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Ittonen, M., Nielsen, M., Siemers, I., Friberg, M. & Gotthard, C. (2025). Winters restrict a climate change–driven butterfly range expansion despite rapid evolution of seasonal timing traits. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(26), Article ID e2418392122.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Winters restrict a climate change–driven butterfly range expansion despite rapid evolution of seasonal timing traits
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2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ISSN 0027-8424, E-ISSN 1091-6490, Vol. 122, no 26, article id e2418392122Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Climate change pushes species toward higher latitudes and altitudes, but the proximate drivers of range expansions vary, and it is unclear whether evolution facilitates climate change–induced range changes. In a temporally replicated field experiment, we translocated wall brown butterflies (Lasiommata megera) descending from range interior and range margin populations to sites at 1) the range interior, 2) the range margin, and 3) beyond the current northern range edge. Thereby, we tested for local adaptation in seasonal timing and winter survival and evaluated to what extent local adaptation influences the ongoing, climate-driven range expansion. Almost all individuals from all populations entered diapause at an appropriate time, despite previously identified among-population variation in diapause induction thresholds. Caterpillars of northern descent, however, grew faster than those from southern populations at all field sites. This may be a countergradient adaptation to compensate for the short, northern growing seasons, but we found no evidence for prewinter body mass affecting winter survival. In fact, winter survival was low overall—extremely so at the beyond range site—regardless of population origin, indicating that the primary constraint to range expansion is an inability to adapt to winter conditions. Hence, although range-expanding wall browns show clear local evolution of two traits related to seasonal timing, these putative local adaptations likely do not contribute to range expansion, which is instead limited by winter survival. To predict future range changes, it will be important to distinguish between the traits that evolve during range expansion and those that set the range limit.

National Category
Ecology Evolutionary Biology
Research subject
Animal Ecology; Ecology and Evolution
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-244675 (URN)10.1073/pnas.2418392122 (DOI)001525704700001 ()40549916 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105009578849 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council, VR 2017-04159Swedish Research Council, VR 2017-04500Carl Tryggers foundation , CTS 17:163
Available from: 2025-06-25 Created: 2025-06-25 Last updated: 2025-08-11Bibliographically approved
Nielsen, M., Nylin, S., Wiklund, C. & Gotthard, C. (2023). Evolution of butterfly seasonal plasticity driven by climate change varies across life stages. Ecology Letters, 26(9), 1548-1558
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Evolution of butterfly seasonal plasticity driven by climate change varies across life stages
2023 (English)In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 26, no 9, p. 1548-1558Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Photoperiod is a common cue for seasonal plasticity and phenology, but climate change can create cue-environment mismatches for organisms that rely on it. Evolution could potentially correct these mismatches, but phenology often depends on multiple plastic decisions made during different life stages and seasons that may evolve separately. For example, Pararge aegeria (Speckled wood butterfly) has photoperiod-cued seasonal life history plasticity in two different life stages: larval development time and pupal diapause. We tested for climate change-associated evolution of this plasticity by replicating common garden experiments conducted on two Swedish populations 30 years ago. We found evidence for evolutionary change in the contemporary larval reaction norm-although these changes differed between populations-but no evidence for evolution of the pupal reaction norm. This variation in evolution across life stages demonstrates the need to consider how climate change affects the whole life cycle to understand its impacts on phenology.

