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Mendez, D. Y., Lagerros, Y. T., de Leon, A. P., Tynelius, P., Fors, S. & Lager, A. (2025). Behavioural and metabolic mediators of socioeconomic inequalities in type 2 diabetes: comparing counterfactual and traditional mediation analysis. European Journal of Public Health, 35(4), 605-610
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Behavioural and metabolic mediators of socioeconomic inequalities in type 2 diabetes: comparing counterfactual and traditional mediation analysis
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2025 (English)In: European Journal of Public Health, ISSN 1101-1262, E-ISSN 1464-360X, Vol. 35, no 4, p. 605-610Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

There is a well-established social gradient in the occurrence of type 2 diabetes, but the extent to which behavioural or metabolic risk factors explain these inequalities remains unclear. Leveraging data from 7123 adults and over 20 years of follow-up, we used counterfactual mediation analysis to estimate the direct effect of low socioeconomic status (measured as educational attainment and occupational class) on the risk of type 2 diabetes, and the indirect effect through behavioural and metabolic risk factors. Mediators included were smoking, high alcohol consumption, low physical activity, diet low in vegetables or fruits, high body mass index (BMI), high fasting glucose, and hypertension. We compared the results to mediation analysis using the difference and the product of coefficients methods. We found an association between low educational attainment 1.31 (95% CI 1.16, 1.45) and low occupational class 1.24 (95% CI 1.09, 1.38) with future risk of type 2 diabetes. In the counterfactual mediation analysis, behavioural and metabolic risk factors explained 60% (95% CI 41%, 75%) of the effect of low educational attainment and 42% (95% CI 19%, 65%) of the effect of occupational class on the risk of type 2 diabetes. The difference and product of coefficients methods yielded similar results. Well-established behavioural and metabolic mediators explained roughly half of the health inequalities in the incidence of type 2 diabetes. Public health interventions should consider alternative mechanisms to reduce disparities in the incidence of type 2 diabetes.

National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-248740 (URN)10.1093/eurpub/ckaf056 (DOI)001477359100001 ()40294357 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105012393619 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-10-31 Created: 2025-10-31 Last updated: 2025-11-03Bibliographically approved
Triolo, F., Grande, G., Ekström, I., Laukka, E. J., Fors, S., Marseglia, A. & Dekhtyar, S. (2025). Cognitive reserve types and depressive symptoms development in late-life: A population-based cohort study. Cortex, 185, 74-83
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Cognitive reserve types and depressive symptoms development in late-life: A population-based cohort study
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2025 (English)In: Cortex, ISSN 0010-9452, E-ISSN 1973-8102, Vol. 185, p. 74-83Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Introduction: Cognitive reserve (CR) describes individual differences in susceptibility to brain damage that translates into varying dementia onsets and may also influence the occurrence of depressive symptoms. Within a population-based cohort of older people, we investigated two operationalizations of CR, residual- and activity-based approaches, in their association with the development of depressive symptoms.

Methods: We analyzed longitudinal data on 402 dementia- and depression-free adults aged 60+ from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen (SNAC-K) who underwent brain MRI at baseline. Residual-based reserve was derived by regressing episodic memory on a brain-integrity index incorporating six structural MRI markers. Activity-based reserve factored lifelong CR-enhancing experiences, including education, work complexity, social network, and leisure activities. Clinically relevant depressive symptoms were defined as a Montgomery–Åsberg Depression Rating Scale score >6. Cox hazard models were used to explore the association between both residual- and activity-based CR measures (categorized in tertiles) and incidence of depressive symptoms over a 15-year follow-up, while accounting for sociodemographic, clinical, behavioral factors, and brain integrity. Analyses for the activity-based measure were replicated in the full SNAC-K sample (N = 2709), further exploring depression diagnosis as additional outcome.

Results: Compared to low levels, higher levels of residual-based CR were associated with a lower hazard of depressive symptom onset in fully adjusted models (HR: .43, 95%CI .22, .84). While activity-based CR was not significantly associated with developing depressive symptoms in the MRI subsample (HRhigh .47, 95%CI .21, 1.04), it was in the full sample (HRhigh .52, 95%CI .39, .71). Activity-based CR was further associated with depression diagnoses in the full sample (HRhigh: .45, 95%CI .31, .65).

