Change search
Link to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Publications (2 of 2) Show all publications
Scussolini, P., Eilander, D., Sutanudjaja, E. H., Ikeuchi, H., Hoch, J. M., Ward, P. J., . . . Aerts, J. C. J. (2020). Global River Discharge and Floods in the Warmer Climate of the Last Interglacial. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(18), Article ID e2020GL089375.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Global River Discharge and Floods in the Warmer Climate of the Last Interglacial
Show others...
2020 (English)In: Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN 0094-8276, E-ISSN 1944-8007, Vol. 47, no 18, article id e2020GL089375Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We investigate hydrology during a past climate slightly warmer than the present: the last interglacial (LIG). With daily output of preindustrial and LIG simulations from eight new climate models we force hydrological model PCR-GLOBWB and in turn hydrodynamic model CaMa-Flood. Compared to preindustrial, annual mean LIG runoff, discharge, and 100-yr flood volume are considerably larger in the Northern Hemisphere, by 14%, 25%, and 82%, respectively. Anomalies are negative in the Southern Hemisphere. In some boreal regions, LIG runoff and discharge are lower despite higher precipitation, due to the higher temperatures and evaporation. LIG discharge is much higher for the Niger, Congo, Nile, Ganges, Irrawaddy, and Pearl and lower for the Mississippi, Saint Lawrence, Amazon, Parana, Orange, Zambesi, Danube, and Ob. Discharge is seasonally postponed in tropical rivers affected by monsoon changes. Results agree with published proxies on the sign of discharge anomaly in 15 of 23 sites where comparison is possible.

Keywords
hydrology, floods, last interglacial, paleoclimate, river discharge, global models
National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-187699 (URN)10.1029/2020GL089375 (DOI)000576634400074 ()
Available from: 2021-01-11 Created: 2021-01-11 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved
Scussolini, P., Bakker, P., Guo, C., Stepanek, C., Zhang, Q., Braconnot, P., . . . Aerts, J. C. J. (2019). Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial. Science Advances, 5(11), Article ID eaax7047.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial
Show others...
2019 (English)In: Science Advances, E-ISSN 2375-2548, Vol. 5, no 11, article id eaax7047Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The last extended time period when climate may have been warmer than today was during the Last Interglacial (LIG; ca. 129 to 120 thousand years ago). However, a global view of LIG precipitation is lacking. Here, seven new LIG climate models are compared to the first global database of proxies for LIG precipitation. In this way, models are assessed in their ability to capture important hydroclimatic processes during a different climate. The models can reproduce the proxy-based positive precipitation anomalies from the preindustrial period over much of the boreal continents. Over the Southern Hemisphere, proxy-model agreement is partial. In models, LIG boreal monsoons have 42% wider area than in the preindustrial and produce 55% more precipitation and 50% more extreme precipitation. Austral monsoons are weaker. The mechanisms behind these changes are consistent with stronger summer radiative forcing over boreal high latitudes and with the associated higher temperatures during the LIG.

National Category
Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-177518 (URN)10.1126/sciadv.aax7047 (DOI)000499736100061 ()31799394 (PubMedID)
Available from: 2020-01-10 Created: 2020-01-10 Last updated: 2025-02-07Bibliographically approved
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0001-6208-2169

Search in DiVA

Show all publications