Keywords
climate change, contemporary evolution, diapause, life history evolution, Pararge aegeria, photoperiod, seasonal plasticity
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-221332 (URN)10.1111/ele.14280 (DOI)001192133100005 ()37366181 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85162939481 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2023-09-19 Created: 2023-09-19 Last updated: 2024-04-10Bibliographically approved
Nielsen, M. E., Lehmann, P. & Gotthard, K. (2022). Longer and warmer prewinter periods reduce post-winter fitness in a diapausing insect. Functional Ecology, 36(5), 1151-1162
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Longer and warmer prewinter periods reduce post-winter fitness in a diapausing insect
2022 (English)In: Functional Ecology, ISSN 0269-8463, E-ISSN 1365-2435, Vol. 36, no 5, p. 1151-1162Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
  1. Diapause is considered an important adaptation for survival of winter; however, insects often enter diapause long before its onset. Thus, diapausing insects must also be able to survive these prewinter conditions which warm temperatures could make quite energetically taxing despite relative inactivity.
  2. We tested for both immediate and delayed fitness effects of prewinter conditions in diapausing Pieris napi butterfly pupae, experimentally exposing them to different prewinter treatments in a factorial design. We placed diapausing pupae at one of three temperatures (15, 20 and 25°C) for 1 to 16 weeks, followed by the same standardized winter for all individuals.
  3. We monitored survival of pupae at multiple points during the experiment, including after winter, as well as their change in mass. For a subset of individuals, we also made repeated metabolic measurements.
  4. We found substantial weight loss during prewinter warm periods, greater during longer prewinter treatments at higher temperatures. This weight loss was associated with elevated metabolic rates at higher temperatures which increased over the duration of the prewinter treatment.
  5. Although we found little prewinter mortality associated with these conditions, mortality was much greater post-winter for individuals in long, warm prewinter treatments and the dry mass of adults that did survive these conditions was lower, highlighting the need to understand chronic or delayed effects of stress on fitness.
  6. Ultimately, we found substantial fitness consequences of prewinter conditions for a diapausing insect. Given that climate change will make these prewinter periods both longer and more intense, it will be important to understand how dormant organisms tolerate or reduce the length of these dormant, inactive periods.
Keywords
diapause, dormancy, metabolic rate, Pieris napi, seasonality, temperature
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-203988 (URN)10.1111/1365-2435.14037 (DOI)000776484500001 ()2-s2.0-85127385340 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2022-04-19 Created: 2022-04-19 Last updated: 2022-06-09Bibliographically approved
Nielsen, M. E. & Papaj, D. R. (2022). Why study plasticity in multiple traits? New hypotheses for how phenotypically plastic traits interact during development and selection. Evolution, 76(5), 858-869
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Why study plasticity in multiple traits? New hypotheses for how phenotypically plastic traits interact during development and selection
2022 (English)In: Evolution, ISSN 0014-3820, E-ISSN 1558-5646, Vol. 76, no 5, p. 858-869Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Organisms can often respond adaptively to a change in their environment through phenotypic plasticity in multiple traits, a phenomenon termed as multivariate plasticity. These different plastic responses could interact and affect each other's development as well as selection on each other, but the causes and consequences of these interactions have received relatively little attention. Here, we propose a new conceptual framework for understanding how different plastic responses can affect each other's development and why organisms should have multiple plastic responses. A plastic change in one trait could alter the phenotype of a second plastic trait by changing either the cue received by the organism (cue-mediated effect) or the response to that cue (response-mediated effect). Multivariate plasticity could benefit the organism either because the plastic responses work better when expressed together (synergy) or because each response is more effective under different environmental circumstances (complementarity). We illustrate these hypotheses with case studies, focusing on interactions between behavior and morphology, plastic traits that differ in their reversibility. Future empirical and theoretical research should investigate the consequences of these interactions for additional factors important for the evolution of plasticity, such as the limits and costs of plasticity.

Keywords
Cue, multivariate plasticity, phenotypic plasticity, reaction norm, reversible plasticity
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-203707 (URN)10.1111/evo.14464 (DOI)000770830800001 ()35274745 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85126824461 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2022-04-08 Created: 2022-04-08 Last updated: 2022-06-09Bibliographically approved
Merckx, T., Nielsen, M. E., Heliölä, J., Kuussaari, M., Pettersson, L. B., Pöyry, J., . . . Kivelä, S. M. (2021). Urbanization extends flight phenology and leads to local adaptation of seasonal plasticity in Lepidoptera. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 118(40), Article ID e2106006118.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Urbanization extends flight phenology and leads to local adaptation of seasonal plasticity in Lepidoptera
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2021 (English)In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ISSN 0027-8424, E-ISSN 1091-6490, Vol. 118, no 40, article id e2106006118Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Urbanization is gaining force globally, which challenges biodiversity, and it has recently also emerged as an agent of evolutionary change. Seasonal phenology and life cycle regulation are essential processes that urbanization is likely to alter through both the urban heat island effect (UHI) and artificial light at night (ALAN). However, how UHI and ALAN affect the evolution of seasonal adaptations has received little attention. Here, we test for the urban evolution of seasonal life-history plasticity, specifically changes in the photoperiodic induction of diapause in two lepidopterans, Pieris napi (Pieridae) and Chiasmia clathrata (Geometridae). We used long-term data from standardized monitoring and citizen science observation schemes to compare yearly phenological flight curves in six cities in Finland and Sweden to those of adjacent rural populations. This analysis showed for both species that flight seasons are longer and end later in most cities, suggesting a difference in the timing of diapause induction. Then, we used common garden experiments to test whether the evolution of the photoperiodic reaction norm for diapause could explain these phenological changes for a subset of these cities. These experiments demonstrated a genetic shift for both species in urban areas toward a lower daylength threshold for direct development, consistent with predictions based on the UHI but not ALAN. The correspondence of this genetic change to the results of our larger-scale observational analysis of in situ flight phenology indicates that it may be widespread. These findings suggest that seasonal life cycle regulation evolves in urban ectotherms and may contribute to ecoevolutionary dynamics in cities.