Discussion: Largely independent of its measurement, CR appears to influence depressive symptomatology in late life. Reserve-enhancing initiatives may be beneficial not only for cognitive but also for mental health in older people.

Keywords
Aging, Cognitive reserve, Late-life depressive symptoms, Life course, Population-based
National Category
Geriatrics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-242546 (URN)10.1016/j.cortex.2025.02.001 (DOI)001433287300001 ()39987669 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85218273140 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-09-24 Created: 2025-09-24 Last updated: 2025-09-24Bibliographically approved
Gebreslassie, M., Warolén, M., Lager, A. & Fors, S. (2025). Educational inequalities in blood pressure across the adult life course: Evidence from a 20-year follow-up study. Scandinavian Journal of Public Health
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Educational inequalities in blood pressure across the adult life course: Evidence from a 20-year follow-up study
2025 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Public Health, ISSN 1403-4948, E-ISSN 1651-1905Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Aim: High blood pressure (BP) is a key contributor to the burden of disease. This study aimed to assess: a) educational differences across the entire BP distribution, and b) educational differences in the trajectories of BP across the adult life course. Method: Longitudinal data from the Stockholm Diabetes Prevention Program was analysed using quantile regression and linear mixed effects models. Models were adjusted for age, sex, lifestyle, and BP medication. Results: Lower educational level was associated with higher systolic BP (SBP) at all follow-up periods. Age and sex adjusted mean SBP was 2.49 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10, 3.87), 3.95 (95% CI 2.45, 5.45) and 2.61 (95% CI 1.09, 4.13) mmHg higher for people with pre-secondary education compared with post-secondary at baseline, 10 years and 20 years follow-up, respectively. Quantile regressions revealed that the inequalities could be observed across the entire BP continuum. Longitudinally analysed, people with pre-secondary education had 3.01 (95% CI 1.91–4.11) mmHg higher SBP than those with post-secondary education, age and sex adjusted. No significant convergence or divergence of the educational gaps in SBP was observed. Educational differences remained even after adjusting for lifestyle and BP medication. Conclusions: These results imply that public health interventions should aim to bring about distributional shifts in blood pressure, rather than exclusively focusing on hypertensive people, if they are to effectively minimize the educational disparities in blood pressure and its consequences.

Keywords
Blood pressure, education, health inequalities, longitudinal data, mixed effects analysis, quantile regression
National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-239252 (URN)10.1177/14034948241261966 (DOI)001286095600001 ()2-s2.0-85200690878 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-02-10 Created: 2025-02-10 Last updated: 2025-02-10
Willers, C., Lindqvist, R., Fors, S., Mazya, A. L., Nilsson, G. H., Boström, A.-M. & Rydwik, E. (2025). Exploration of health care utilization, social care utilization and costs for individuals discharged from inpatient geriatric care in Sweden - a registry data study. Health Economics Review, 15, Article ID 18.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Exploration of health care utilization, social care utilization and costs for individuals discharged from inpatient geriatric care in Sweden - a registry data study
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2025 (English)In: Health Economics Review, E-ISSN 2191-1991, Vol. 15, article id 18Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background  Individuals receiving geriatric care are often frail and afflicted with multiple chronic conditions demanding care from several medical disciplines, and from several different care providing units across the health systems.

Objective  To explore the six-month service utilization and direct costs attributed to individuals receiving geriatric inpatient care.

Methods  Health care utilization– in terms of inpatient care, outpatient visits with different health care professions– and social care utilization– in terms of social services, and stay at residential care facility (RCF)– were quantified based on registry data, for a cohort admitted to geriatric inpatient care in Stockholm, Sweden during 2016.

Results  On average, individuals admitted to geriatric inpatient care in Stockholm had 12.8 inpatient care days, 32.1 visits in outpatient care, 432 h of home care and 28.8 days of staying at RCF, during the first six months after discharge. This amounted to an average cost of 722 thousand Swedish kronor (SEK), € 64 900, in 2023 monetary value. Costs were on average 37% attributable to inpatient care including the initial inpatient stay, 12% to outpatient visits, 38% to social services at home, and 13% to stay at residential care facility (whereof 11% short-term, 89% long-term). Total costs differed significantly between groups based on function, age and main diagnosis.

Conclusion  Costs of care for individuals treated at geriatric department are substantial. The variation of cost is also significant; higher age and lower function were associated with higher health care and social care costs. Major cost buckets were inpatient health care (region-financed) and social care at home (municipality-financed).

