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Publications (10 of 22) Show all publications
Dahlström, P., Hagströmer, B. & Nordén, L. L. (2024). The determinants of limit order cancellations. The Financial Review, 59(1), 181-201
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The determinants of limit order cancellations
2024 (English)In: The Financial Review, ISSN 0732-8516, E-ISSN 1540-6288, Vol. 59, no 1, p. 181-201Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Almost all limit orders are canceled. We examine two economic channels that can motivate cancellations: reductions in the expected profit at execution, and reductions in the probability of execution. An order-level analysis shows that changes in depth at the best bid and offer prices, as well as changes in the order queue position, influence cancellation in a way consistent with the former channel, that market makers monitor the expected profit at execution of each limit order. Although buy-side investors use passive orders extensively, our findings indicate that limit order cancellations on aggregate are best understood through models of liquidity provision.

Keywords
fleeting orders, HFT, limit order profits, liquidity supply, queue position, time priority
National Category
Business Administration
Research subject
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-220129 (URN)10.1111/fire.12363 (DOI)001038656600001 ()2-s2.0-85166635255 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundation, P18-0097
Available from: 2023-08-17 Created: 2023-08-17 Last updated: 2024-03-11Bibliographically approved
Hagströmer, B. (2021). Bias in the Effective Bid-Ask Spread. Journal of Financial Economics, 142(1), 314-337
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Bias in the Effective Bid-Ask Spread
2021 (English)In: Journal of Financial Economics, ISSN 0304-405X, E-ISSN 1879-2774, Vol. 142, no 1, p. 314-337Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The effective bid-ask spread measured relative to the spread midpoint overstates the trueeffective bid-ask spread in markets with discrete prices and elastic liquidity demand. Theaverage bias is 13%–18% for S&P 500 stocks in general, depending on the estimator usedas benchmark, and up to 97% for low-priced stocks. Cross-sectional bias variation acrossstocks, trading venues, and investor groups can influence research inference. The use of themidpoint also undermines liquidity timing and trading performance evaluations, and canlead non-sophisticated investors to overpay for liquidity. To overcome these problems, thepaper proposes new estimators of the effective bid-ask spread.

Keywords
Midpoint, Micro-price, Liquidity demand elasticity, Illiquidity, Rule 605
National Category
Economics Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-185703 (URN)10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.04.018 (DOI)000687966200014 ()
Available from: 2020-10-04 Created: 2020-10-04 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved
Félez-Viñas, E. & Hagströmer, B. (2021). Do volatility extensions improve the quality of closing call auctions?. The Financial Review, 56(3), 385-406
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Do volatility extensions improve the quality of closing call auctions?
2021 (English)In: The Financial Review, ISSN 0732-8516, E-ISSN 1540-6288, Vol. 56, no 3, p. 385-406Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

To improve the efficiency of the closing price, many equity exchanges apply volatility extensions to their closing call auctions (CCAs). If an imminent auction execution implies a large price change, the order submission period is extended to let traders reconsider their orders. This paper uses the introduction of closing auction volatility extensions at NASDAQ Nordic to provide the first analysis of the effects of such mechanisms. We find that the volatility extensions reduce transitory volatility and deter price manipulation at the close. Consistent with increased trust in the mechanism, the CCA attracts higher volumes after the change.

Keywords
auction safeguard, batch auction, market integrity, price manipulation
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-195811 (URN)10.1111/fire.12275 (DOI)000663869300001 ()
Available from: 2021-08-31 Created: 2021-08-31 Last updated: 2022-02-25Bibliographically approved
Hagströmer, B. & Menkveld, A. J. (2019). Information Revelation in Decentralized Markets. Journal of Finance, 74(5), 2751-2787
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Information Revelation in Decentralized Markets
2019 (English)In: Journal of Finance, ISSN 0022-1082, E-ISSN 1540-6261, Vol. 74, no 5, p. 2751-2787Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

How does information get revealed in decentralized markets? We test several hypotheses inspired by recent dealer-network theory. To do so we construct an empirical map of information revelation where two dealers are connected based on the synchronicity of their quote changes. The tests, based on EUR/CHF quote data including the 2015 crash, largely support theory: Strongly connected (i.e., central) dealers are more informed. Connections are weaker when there is less to be learned. The crash serves to identify how a network forms when dealers are transitioned from no-learning to learning, that is, from a fixed to a floating rate.