Keywords
artificial light at night, diapause, reaction norm, urban evolution, urban heat island effect
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-198535 (URN)10.1073/pnas.2106006118 (DOI)000705930300009 ()34580222 (PubMedID)
Available from: 2021-11-12 Created: 2021-11-12 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved
Nielsen, M. E. & Kingsolver, J. G. (2020). Compensating for climate change-induced cue-environment mismatches: evidence for contemporary evolution of a photoperiodic reaction norm in Colias butterflies. Ecology Letters, 23(7), 1129-1136
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Compensating for climate change-induced cue-environment mismatches: evidence for contemporary evolution of a photoperiodic reaction norm in Colias butterflies
2020 (English)In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 23, no 7, p. 1129-1136Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Anthropogenic climate change alters seasonal conditions without altering photoperiod and can thus create a cue-environment mismatch for organisms that use photoperiod as a cue for seasonal plasticity. We investigated whether evolution of the photoperiodic reaction norm has compensated for this mismatch in Colias eurytheme. This butterfly's wing melanization has a thermoregulatory function and changes seasonally. In 1971, Hoffmann quantified how larval photoperiod determines adult wing melanization. We recreated his experiment 47 years later using a contemporary population. Comparing our results to his, we found decreased melanization at short photoperiods but no change in melanization at long photoperiods, which is consistent with the greater increase in spring than summer temperatures recorded for this region. Our study shows that evolution can help correct cue-environment mismatches but not in the same way under all conditions. Studies of contemporary evolution may miss important changes if they focus on only a limited range of conditions.

Keywords
Climate change, Colias eurytheme, contemporary evolution, evolutionary trap, melanization, phenotypic plasticity, photoperiod, reaction norm, seasonal mismatch
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-181811 (URN)10.1111/ele.13515 (DOI)000528495200001 ()32333476 (PubMedID)
Available from: 2020-06-12 Created: 2020-06-12 Last updated: 2022-03-23Bibliographically approved
Nielsen, M. E. & Mappes, J. (2020). Out in the open: behavior's effect on pedation risk and thermoregulation by aposematic caterpillars. Behavioral Ecology, 31(4), 1031-1039
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Out in the open: behavior's effect on pedation risk and thermoregulation by aposematic caterpillars
2020 (English)In: Behavioral Ecology, ISSN 1045-2249, E-ISSN 1465-7279, Vol. 31, no 4, p. 1031-1039Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Warning coloration should be under strong stabilizing selection but often displays considerable intraspecific variation. Opposing selection on color by predators and temperature is one potential explanation for this seeming paradox. Despite the importance of behavior for both predator avoidance and thermoregulation, its role in mediating selection by predators and temperature on warning coloration has received little attention. Wood tiger moth caterpillars, Arctia plantaginis, have aposematic coloration, an orange patch on the black body. The size of the orange patch varies considerably: individuals with larger patches are safer from predators, but having a small patch is beneficial in cool environments. We investigated microhabitat preference by these caterpillars and how it interacted with their coloration. We expected caterpillar behavior to reflect a balance between spending time exposed to maximize basking and spending time concealed to avoid detection by predators. Instead, we found that caterpillars preferred exposed locations regardless of their coloration. Whether caterpillars were exposed or concealed had a strong effect on both temperature and predation risk, but caterpillars in exposed locations were both much warmer and less likely to be attacked by a bird predator (great tits, Parus major). This shared optimum may explain why we observed so little variation in caterpillar behavior and demonstrates the important effects of behavior on multiple functions of coloration.

Keywords
aposematism, Arctia plantaginis, color, microhabitat preference, Parus major, thermoregulation
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-189266 (URN)10.1093/beheco/araa048 (DOI)000591672200022 ()32760178 (PubMedID)
Available from: 2021-01-20 Created: 2021-01-20 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved
Clusella-Trullas, S. & Nielsen, M. (2020). The evolution of insect body coloration under changing climates. Current Opinion in Insect Science, 41, 25-32
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The evolution of insect body coloration under changing climates
2020 (English)In: Current Opinion in Insect Science, ISSN 2214-5745, E-ISSN 2214-5753, Vol. 41, p. 25-32Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Insects have been influential models in research on color variation, its evolutionary drivers and the mechanistic basis of such variation. More recently, several studies have indicated that insect color is responding to rapid climate change. However, it remains challenging to ascertain drivers of color variation among populations and species, and across space and time, as multiple biotic and abiotic factors can interact and mediate color change. Here, we describe some of the challenges and recent advances made in this field. First, we outline the main alternative hypotheses that exist for insect color variation in relation to climatic factors. Second, we review the existing evidence for contemporary adaptive evolution of insect color in response to climate change and then discuss factors that can promote or hinder the evolution of color in response to climate change. Finally, we propose future directions and highlight gaps in this research field. Pigments and structures producing insect color can vary concurrently or independently, and may evolve at different rates, with poorly understood effects on gene frequencies and fitness. Disentangling multiple competing hypotheses explaining insect coloration should be key to assign color variation as an evolutionary response to climate change.

National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-189250 (URN)10.1016/j.cois.2020.05.007 (DOI)000590876600005 ()32629405 (PubMedID)
Available from: 2021-01-20 Created: 2021-01-20 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved
Ittonen, M., Nielsen, M., Siemers, I., Friberg, M. & Gotthard, C.Winters restrict a climate change-driven butterfly range expansion despite rapid evolution of two seasonal timing traits.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Winters restrict a climate change-driven butterfly range expansion despite rapid evolution of two seasonal timing traits
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(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Ecology
Research subject
Animal Ecology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-227078 (URN)
Available from: 2024-02-28 Created: 2024-02-28 Last updated: 2024-03-06Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-0388-1187

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