National Category
Gerontology, specialising in Medical and Health Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-242903 (URN)10.1186/s13561-025-00610-1 (DOI)001445176000001 ()2-s2.0-105002009080 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-05-07 Created: 2025-05-07 Last updated: 2025-05-07Bibliographically approved
Augustsson, E., Celeste, R. K., Fors, S., Rehnberg, J., Lennartsson, C. & Agahi, N. (2025). Friends and trends: Friendship across life phases and cohorts. Archives of gerontology and geriatrics (Print), 135, Article ID 105872.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Friends and trends: Friendship across life phases and cohorts
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2025 (English)In: Archives of gerontology and geriatrics (Print), ISSN 0167-4943, E-ISSN 1872-6976, Vol. 135, article id 105872Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Objective: This study describes how subjective frequency of contact with friends changes over the lifespan, whether it has increased across cohorts, and if later-born cohorts maintain this contact into older ages.

Methods: Cross-sectional data from individuals aged 15–97 collected between 1968 and 2021 were used to create an age pattern, analyse changes within age groups, and compare self-reported age trajectories of frequent contact with friends across birth cohorts.

Results: Reported frequency of contact with friends follows a clear age pattern: decreasing from young adulthood, plateauing in midlife, and decreasing again in older age. Later-born cohorts are more likely to report frequent contact with friends, but this difference converges in older age. There is no strong evidence that later-born cohorts maintain frequent contact with friends into old age, though upcoming cohorts may show changes in this trend.

Discussion: As life expectancy and overall health in older age improve, understanding the role of contact with friends in supporting well-being becomes increasingly important. The convergence of the frequency of contact with friends across cohorts in older age could lead to unmet expectations of social contact in upcoming cohorts. Therefore, continued research and proactive measures to support social interactions throughout the ageing process could enhance social connectedness in ageing populations.

Keywords
Cohorts, Friends, Social relationships, Trajectories, Trends
National Category
Gerontology, specialising in Medical and Health Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-243293 (URN)10.1016/j.archger.2025.105872 (DOI)001483543800001 ()2-s2.0-105003720391 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-05-26 Created: 2025-05-26 Last updated: 2025-05-26Bibliographically approved
Smit, D. H., Rehnberg, J. & Fors, S. (2025). The effect of loneliness on depressive symptoms in the 65+ European population: a longitudinal observational study using SHARE data. European Journal of Ageing, 22(1), Article ID 9.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The effect of loneliness on depressive symptoms in the 65+ European population: a longitudinal observational study using SHARE data
2025 (English)In: European Journal of Ageing, ISSN 1613-9372, E-ISSN 1613-9380, Vol. 22, no 1, article id 9Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Loneliness has consistently been found to be associated with an increased probability of depressive symptoms among older adults. Yet, the relationship is complex, and it remains unclear whether loneliness is a cause of depressive symptomatology. The aim of this study is to investigate the possible causal effect of loneliness on subsequent depressive symptoms among older adults (65+) in Europe. We analyzed two waves of observational data (2015–2017) from the Study of Health, Aging, and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) (n = 6808) and attempted to identify a causal effect of loneliness on depressive symptomatology by accounting for confounding by potential unmeasured factors using an endogenous treatment-effect model. The results showed a substantial positive association between loneliness in 2015 and depressive symptoms in 2017 in the sample. However, there was no support for the hypothesis that loneliness in 2015 was a cause of depressive symptoms in 2017. Additionally, there was no evidence of unmeasured factors confounding the relationship. Thus, loneliness may not be a cause of depressive symptoms among older adults in the short term. These findings suggest that there might be other reasons why lonely individuals are at an increased risk of depressive symptoms. Therefore, a shift in focus when aiming to reduce depressive symptoms among lonely older adults may be warranted.