Keywords
network map, information revelation, information percolation, securities trading, fragmentation
National Category
Business Administration
Research subject
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-165415 (URN)10.1111/jofi.12838 (DOI)000483953800001 ()
Available from: 2019-01-28 Created: 2019-01-28 Last updated: 2022-02-26Bibliographically approved
Baron, M., Brogaard, J., Hagströmer, B. & Kirilenko, A. (2019). Risk and Return in High-Frequency Trading. Journal of financial and quantitative analysis, 54(3), 993-1024
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Risk and Return in High-Frequency Trading
2019 (English)In: Journal of financial and quantitative analysis, ISSN 0022-1090, E-ISSN 1756-6916, Vol. 54, no 3, p. 993-1024Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We study performance and competition among high-frequency traders (HFTs). We construct measures of latency and find that differences in relative latency account for large differences in HFTs’ trading performance. HFTs that improve their latency rank due to colocation upgrades see improved trading performance. The stronger performance associated with speed comes through both the short-lived information channel and the risk management channel, and speed is useful for various strategies including market making and cross-market arbitrage. We find empirical support for many predictions regarding relative latency competition.

Keywords
high-frequency trading, low latency, market microstructure
National Category
Business Administration
Research subject
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-159800 (URN)10.1017/S0022109018001096 (DOI)000467742900001 ()
Available from: 2018-09-06 Created: 2018-09-06 Last updated: 2022-02-26Bibliographically approved
Hagströmer, B., Henricsson, R. & Nordén, L. L. (2016). Components of the Bid-Ask Spread and Variance: A Unified Approach. Journal of futures markets, 36(6), 545-563
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Components of the Bid-Ask Spread and Variance: A Unified Approach
2016 (English)In: Journal of futures markets, ISSN 0270-7314, E-ISSN 1096-9934, Vol. 36, no 6, p. 545-563Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We develop a structural model for the price formation and liquidity supply of an asset. Ourmodel facilitates decompositions of both the bid–ask spread and the return variance intocomponents related to adverse selection, inventory, and order processing costs. Furthermore,the model shows how the fragmentation of trading volume across trading venues influencesinventory pressure and price discovery. We use the model to analyze intraday price formationfor gold futures traded at the Shanghai Futures Exchange. We find that order processing costsexplain about 50% of the futures bid–ask spread, whereas the remaining 50% is equally due toasymmetric information and to inventory costs. About a third of the variance in futures returnsis attributable to microstructure noise. Trading at the spot market has a significant influence onfutures price discovery, but only a limited impact on the futures bid–ask spread.

National Category
Business Administration
Research subject
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-129943 (URN)10.1002/fut.21776 (DOI)000375465200003 ()
Funder
The Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundation
Available from: 2016-05-04 Created: 2016-05-04 Last updated: 2022-02-23Bibliographically approved
Brogaard, J., Hagströmer, B., Nordén, L. & Riordan, R. (2015). Trading Fast and Slow: Colocation and Liquidity. The Review of financial studies, 28(12), 3407-3443
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Trading Fast and Slow: Colocation and Liquidity
2015 (English)In: The Review of financial studies, ISSN 0893-9454, E-ISSN 1465-7368, Vol. 28, no 12, p. 3407-3443Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We exploit an optional colocation upgrade at NASDAQ OMX Stockholm to assess how speed affects market liquidity. Liquidity improves for the overall market and even for noncolocated trading entities. We find that the upgrade is pursued mainly by participants who engage in market making. Those that upgrade use their enhanced speed to reduce their exposure to adverse selection and to relax their inventory constraints. In particular, the upgraded trading entities remain competitive at the best bid and offer even when their inventories are in their top decile. Our results suggest that increasing the speed of market making participants benefits market liquidity.

