Glaciers lost 408 ± 132 Gt of mass during the hydrological year 2025, equivalent to 1.1 ± 0.4 mm sea-level rise. Since 1975, glacier mass loss has totalled 9,583 ± 1,211 Gt, equivalent to 26.4 ± 3.3 mm of sea-level rise, with six of the highest mass-loss years on record occurring in the past seven years.

In this paper, frontal variations and surface area changes for each of the years 2017–2023 are assessed for 277 Swedish glaciers, of which the majority is contained within the Randolph Glacier Inventory 7.0. Mapping of all Swedish glaciers became possible by combining Sentinel-2 imagery, semi-automated mapping procedures and the open-source Margin Change Quantification Tool (MaQiT). In addition, manual mapping was performed at a subset of 22 glaciers historically associated with the Swedish Front Variation Program. At four of those, mapping accuracy was assessed by contrasting Sentinel-2 mapped fronts to fronts mapped in situ using Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), a total station and an uncrewed aerial vehicle. Results show widespread retreat of all Swedish glaciers, with cumulative frontal variation amounting on average to −55.6 m during 2017–2023 or −9.3 m a⁻¹. Swedish glaciers had a total area of ∼237 km² in 2017 and of 210 km² in 2023. The reduction by ∼27 km² corresponds to a loss of 11% with respect to the areal extent in the year 2017 but varies across regions. It is also almost as large as the combined area loss of Swedish glaciers in the preceding 15 years (∼31 km², 2002–2017).

The northern sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet contains some of the ice sheet's last remaining glaciers with floating ice tongues. One of these glaciers is Ryder Glacier, which has been relatively stable in recent decades, in contrast to the neighbouring Petermann and C.H. Ostenfeld glaciers. Understanding Ryder Glacier's future behaviour is important as ice-tongue loss could lead to acceleration and increased ice discharge. Meanwhile, it is unclear whether Greenland-wide modelling attempts are able to accurately resolve the influence of fjord and bedrock topography and small-scale variations in ice dynamics for a glacier like Ryder. To fill these gaps, here we conduct targeted high-resolution modelling of Ryder Glacier until the year 2300. We find that mass loss is dominated by discharge under a low-emissions scenario all the way to 2300, leading to a sea level contribution of between 0.8 and 2 mm depending on the amount of ocean warming. Discharge also plays a key role under a high-emissions scenario up until 2100, after which a strongly negative surface mass balance becomes the dominant driver of mass loss. This negative surface mass balance leads to a much higher sea level rise contribution by 2300 of between 44 and 52 mm, with little sensitivity to the range of ocean warming scenarios used in this study.

The Greenland Ice Sheet's negative mass balance is driven by a sensitivity to a warming atmosphere and ocean. The fidelity of ice-sheet models in accounting for ice–ocean interaction is inherently uncertain and often constrained against recent fluctuations in the ice-sheet margin from the previous decades. The geological record can be used to contextualise ice-sheet mass loss and understand the drivers of changes at the marine margin across climatic shifts and previous extended warm periods, aiding our understanding of future ice-sheet behaviour. Here, we use the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM) to explore the Holocene evolution of Ryder Glacier draining into Sherard Osborn Fjord, North Greenland. Our modelling results are constrained with terrestrial reconstructions of the paleo-ice-sheet margin and an extensive marine sediment record from Sherard Osborn Fjord that details ice dynamics over the past 12.5 ka years. By employing a consistent mesh resolution of <1 km at the ice–ocean boundary, we assess the importance of atmospheric and oceanic changes to Ryder Glacier's Holocene behaviour. Our simulations show that the initial retreat of the ice margin after the Younger Dryas cold period was driven by a warming climate and the resulting fluctuations in surface mass balance. Changing atmospheric conditions remain the first-order control in the timing of ice retreat during the Holocene. We find ice–ocean interactions become increasingly fundamental to Ryder's retreat in the mid-Holocene, with higher-than-contemporary melt rates required to force grounding line retreat and capture the collapse of the ice tongue during the Holocene Thermal Maximum. Regrowth of the tongue during the neoglacial cooling of the late Holocene is necessary to advance the terrestrial and marine margins of the glacier. Our results stress the importance of accurately resolving the ice–ocean interface in modelling efforts over centennial and millennial timescales, in particular the role of floating ice tongues and submarine melt, and provide vital analogies for the future evolution of Ryder in a warming climate.