Keywords
Causal inference, Depressive symptoms, Loneliness, Old age
National Category
Gerontology, specialising in Medical and Health Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-241830 (URN)10.1007/s10433-025-00846-0 (DOI)001445027800001 ()2-s2.0-105000197052 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-04-09 Created: 2025-04-09 Last updated: 2025-04-09Bibliographically approved
Ek, S., Ding, M., Hedström, M., Fors, S. & Modig, K. (2025). The impact of hip fracture on resilience in health-related quality of life: a cohort study. European Geriatric Medicine, 16, 963-973, Article ID e035978.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The impact of hip fracture on resilience in health-related quality of life: a cohort study
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2025 (English)In: European Geriatric Medicine, ISSN 1878-7649, E-ISSN 1878-7657, Vol. 16, p. 963-973, article id e035978Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Purpose: Hip fractures significantly impact health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in older adults. This study aimed to investigate and quantify changes in different domains of HRQoL following a hip fracture and to identify factors associated with maintaining HRQoL (resilience). Methods: The study included a cohort of 2,529 individuals aged 65 + who experienced their first hip fracture between 2016 and 2020. HRQoL was assessed using the EQ5D-5L tool both prior to and 4 months after the fracture. Resilience was defined as maintaining or improving pre-fracture EQ5D levels at follow-up. Associations between sociodemographic characteristics, acute conditions, medical factors, and resilience in specific EQ5D domains—Mobility, Usual Activities, Self-Care, Pain/Discomfort, and Anxiety/Depression—were analyzed using regression models. Results: Sixty-nine percent were women and the mean age was 82.6 years. A decline was observed across all EQ5D domains and in the global EQ5D index following a hip fracture. The proportion of patients exhibiting resilience varied by domain, ranging from 36 to 77%, with Mobility being the most adversely affected and Anxiety/Depression the least affected. Factors associated with resilience differed by domain. Mobility, Usual Activities, and Self-Care followed a similar pattern, while Pain/Discomfort and Anxiety/Depression showed distinct patterns. Notably, the absence of fall-risk-increasing medications was the only factor consistently associated with resilience across all domains. Conclusions: While hip fractures generally lead to declines in HRQoL, a significant proportion of patients demonstrate resilience within 4 months post-fracture. Patterns of resilience vary across EQ5D domains, with physical functions being most impacted and mental health the least.

Keywords
EQ5D, Fall injuries, Register-based, RIKSHÖFT
National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-243449 (URN)10.1007/s41999-025-01213-z (DOI)001478439800001 ()40299269 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105003837774 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-05-26 Created: 2025-05-26 Last updated: 2025-09-22Bibliographically approved
Augustsson, E., Fors, S., Rehnberg, J., Lennartsson, C. & Agahi, N. (2024). 20-Year trends in the social participation of the oldest old. Scandinavian Journal of Public Health
Open this publication in new window or tab >>20-Year trends in the social participation of the oldest old
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2024 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Public Health, ISSN 1403-4948, E-ISSN 1651-1905Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Aims: To investigate 20-year trends in social participation among the oldest old (77+ years) in Sweden and assess the extent to which changes in educational attainment and functional abilities explain these trends. Methods: Seven waves of the Swedish Panel Study of Living Conditions of the Oldest Old (SWEOLD) spanning 2002–2021 were used with a repeated cross-sectional design. To analyse the association between time and social participation we employed the Karlson–Holm–Breen method of decomposition. The study focused on informal social participation (contact with friends and family), leisure participation (public or semi-public gatherings), and formal participation (organisational engagement and study circle attendance). Results: Both leisure and informal participation peaked in 2014 and declined in 2021, influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, whereas formal participation showed a slight increase in 2021. Total participation increased at least until 2011. Overall, older adults have increased their levels of social participation in recent decades, disregarding the influence of the pandemic. Decomposition analysis revealed that population-level changes in educational attainment and functional abilities explained a substantial portion of the observed trends. Conclusions: As the proportion of older adults continues to rise, it becomes increasingly important to understand the developments and drivers of behavioural change in the older population. As more people are socially active, there may be increasing differences between those participating and those not – which could lead to increased inequalities. The observed trend in increasing participation, influenced by changes in education and health, emphasises the importance of fostering age-friendly environments and addressing potential social inequalities among older adults.

Keywords
Trends, social participation, oldest old
National Category
Sociology (Excluding Social Work, Social Anthropology, Demography and Criminology)
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-248766 (URN)10.1177/14034948241261720 (DOI)001286094600001 ()39114896 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85200696985 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-10-30 Created: 2025-10-30 Last updated: 2025-10-30
Badache, A.-C., Mäki-Torkko, E., Widen, S. & Fors, S. (2024). A descriptive epidemiological study of the prevalence of self-reported sensory difficulties by age group, sex, education, disability, and migration status in Sweden in 2020. BMC Public Health, 24, Article ID 2773.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A descriptive epidemiological study of the prevalence of self-reported sensory difficulties by age group, sex, education, disability, and migration status in Sweden in 2020
2024 (English)In: BMC Public Health, E-ISSN 1471-2458, Vol. 24, article id 2773Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background  The objective of this study is to estimate the prevalence of self-reported hearing difficulties, vision difficulties and combined vision and hearing difficulties in a Swedish adult population that varies according to migration status, sex, age, disability measured by ADL and IADL and educational attainment level.

