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Azari, Amin
Publications (2 of 2) Show all publications
Azari, A., Papapetrou, P., Denic, S. & Petters, G. (2020). User Traffic Prediction for Proactive Resource Management: Learning-Powered Approaches. In: IEEE Global Communications Conference (GLOBECOM): . Paper presented at 2019 IEEE Global Communications Conference (GLOBECOM), Waikoloa, USA, 9-13 December, 2019 (pp. 1-6). IEEE
Open this publication in new window or tab >>User Traffic Prediction for Proactive Resource Management: Learning-Powered Approaches
2020 (English)In: IEEE Global Communications Conference (GLOBECOM), IEEE, 2020, p. 1-6Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Traffic prediction plays a vital role in efficient planning and usage of network resources in wireless networks. While traffic prediction in wired networks is an established field, there is a lack of research on the analysis of traffic in cellular networks, especially in a content-blind manner at the user level. Here, we shed light into this problem by designing traffic prediction tools that employ either statistical, rule-based, or deep machine learning methods. First, we present an extensive experimental evaluation of the designed tools over a real traffic dataset. Within this analysis, the impact of different parameters, such as length of prediction, feature set used in analyses, and granularity of data, on accuracy of prediction are investigated. Second, regarding the coupling observed between behavior of traffic and its generating application, we extend our analysis to the blind classification of applications generating the traffic based on the statistics of traffic arrival/departure. The results demonstrate presence of a threshold number of previous observations, beyond which, deep machine learning can outperform linear statistical learning, and before which, statistical learning outperforms deep learning approaches. Further analysis of this threshold value represents a strong coupling between this threshold, the length of future prediction, and the feature set in use. Finally, through a case study, we present how the experienced delay could be decreased by traffic arrival prediction.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE, 2020
National Category
Computer Sciences
Research subject
Computer and Systems Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-184128 (URN)10.1109/GLOBECOM38437.2019.9014115 (DOI)978-1-7281-0962-6 (ISBN)978-1-7281-0963-3 (ISBN)
Conference
2019 IEEE Global Communications Conference (GLOBECOM), Waikoloa, USA, 9-13 December, 2019
Available from: 2020-08-13 Created: 2020-08-13 Last updated: 2022-02-26Bibliographically approved
Azari, A., Papapetrou, P., Denic, S. & Peters, G. (2019). Cellular Traffic Prediction and Classification: A Comparative Evaluation of LSTM and ARIMA. In: Petra Kralj Novak, Tomislav, Šmuc, Sašo Džeroski (Ed.), Discovery Science: Proceedings. Paper presented at 22nd International Conference, DS 2019, Split, Croatia, October 28–30, 2019 (pp. 129-144). Springer
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Cellular Traffic Prediction and Classification: A Comparative Evaluation of LSTM and ARIMA
2019 (English)In: Discovery Science: Proceedings / [ed] Petra Kralj Novak, Tomislav, Šmuc, Sašo Džeroski, Springer, 2019, p. 129-144Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Prediction of user traffic in cellular networks has attracted profound attention for improving the reliability and efficiency of network resource utilization. In this paper, we study the problem of cellular network traffic prediction and classification by employing standard machine learning and statistical learning time series prediction methods, including long short-term memory (LSTM) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), respectively. We present an extensive experimental evaluation of the designed tools over a real network traffic dataset. Within this analysis, we explore the impact of different parameters on the effectiveness of the predictions. We further extend our analysis to the problem of network traffic classification and prediction of traffic bursts. The results, on the one hand, demonstrate the superior performance of LSTM over ARIMA in general, especially when the length of the training dataset is large enough and its granularity is fine enough. On the other hand, the results shed light onto the circumstances in which, ARIMA performs close to the optimal with lower complexity.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2019
Series
Lecture Notes in Computer Science, ISSN 0302-9743, E-ISSN 1611-3349 ; 11828
Keywords
Statistical learning, Machine learning, LSTM, ARIMA, Cellular traffic, Predictive network management
National Category
Computer Sciences
Research subject
Computer and Systems Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-177140 (URN)10.1007/978-3-030-33778-0_11 (DOI)978-3-030-33777-3 (ISBN)978-3-030-33778-0 (ISBN)
Conference
22nd International Conference, DS 2019, Split, Croatia, October 28–30, 2019
Available from: 2019-12-17 Created: 2019-12-17 Last updated: 2022-02-26Bibliographically approved
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