a 3-D numerical regional ice shelf–ocean model centered on the Petermann Fjord, we identify a regime shift in heat flux efficiency within the ice shelf cavity when discharge exceeds the current peak summer value. In this regime, thermal driving saturates, and discharge-intensified currents increase melt by enhancing shear-driven turbulent mixing across the ice shelf-ocean boundary layer. Increases in melt are most profound at the crests of basal channels, where vigorous meltwater confluence amplifies friction velocity. Challenging conventional attributions of increased ice shelf basal melting to ocean warming alone, our results demonstrate how atmospheric warming exacerbates ocean-driven melt processes and is likely to play a dominant role in amplifying future basal melt.

National Category
Physical Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-243283 (URN)10.1038/s41467-025-59469-9 (DOI)001483126200003 ()40328747 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105004260746 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-05-27 Created: 2025-05-27 Last updated: 2025-05-27Bibliographically approved
Houssais, M., Horemuz, M., Barnett, J., Bergwall, A. & Kirchner, N. (2025). Frontal variations and surface area changes of Swedish glaciers during 2017–2023. Journal of Glaciology, 71, Article ID e78.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Frontal variations and surface area changes of Swedish glaciers during 2017–2023
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2025 (English)In: Journal of Glaciology, ISSN 0022-1430, E-ISSN 1727-5652, Vol. 71, article id e78Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper, frontal variations and surface area changes for each of the years 2017–2023 are assessed for 277 Swedish glaciers, of which the majority is contained within the Randolph Glacier Inventory 7.0. Mapping of all Swedish glaciers became possible by combining Sentinel-2 imagery, semi-automated mapping procedures and the open-source Margin Change Quantification Tool (MaQiT). In addition, manual mapping was performed at a subset of 22 glaciers historically associated with the Swedish Front Variation Program. At four of those, mapping accuracy was assessed by contrasting Sentinel-2 mapped fronts to fronts mapped in situ using Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), a total station and an uncrewed aerial vehicle. Results show widespread retreat of all Swedish glaciers, with cumulative frontal variation amounting on average to −55.6 m during 2017–2023 or −9.3 m a−1. Swedish glaciers had a total area of ∼237 km2 in 2017 and of 210 km2 in 2023. The reduction by ∼27 km2 corresponds to a loss of 11% with respect to the areal extent in the year 2017 but varies across regions. It is also almost as large as the combined area loss of Swedish glaciers in the preceding 15 years (∼31 km2, 2002–2017).

Keywords
frontal retreat, glacier area, remote sensing, Swedish glaciers, Tarfala
National Category
Physical Geography Earth Observation
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-245864 (URN)10.1017/jog.2025.10057 (DOI)001514533500001 ()2-s2.0-105009133705 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-08-22 Created: 2025-08-22 Last updated: 2025-08-22Bibliographically approved
Holmes, F. A., Barnett, J., Åkesson, H., Morlighem, M., Nilsson, J., Kirchner, N. & Jakobsson, M. (2025). Sea level rise contribution from Ryder Glacier in northern Greenland varies by an order of magnitude by 2300 depending on future emissions. The Cryosphere, 19(7), 2695-2714
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Sea level rise contribution from Ryder Glacier in northern Greenland varies by an order of magnitude by 2300 depending on future emissions
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2025 (English)In: The Cryosphere, ISSN 1994-0416, E-ISSN 1994-0424, Vol. 19, no 7, p. 2695-2714Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The northern sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet contains some of the ice sheet's last remaining glaciers with floating ice tongues. One of these glaciers is Ryder Glacier, which has been relatively stable in recent decades, in contrast to the neighbouring Petermann and C.H. Ostenfeld glaciers. Understanding Ryder Glacier's future behaviour is important as ice-tongue loss could lead to acceleration and increased ice discharge. Meanwhile, it is unclear whether Greenland-wide modelling attempts are able to accurately resolve the influence of fjord and bedrock topography and small-scale variations in ice dynamics for a glacier like Ryder. To fill these gaps, here we conduct targeted high-resolution modelling of Ryder Glacier until the year 2300. We find that mass loss is dominated by discharge under a low-emissions scenario all the way to 2300, leading to a sea level contribution of between 0.8 and 2 mm depending on the amount of ocean warming. Discharge also plays a key role under a high-emissions scenario up until 2100, after which a strongly negative surface mass balance becomes the dominant driver of mass loss. This negative surface mass balance leads to a much higher sea level rise contribution by 2300 of between 44 and 52 mm, with little sensitivity to the range of ocean warming scenarios used in this study.

