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A Spatial Epidemic Model with Site Contamination
Stockholms universitet, Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten, Matematiska institutionen.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-9228-7357
Stockholms universitet, Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten, Matematiska institutionen.
Rekke forfattare: 32018 (engelsk)Inngår i: Markov Processes and Related Fields, ISSN 1024-2953, Vol. 24, nr 1, s. 25-38Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

We introduce the effect of site contamination in a model for spatial epidemic spread and show that the presence of site contamination may have a strict effect on the model in the sense that it can make an otherwise subcritical process supercritical. Each site on Z(d) is independently assigned a random number of particles and these then perform random walks restricted to bounded regions around their home locations. At time 0, the origin is infected along with all its particles. The infection then spread in that an infected particle that jumps to a new site causes the site along with all particles located there to be infected. Also, a healthy particle that jumps to a site where infection is present, either in that the site is infected or in the presence of infected particles, becomes infected. Particles and sites recover at rate lambda and gamma, respectively, and then become susceptible to the infection again. We show that, for each given value of lambda, there is a positive probability that the infection survives indefinitely if gamma is sufficiently small, and that, for each given value of gamma, the infection dies out almost surely if lambda is large enough. Several open problems and modifications of the model are discussed, and some natural conjectures are supported by simulations.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2018. Vol. 24, nr 1, s. 25-38
Emneord [en]
spatial epidemic, interacting particle system, phase transition, critical value
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:su:diva-160292ISI: 000440875300003OAI: oai:DiVA.org:su-160292DiVA, id: diva2:1248939
Tilgjengelig fra: 2018-09-17 Laget: 2018-09-17 Sist oppdatert: 2022-02-26bibliografisk kontrollert

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