National Category
Business Administration
Research subject
Business Administration; Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-123297 (URN)10.1093/rfs/hhv045 (DOI)000366449900006 ()
Funder
The Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundation, P2013-0209:1The Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundation, F2014-0068:1
Available from: 2015-11-23 Created: 2015-11-23 Last updated: 2022-02-23Bibliographically approved
Hagströmer, B. & Nordén, L. (2014). Closing Call Auctions at the Index Futures Market. Journal of futures markets, 34(4), 299-319
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Closing Call Auctions at the Index Futures Market
2014 (English)In: Journal of futures markets, ISSN 0270-7314, E-ISSN 1096-9934, Vol. 34, no 4, p. 49p. 299-319Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We investigate the effects from the introduction of a closing call auction (CCA) at the index futures market. Limit order book models, where trader patience determines trading strategies, predict that a CCA increases trader patience and, hence, improves closing price accuracy and end‐of‐day liquidity. We find that the introduction leads to increased trader patience, improved futures closing price accuracy, unaffected tightness and resiliency, and decreased depth. Decreased depth is likely due to less order fishing activity. With the CCA, opportunistic patient traders’ posting of limit orders deep in the order book, to profit from impatient traders, is no longer feasible.

Publisher
p. 49
Keywords
Call auctions, Index futures, Trader patience, Liquidity, Price discovery
National Category
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-62215 (URN)10.1002/fut.21603 (DOI)000332139000001 ()
Available from: 2011-09-12 Created: 2011-09-12 Last updated: 2022-02-24Bibliographically approved
Hagströmer, B., Nordén, L. & Zhang, D. (2014). How aggressive are high-frequency traders?. The Financial Review, 49(2), 395-419
Open this publication in new window or tab >>How aggressive are high-frequency traders?
2014 (English)In: The Financial Review, ISSN 0732-8516, E-ISSN 1540-6288, Vol. 49, no 2, p. 395-419Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We study order aggressiveness of market-making high-frequency traders (MM-HFTs), opportunistic HFTs (Opp-HFTs), and non-HFTs. We find that MM-HFTs follow their own group's previous order submissions more than they follow other traders’ orders. Opp-HFTs and non-HFTs tend to split market orders into small portions submitted in sequence. HFTs submit more (less) aggressive orders when the same-side (opposite-side) depth is large, and supply liquidity when the bid–ask spread is wide. Thus, HFTs adhere strongly to the tradeoff between waiting cost and the cost of immediate execution. Non-HFTs care less about this tradeoff, but react somewhat stronger than HFTs to volatility.

Keywords
high-frequency trading, aggressiveness, order submission, liquidity, volatility
National Category
Business Administration
Research subject
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-102540 (URN)10.1111/fire.12041 (DOI)
Available from: 2014-04-08 Created: 2014-04-08 Last updated: 2022-02-23Bibliographically approved
Hagströmer, B., Hansson, B. & Nilsson, B. (2013). The Components of the Illiquidity Premium: An Empirical Analysis of U.S. Stocks 1927-2010. Paper presented at 24th Australasian Finance and Banking Conference UNSW, Inst Global Finance, Sydney, AUSTRALIA DEC, 2011. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37(11), 4476-4487
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The Components of the Illiquidity Premium: An Empirical Analysis of U.S. Stocks 1927-2010
2013 (English)In: Journal of Banking & Finance, ISSN 0378-4266, E-ISSN 1872-6372, Vol. 37, no 11, p. 4476-4487Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper implements a conditional version of the liquidity adjusted CAPM (LCAPM). The conditional LCAPM allows for a time-varying decomposition of the total illiquidity premium into a level component and three risk components. The estimated average annual total illiquidity premium for US stocks 1927–2010 is 1.74–2.08%, which is substantially lower than in most previous studies. The contributions from illiquidity level and illiquidity risk are 1.25–1.28% and 0.46–0.83%, respectively. Of the three illiquidity risk components, risk related to the hedging of wealth shocks is the most important, while commonality risk is the least important. The illiquidity premia are clearly time-varying, with peaks in downturns and crises, but with no general tendency to decrease over time. The level premium and the risk premium are significantly positively correlated, at around 0.35; indicating that in periods of turbulence both illiquidity cost and illiquidity risk premia tend to be high.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2013
Keywords
Illiquidity level premium, Illiquidity risk premium, Conditional LCAPM, Effective tick
National Category
Business Administration
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-96301 (URN)10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.01.029 (DOI)000326212100035 ()
Conference
24th Australasian Finance and Banking Conference UNSW, Inst Global Finance, Sydney, AUSTRALIA DEC, 2011
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2009‐2210
Note

AuthorCount: 3;

Available from: 2013-11-19 Created: 2013-11-19 Last updated: 2022-02-24Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0003-0055-5121

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