National Category
Physical Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-245350 (URN)10.5194/tc-19-2695-2025 (DOI)001538167500001 ()2-s2.0-105017253206 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2021-01590Swedish Research Council, 2022-06725Swedish Research Council, 2021-04512Swedish Research Council, 2022-03718The Research Council of Norway, 302458EU, European Research Council, 01096057
Available from: 2025-08-06 Created: 2025-08-06 Last updated: 2025-10-07Bibliographically approved
Barnett, J., Holmes, F. A., Cuzzone, J., Åkesson, H., Morlighem, M., O'Regan, M., . . . Jakobsson, M. (2025). Simulating the Holocene evolution of Ryder Glacier, North Greenland. The Cryosphere, 19(9), 3631-3653
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Simulating the Holocene evolution of Ryder Glacier, North Greenland
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2025 (English)In: The Cryosphere, ISSN 1994-0416, E-ISSN 1994-0424, Vol. 19, no 9, p. 3631-3653Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The Greenland Ice Sheet's negative mass balance is driven by a sensitivity to a warming atmosphere and ocean. The fidelity of ice-sheet models in accounting for ice–ocean interaction is inherently uncertain and often constrained against recent fluctuations in the ice-sheet margin from the previous decades. The geological record can be used to contextualise ice-sheet mass loss and understand the drivers of changes at the marine margin across climatic shifts and previous extended warm periods, aiding our understanding of future ice-sheet behaviour. Here, we use the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM) to explore the Holocene evolution of Ryder Glacier draining into Sherard Osborn Fjord, North Greenland. Our modelling results are constrained with terrestrial reconstructions of the paleo-ice-sheet margin and an extensive marine sediment record from Sherard Osborn Fjord that details ice dynamics over the past 12.5 ka years. By employing a consistent mesh resolution of <1 km at the ice–ocean boundary, we assess the importance of atmospheric and oceanic changes to Ryder Glacier's Holocene behaviour. Our simulations show that the initial retreat of the ice margin after the Younger Dryas cold period was driven by a warming climate and the resulting fluctuations in surface mass balance. Changing atmospheric conditions remain the first-order control in the timing of ice retreat during the Holocene. We find ice–ocean interactions become increasingly fundamental to Ryder's retreat in the mid-Holocene, with higher-than-contemporary melt rates required to force grounding line retreat and capture the collapse of the ice tongue during the Holocene Thermal Maximum. Regrowth of the tongue during the neoglacial cooling of the late Holocene is necessary to advance the terrestrial and marine margins of the glacier. Our results stress the importance of accurately resolving the ice–ocean interface in modelling efforts over centennial and millennial timescales, in particular the role of floating ice tongues and submarine melt, and provide vital analogies for the future evolution of Ryder in a warming climate.

National Category
Physical Geography
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-248667 (URN)10.5194/tc-19-3631-2025 (DOI)001569109900001 ()2-s2.0-105022500128 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-11-03 Created: 2025-11-03 Last updated: 2025-12-02Bibliographically approved
Zhang, M., Leppäranta, M., Heikkilä, M., Weckström, K., Korhola, A., Kirchner, N., . . . Weckström, J. (2025). The thermal structure of small and shallow Arctic Fennoscandian lakes. Arctic, Antarctic and Alpine research, 57(1), Article ID 2433829.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The thermal structure of small and shallow Arctic Fennoscandian lakes
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2025 (English)In: Arctic, Antarctic and Alpine research, ISSN 1523-0430, E-ISSN 1938-4246, Vol. 57, no 1, article id 2433829Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