Methods  The study utilised data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe, which consisted of 2257 individuals aged 60 and above that were interviewed in Sweden in the 2019/2020, SHARE wave 8. To determine the prevalence of sensory difficulties (hearing, vision and dual-sensory difficulties) among various subgroups of the population, a multinomial logistic regression was used. The results of these analyses are presented in terms of predicted probabilities.

Results  The study findings indicate that foreign-born older adults experience a lower prevalence of visual difficulties (6.2% [3.3–11.5] in comparison to their Swedish-born counterparts. Moreover, older adults with higher levels of education tend to report a lower prevalence of sensory difficulties overall. Furthermore, sex differences are apparent, with males reporting a higher prevalence of hearing difficulties (18.9% [15.5–22.8] vs. 12.8% [10.7–15.3]) and females reporting a higher prevalence of vision difficulties (12.7% [10.7–15.1] vs. 8.5%[6.8–10.5]).

Conclusion  The findings highlight disparities in the prevalence and type of perceived sensory difficulties experienced by older adults, by factors such as age, sex, education and migration status. It is important to consider these demographic factors in healthcare planning and interventions aimed at mitigating sensory difficulties in the older population.

Keywords
Older adults, Sweden, Hearing difficulties, Prevalence, Cross-sectional
National Category
Gerontology, specialising in Medical and Health Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-239936 (URN)10.1186/s12889-024-20217-1 (DOI)001336869700001 ()39390404 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85206021969 (Scopus ID)
Note

For correction, see: BMC Public Health 25, 70 (2025). DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-21186-1

Available from: 2025-02-27 Created: 2025-02-27 Last updated: 2025-02-27Bibliographically approved
Jørgensen, T. S. H., Osler, M., Fors, S., Nilsson, C. J., Meyer, A. & Modig, K. (2024). Adult offspring and their socioeconomic resources for development and survival of stroke: A Swedish and Danish nationwide register-based study. Scandinavian Journal of Public Health, 52(2), 216-224
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Adult offspring and their socioeconomic resources for development and survival of stroke: A Swedish and Danish nationwide register-based study
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2024 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Public Health, ISSN 1403-4948, E-ISSN 1651-1905, Vol. 52, no 2, p. 216-224Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Aims: To explore the relationships between adult offspring’s socioeconomic resources and the development of stroke and survival after stroke among older adults in Denmark and Sweden.

Methods: The study included 1,464,740 Swedes and 835,488 Danes who had turned 65 years old between 2000 and 2015. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to analyse incident stroke and survival after stroke until 2020.

Results: Lower level of offspring’s education, occupation and income were associated with higher hazards of stroke among both men and women in Sweden and Denmark. Associations with offspring’s education, occupation and income were most consistent for death after the acute phase and for educational level. From one to five years after stroke and compared with a high educational level of offspring, low and medium educational level were associated with 1.34 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11; 1.62) and 1.18 (95% CI: 1.10; 1.27) as well as 1.26 (95% CI: 1.06; 1.48) and 1.14 (1.07; 1.21) times higher hazard of death in Swedish women and men, respectively. The corresponding estimates in the Danish population were 1.36 (1.20; 1.53) and 1.10 (1.01; 1.20) for women and 1.23 (95% CI: 1.11; 1.32) and 1.13 (95% CI: 1.05; 1.21) for men.

Conclusions: Adult offspring socioeconomic resources are, independently of how we measure them and of individual socioeconomic characteristics, associated with development of stroke in old age in both Denmark and Sweden. The relationships between offspring socioeconomic resources and death after stroke are present especially after the acute phase and most pronounced for educational level as a measure of offspring socioeconomic resources.

Keywords
Intergenerational relationships, social inequality, stroke, mortality
National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-215166 (URN)10.1177/14034948231152352 (DOI)000925169700001 ()36732922 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85147527671 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2023-03-02 Created: 2023-03-02 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved
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Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0003-2656-8721

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