Mountain permafrost, constituting 30% of the global permafrost area, is sensitive to climate change and strongly impacts mountain ecosystems and communities. This study examines 21st century permafrost warming in European mountains using decadal ground temperature data from sixty-four boreholes in the Alps, Scandinavia, Iceland, Sierra Nevada and Svalbard. During 2013–2022, warming rates at 10 metres depth exceed 1 °C dec−1 in cases, generally surpassing previous estimates because of accelerated warming and the use of a comprehensive data set. Substantial permafrost warming occurred at cold and ice-poor bedrock sites at high elevations and latitudes, at rates comparable to surface air temperature increase. In contrast, latent heat effects in ice-rich ground near 0 °C reduce warming rates and mask important changes of mountain permafrost substrates. The warming patterns observed are consistent across all sites, depths and time periods. For the coming decades, the propagation of permafrost warming to greater depths is largely predetermined already.

In the rapidly warming circumpolar Arctic, recent research of lakes has focused on their climatology and ecology but is challenged by sparsity of wintertime data. At the c. 48-m-deep and c. 0.5-km2 large proglacial Darfaljavri (Lake Tarfala), located in an arctic-alpine environment in the Scandinavian Mountains, year-round water temperatures were previously reported for 2016 to 2019. Here, this record is continued for 2019-2020 and 2021-2022, complemented by time-lapse imagery records of the state of the lake surface, as well as degree-day modeling of ice phenology (timing of ice-on and ice-off). Darfaljavri is cryostratified during winter, with interannual variations in the thermocline's thickness and temperature range. The ice season lasts from October to July. Modeled ice-on dates match observed ones reasonably well; however, observed ice-off dates occur much later than modeled ones, likely because of cold impact from Darfaljavri's glacial environment as inferred from a comparison with a close tundra lake. Though new insights into the complex lake mixing and ice phenology are provided, it remains to attribute the characteristics of Darfaljavri's winter stratification to additional potential drivers, such as lake ice thickness, atmospheric heat fluxes, and the water balance of the lake.

Mass loss at the Greenland Ice Sheet is influenced by atmospheric processes controlling its surface mass balance, and by submarine melt and calving where glaciers terminate in fjords. There, an ice mélange - a composite matrix of calved ice bergs and sea ice - may provide a buttressing force on a glacier terminus and control terminus dynamics. Kangerlussuaq Glacier is a major outlet of the Greenland Ice Sheet, for which recent major retreat events in 2004/2005 and 2016-2018 coincided with the absence of an ice mélange in Kangerlussuaq Fjord. To better understand the response of Kangerlussuaq Glacier to climatic and oceanic drivers, a 2D flowline model is employed. Results indicate that an ice mélange buttressing force exerts a major control on calving frequency and rapid retreat. When an ice mélange forms in Kangerlussuaq Fjord, it provides stabilising forces and conditions favourable for winter terminus re-advance. When it fails to form during consecutive years, model results indicate that Kangerlussuaq Glacier is primed to retreat into the large overdeepenings in Kangerlussuaq Fjord, and to terminus positions more than 30 km farther inland, implying that excessive mass loss from Kangerlussuaq Glacier by the year 2065 cannot be excluded.

Irregular climate events frequently occur in Southeast Asia due to the numerous climate patterns combining. Thailand sits at the confluence of these interactions, and consequently experiences major hydrological events, such as droughts. Proxy data, speleothem records, lake sediment sequences and tree ring chronologies were used to reconstruct paleo drought conditions. These trends were compared with modelled and historic El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) data to assess if the ENSO climate phenomena is causing droughts in Thailand. Drought periods were found to occur both during El Nino events and ENSO neutral conditions. This indicates droughts are not a product of one climate pattern, but likely the result of numerous patterns interacting. There is uncertainty regarding how climate patterns will evolve under climate change, but changes in amplitude and variability could potentially lead to more frequent and wider reaching hydrological disasters. It is vital that policies are implemented to cope with the resulting social and economic repercussions, including diversification of crops and reorganisation of water consumption behaviour in Thailand.