A continuous three-year field study, focusing on the thermal regime and the heat budget of twelve shallow Arctic lakes in northwest Finland, was conducted between 2019 and 2022. The results reveal diverse thermal regimes among these lakes, ranging from cold monomictic to discontinuous cold polymictic and dimictic patterns, reflecting the unique lake responses to their environmental settings. The heat budget of these lakes was predominantly influenced by the strong seasonality of the radiation balance, with latent and sensible heat fluxes consistently exhibiting negative values during the ice-free period, peaking in the summer or late fall. Air temperature and solar radiation were the primary drivers affecting lake thermal structures, at both local and regional scales. The influence of wind speed and cloudiness was more significant for lakes in the treeless tundra, but their regional impact remains relatively weak, along with the impact of precipitation. Additionally, we emphasize the critical role of lake location, geography, and morphology, and particularly altitude, lake size, and water column transparency, in determining changes in stratification and mixing dynamics, overshadowing the influence of lake depth. In conclusion, this study provides new insights into the evolving thermal dynamics of lakes in the European Arctic.

Keywords
Arctic lakes, heat budget, mixing, stratification, water temperature
National Category
Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-240203 (URN)10.1080/15230430.2024.2433829 (DOI)001405038200001 ()2-s2.0-85216317742 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-03-06 Created: 2025-03-06 Last updated: 2025-03-06Bibliographically approved
Dye, A., Bryant, R., Falcini, F., Mallalieu, J., Dimbleby, M., Beckwith, M., . . . Kirchner, N. (2025). Warm proglacial lake temperatures and thermal undercutting enhance rapid retreat of an Arctic glacier. The Cryosphere, 19(10), 4471-4486
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Warm proglacial lake temperatures and thermal undercutting enhance rapid retreat of an Arctic glacier
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2025 (English)In: The Cryosphere, ISSN 1994-0416, E-ISSN 1994-0424, Vol. 19, no 10, p. 4471-4486Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Determining the characteristics of Arctic proglacial lakes is essential for understanding their current and future influence on glacier mass loss, capacity as a carbon sink and the associated impacts for downstream hydrology and ecology. Field observations of how proglacial lake properties influence rates of glacier mass loss remain sparse yet are increasingly critical for accurate projection of lake-terminating glacier responses to warming air and lake temperatures, particularly in high-latitude Scandinavia under the influence of Arctic amplification. Here we combine satellite and field observations of Kaskasapakte Glacier (KG) (a lake-terminating glacier in Arctic Sweden) to reveal the interplay between lake parameters and glacier mass loss from 2008 to 2019. We present the first field evidence of warmer-than-expected water temperatures (> 4 °C at the ice front) at a Scandinavian proglacial lake and illustrate how these drove rapid thermo-erosional undercutting and calving at the terminus, with width-averaged retreat rates of up to 25 m yr−1 and frontal ablation accounting for ∼ 30 % of glacier volume loss between 2015 and 2019.

National Category
Environmental Sciences Climate Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-249017 (URN)10.5194/tc-19-4471-2025 (DOI)001591718400001 ()2-s2.0-105019925923 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-11-05 Created: 2025-11-05 Last updated: 2025-11-05Bibliographically approved
Schomacker, A., Alexanderson, H., Farnsworth, W. R., Furze, M. F. A., Kjellman, S. E., Kirchner, N., . . . Ingólfsson, Ó. (2025). Weichselian–Holocene glacial history of the Sjuøyane archipelago, northern Svalbard. Boreas, 54(3), 288-304
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Weichselian–Holocene glacial history of the Sjuøyane archipelago, northern Svalbard
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2025 (English)In: Boreas, ISSN 0300-9483, E-ISSN 1502-3885, Vol. 54, no 3, p. 288-304Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The Sjuøyane archipelago is the northernmost land area of Svalbard; thus, it provides a window to study the terrestrial glacial history and dynamics of the Svalbard–Barents Sea Ice Sheet and complement marine geological studies in the region. To reconstruct the glacial history of Sjuøyane, we describe coastal sedimentary sections in Quaternary sediments and constrain their chronology by radiocarbon and optically stimulated luminescence ages. Erratic boulders and bedrock are sampled for 10Be cosmogenic exposure dating, aiming to determine the deglaciation age and exposure history. Holocene environments are studied based on lake sediments and emerging vegetation from retreating snow patches. The sedimentary sections largely consist of shallow (glacio-)marine and/or littoral sediments deposited during high relative sea levels. The radiocarbon and luminescence ages suggest they formed during a Middle Weichselian interstadial, and after the Late Weichselian glaciation. A wave-washed bedrock erosional notch and rounded boulders at 36±1 m a.h.t. most likely formed during this interstadial. Most of the cosmogenic 10Be ages are older than the last deglaciation, likely indicating a complex exposure history. One boulder sample suggests that the lowlands were deglaciated 14.7±1.82 ka ago, and two boulder samples with ages of 18.94±3.26 and 22.89±4.05 ka suggest that the highlands were possibly ice-free at this time. The lake sediments from Isvatnet, Phippsøya, consist of glaciolacustrine silt and clay overlain by gyttja. The gyttja has accumulated at least since 7.0 cal. ka BP. Two radiocarbon ages from emerging vegetation suggest Neoglacial cooling since 3.8 cal. ka BP. A patchy glacial drift at the surface of Sjuøyane and well-preserved pre-Late Weichselian sediments suggest that the Late Weichselian glaciation was non-erosive and/or cold-based at this part of the north margin of the Svalbard–Barents Sea Ice Sheet.

National Category
Physical Geography Geology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-239312 (URN)10.1111/bor.12673 (DOI)001283345300001 ()2-s2.0-85200273725 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-02-11 Created: 2025-02-11 Last updated: 2025-10-06Bibliographically approved
Zhang, M., Leppäranta, M., Korhola, A., Kirchner, N., Granebeck, A., Schenk, F., . . . Weckström, J. (2024). Drivers of spatio-temporal variations in summer surface water temperatures of Arctic Fennoscandian lakes (2000–21). Polar Research, 43, Article ID 9580.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Drivers of spatio-temporal variations in summer surface water temperatures of Arctic Fennoscandian lakes (2000–21)
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2024 (English)In: Polar Research, ISSN 0800-0395, E-ISSN 1751-8369, Vol. 43, article id 9580Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The Arctic region is covered with numerous small lakes whose ecosystems are vulnerable to current climate warming and resultant changes in water temperature, ice-cover duration and lake levels. Data on thermal features of these lakes are sparse, which hinders our understanding of the possible ecosystem impacts of the warming climate and climate feedbacks at larger spatial scales. We investigated spatial–temporal variations of lake surface water temperatures (LSWT) in 12 Arctic lakes in north-west Finnish Lapland and explored the predominant drivers of LSWTs by continuous year-round observations. The lake surface temperature data were recorded using thermistors at bi-hourly resolution during the years 2000, 2007–08 and 2019–2021. A large regional heterogeneity was observed in the timing of the maximum and minimum LSWTs and the overall patterns of the annual cycle. Our results reveal that July air temperature, maximum lake depth and altitude explained most of the variance in the summer LSWT (> 85%). The remaining variance was related to geographic location (longitude and latitude), lake morphometric features, such as lake area and catchment area, and certain physico-chemical characteristics, such as Secchi depth and dissolved organic carbon content. Our results provide new insights into thermal responses of different types of small Arctic lakes to climate change.

Keywords
Arctic lakes, Climate change, geochemistry, morphometry, topography, water temperature
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-239175 (URN)10.33265/polar.v43.9580 (DOI)001318657400001 ()2-s2.0-85202190233 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-02-07 Created: 2025-02-07 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved
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Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-6371-5527

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